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Based on interdisciplinary research into'Directional Change', a new data-driven approach to financial data analysis, Detecting Regime Change in Computational Finance: Data Science, Machine Learning and Algorithmic Trading applies machine learning to financial market monitoring and algorithmic trading. Directional Change is a new way of summarising price changes in the market. Instead of sampling prices at fixed intervals (such as daily closing in time series), it samples prices when the market changes direction ('zigzags'). By sampling data in a different way, this book lays out concepts which enable the extraction of information that other market participants may not be able to see. The book includes a Foreword by Richard Olsen and explores the following topics: Data science: as an alternative to time series, price movements in a market can be summarised as directional changes Machine learning for regime change detection: historical regime changes in a market can be discovered by a Hidden Markov Model Regime characterisation: normal and abnormal regimes in historical data can be characterised using indicators defined under Directional Change Market Monitoring: by using historical characteristics of normal and abnormal regimes, one can monitor the market to detect whether the market regime has changed Algorithmic trading: regime tracking information can help us to design trading algorithms It will be of great interest to researchers in computational finance, machine learning and data science.About the AuthorsJun Chen received his PhD in computational finance from the Centre for Computational Finance and Economic Agents, University of Essex in 2019.Edward P K Tsang is an Emeritus Professor at the University of Essex, where he co-founded the Centre for Computational Finance and Economic Agents in 2002.

This book presents, in an integrated form, both the analysis and synthesis of three different types of hidden Markov models. Unlike other books on the subject, it is generic and does not focus on a specific theme, e.g. speech processing. Moreover, it presents the translation of hidden Markov models'concepts from the domain of formal mathematics into computer codes using MATLAB®. The unique feature of this book is that the theoretical concepts are first presented using an intuition-based approach followed by the description of the fundamental algorithms behind hidden Markov models using MATLAB®. This approach, by means of analysis followed by synthesis, is suitable for those who want to study the subject using a more empirical approach.Key Selling Points: Presents a broad range of concepts related to Hidden Markov Models (HMM), from simple problems to advanced theory Covers the analysis of both continuous and discrete Markov chains Discusses the translation of HMM concepts from the realm of formal mathematics into computer code Offers many examples to supplement mathematical notation when explaining new concepts