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Every finance professional wants and needs a competitive edge. A firm foundation in advanced mathematics can translate into dramatic advantages to professionals willing to obtain it. Many are not—and that is the competitive edge these books offer the astute reader.Published under the collective title of Foundations of Quantitative Finance, this set of ten books develops the advanced topics in mathematics that finance professionals need to advance their careers. These books expand the theory most do not learn in graduate finance programs, or in most financial mathematics undergraduate and graduate courses.As an investment executive and authoritative instructor, Robert R. Reitano presents the mathematical theories he encountered and used in nearly three decades in the financial services industry and two decades in academia where he taught in highly respected graduate programs.Readers should be quantitatively literate and familiar with the developments in the earlier books in the set. While the set offers a continuous progression through these topics, each title can be studied independently.Features Extensively referenced to materials from earlier books Presents the theory needed to support advanced applications Supplements previous training in mathematics, with more detailed developments Built from the author's five decades of experience in industry, research, and teaching Published and forthcoming titles in the Robert R. Reitano Quantitative Finance Series:Book I: Measure Spaces and Measurable FunctionsBook II: Probability Spaces and Random VariablesBook III: The Integrals of Lebesgue and (Riemann-)StieltjesBook IV: Distribution Functions and ExpectationsBook V: General Measure and Integration TheoryBook VI: Densities, Transformed Distributions, and Limit TheoremsBook VII: Brownian Motion and Other Stochastic ProcessesBook VIII: Itô Integration and Stochastic Calculus 1Book IX: Stochastic Calculus 2 and Stochastic Differential EquationsBook X: Classical Models and Applications in Finance

Every financial professional wants and needs an advantage. A firm foundation in advanced mathematics can translate into dramatic advantages to professionals willing to obtain it. Many are not—and that is the advantage these books offer the astute reader.Published under the collective title of Foundations of Quantitative Finance, this set of ten books presents the advanced mathematics finance professionals need to advantage their careers, these books present the theory most do not learn in graduate finance programs, or in most financial mathematics undergraduate and graduate courses.As a high-level industry executive and authoritative instructor, Robert R. Reitano presents the mathematical theories he encountered in nearly three decades working in the financial industry and two decades teaching in highly respected graduate programs.Readers should be quantitatively literate and familiar with the developments in the first book in the set, Foundations of Quantitative Finance Book I: Measure Spaces and Measurable Functions.

This book presents the most commonly used techniques for the most statistical inferences based on fuzzy data. It brings together many of the main ideas used in statistical inferences in one place, based on fuzzy information including fuzzy data. This book covers a much wider range of topics than a typical introductory text on fuzzy statistics. It includes common topics like elementary probability, descriptive statistics, hypothesis tests, one-way ANOVA, control-charts, reliability systems and regression models. The reader is assumed to know calculus and a little fuzzy set theory. The conventional knowledge of probability and statistics is required.Key Features: Includes example in Mathematica and MATLAB. Contains theoretical and applied exercises for each section. Presents various popular methods for analyzing fuzzy data. The book is suitable for students and researchers in statistics, social science, engineering, and economics, and it can be used at graduate and P.h.D level.

Randomness is an active element relevant to all scientific activities. The book explores the way in which randomness suffuses the human experience, starting with everyday chance events, followed by developments into modern probability theory, statistical mechanics, scientific data analysis, quantum mechanics, and quantum gravity. An accessible introduction to these theories is provided as a basis for going into deeper topics.Fowler unveils the influence of randomness in the two pillars of science, measurement and theory. Some emphasis is placed on the need and methods for optimal characterization of uncertainty. An example of the cost of neglecting this is the St. Petersburg Paradox, a theoretical game of chance with an infinite expected payoff value. The role of randomness in quantum mechanics reveals another particularly interesting finding: that in order for the physical universe to function as it does and permit conscious beings within it to enjoy sanity, irreducible randomness is necessary at the quantum level.The book employs a certain level of mathematics to describe physical reality in a more precise way that avoids the tendency of nonmathematical descriptions to be occasionally misleading. Thus, it is most readily digested by young students who have taken at least a class in introductory calculus, or professional scientists and engineers curious about the book's topics as a result of hearing about them in popular media. Readers not inclined to savor equations should be able to skip certain technical sections without losing the general flow of ideas. Still, it is hoped that even readers who usually avoid equations will give those within these pages a chance, as they may be surprised at how potentially foreboding concepts fall into line when one makes a legitimate attempt to follow a succession of mathematical implications.

Probability, Random Variables, Statistics, and Random Processes: Fundamentals & Applications is a comprehensive undergraduate-level textbook. With its excellent topical coverage, the focus of this book is on the basic principles and practical applications of the fundamental concepts that are extensively used in various Engineering disciplines as well as in a variety of programs in Life and Social Sciences. The text provides students with the requisite building blocks of knowledge they require to understand and progress in their areas of interest. With a simple, clear-cut style of writing, the intuitive explanations, insightful examples, and practical applications are the hallmarks of this book. The text consists of twelve chapters divided into four parts. Part-I, Probability (Chapters 1 – 3), lays a solid groundwork for probability theory, and introduces applications in counting, gambling, reliability, and security. Part-II, Random Variables (Chapters 4 – 7), discusses in detail multiple random variables, along with a multitude of frequently-encountered probability distributions. Part-III, Statistics (Chapters 8 – 10), highlights estimation and hypothesis testing. Part-IV, Random Processes (Chapters 11 – 12), delves into the characterization and processing of random processes. Other notable features include: Most of the text assumes no knowledge of subject matter past first year calculus and linear algebra With its independent chapter structure and rich choice of topics, a variety of syllabi for different courses at the junior, senior, and graduate levels can be supported A supplemental website includes solutions to about 250 practice problems, lecture slides, and figures and tables from the text Given its engaging tone, grounded approach, methodically-paced flow, thorough coverage, and flexible structure, Probability, Random Variables, Statistics, and Random Processes: Fundamentals & Applications clearly serves as a must textbook for courses not only in Electrical Engineering, but also in Computer Engineering, Software Engineering, and Computer Science.

The monograph compares two approaches that describe the statistical stability phenomenon – one proposed by the probability theory that ignores violations of statistical stability and another proposed by the theory of hyper-random phenomena that takes these violations into account. There are five parts. The first describes the phenomenon of statistical stability. The second outlines the mathematical foundations of probability theory. The third develops methods for detecting violations of statistical stability and presents the results of experimental research on actual processes of different physical nature that demonstrate the violations of statistical stability over broad observation intervals. The fourth part outlines the mathematical foundations of the theory of hyper-random phenomena. The fifth part discusses the problem of how to provide an adequate description of the world.The monograph should be interest to a wide readership: from university students on a first course majoring in physics, engineering, and mathematics to engineers, post-graduate students, and scientists carrying out research on the statistical laws of natural physical phenomena, developing and using statistical methods for high-precision measurement, prediction, and signal processing over broad observation intervals.To read the book, it is sufficient to be familiar with a standard first university course on mathematics.

Probability and Conditional Expectations bridges the gap between books on probability theory and statistics by providing the probabilistic concepts estimated and tested in analysis of variance, regression analysis, factor analysis, structural equation modeling, hierarchical linear models and analysis of qualitative data. The authors emphasize the theory of conditional expectations that is also fundamental to conditional independence and conditional distributions. Probability and Conditional Expectations Presents a rigorous and detailed mathematical treatment of probability theory focusing on concepts that are fundamental to understand what we are estimating in applied statistics. Explores the basics of random variables along with extensive coverage of measurable functions and integration. Extensively treats conditional expectations also with respect to a conditional probability measure and the concept of conditional effect functions, which are crucial in the analysis of causal effects. Is illustrated throughout with simple examples, numerous exercises and detailed solutions. Provides website links to further resources including videos of courses delivered by the authors as well as R code exercises to help illustrate the theory presented throughout the book.

The essential lifesaver for students who want to master probabilityFor students learning probability, its numerous applications, techniques, and methods can seem intimidating and overwhelming. That's where The Probability Lifesaver steps in. Designed to serve as a complete stand-alone introduction to the subject or as a supplement for a course, this accessible and user-friendly study guide helps students comfortably navigate probability's terrain and achieve positive results.The Probability Lifesaver is based on a successful course that Steven Miller has taught at Brown University, Mount Holyoke College, and Williams College. With a relaxed and informal style, Miller presents the math with thorough reviews of prerequisite materials, worked-out problems of varying difficulty, and proofs. He explores a topic first to build intuition, and only after that does he dive into technical details. Coverage of topics is comprehensive, and materials are repeated for reinforcement—both in the guide and on the book's website. An appendix goes over proof techniques, and video lectures of the course are available online. Students using this book should have some familiarity with algebra and precalculus.The Probability Lifesaver not only enables students to survive probability but also to achieve mastery of the subject for use in future courses.A helpful introduction to probability or a perfect supplement for a courseNumerous worked-out examplesLectures based on the chapters are available free onlineIntuition of problems emphasized first, then technical proofs givenAppendixes review proof techniquesRelaxed, conversational approach

What Makes Variables Random: Probability for the Applied Researcher provides an introduction to the foundations of probability that underlie the statistical analyses used in applied research. By explaining probability in terms of measure theory, it gives the applied researchers a conceptual framework to guide statistical modeling and analysis, and to better understand and interpret results. The book provides a conceptual understanding of probability and its structure. It is intended to augment existing calculus-based textbooks on probability and statistics and is specifically targeted to researchers and advanced undergraduate and graduate students in the applied research fields of the social sciences, psychology, and health and healthcare sciences.Materials are presented in three sections. The first section provides an overall introduction and presents some mathematical concepts used throughout the rest of the text. The second section presents the basic structure of measure theory and its special case of probability theory. The third section provides the connection between a conceptual understanding of measure-theoretic probability and applied research. This section starts with a chapter on its use in understanding basic models and finishes with a chapter that focuses on more complicated problems, particularly those related to various types and definitions of analyses related to hierarchical modeling.

Ordered Random Variables have attracted several authors. The basic building block of Ordered Random Variables is Order Statistics which has several applications in extreme value theory and ordered estimation. The general model for ordered random variables, known as Generalized Order Statistics has been introduced relatively recently by Kamps (1995).

The concept of sub-independence is defined in terms of the convolution of the distributions of random variables, providing a stronger sense of dissociation between random variables than that of uncorrelatedness. If statistical tests reject independence but not lack of correlation, a model with sub-independent components can be appropriate to determine the distribution of the sum of the random variables. This monograph presents most of the important classical results in probability and statistics based on the concept of sub-independence. This concept is much weaker than that of independence and yet can replace independence in most limit theorems as well as well-known results in probability and statistics. This monograph, the first of its kind on the concept of sub-independence, should appeal to researchers in applied sciences where the lack of independence of the uncorrelated random variables may be apparent but the distribution of their sum may not be tractable.

Presenting the first unified treatment of limit theorems for multiple sums of independent random variables, this volume fills an important gap in the field. Several new results are introduced, even in the classical setting, as well as some new approaches that are simpler than those already established in the literature. In particular, new proofs of the strong law of large numbers and the Hajek-Renyi inequality are detailed. Applications of the described theory include Gibbs fields, spin glasses, polymer models, image analysis and random shapes.Limit theorems form the backbone of probability theory and statistical theory alike. The theory of multiple sums of random variables is a direct generalization of the classical study of limit theorems, whose importance and wide application in science is unquestionable. However, to date, the subject of multiple sums has only been treated in journals.The results described in this book will be of interest to advanced undergraduates, graduate students and researchers who work on limit theorems in probability theory, the statistical analysis of random fields, as well as in the field of random sets or stochastic geometry. The central topic is also important for statistical theory, developing statistical inferences for random fields, and also has applications to the sciences, including physics and chemistry.

Non-uniform random variate generation is an established research area in the intersection of mathematics, statistics and computer science. Although random variate generation with popular standard distributions have become part of every course on discrete event simulation and on Monte Carlo methods, the recent concept of universal (also called automatic or black-box) random variate generation can only be found dispersed in literature. This new concept has great practical advantages that are little known to most simulation practitioners. Being unique in its overall organization the book covers not only the mathematical and statistical theory, but also deals with the implementation of such methods. All algorithms introduced in the book are designed for practical use in simulation and have been coded and made available by the authors. Examples of possible applications of the presented algorithms (including option pricing, VaR and Bayesian statistics) are presented at the end of the book.

The 5th edition of Ross's Simulation continues to introduce aspiring and practicing actuaries, engineers, computer scientists and others to the practical aspects of constructing computerized simulation studies to analyze and interpret real phenomena. Readers learn to apply results of these analyses to problems in a wide variety of fields to obtain effective, accurate solutions and make predictions about future outcomes. This latest edition features all-new material on variance reduction, including control variables and their use in estimating the expected return at blackjack and their relation to regression analysis. Additionally, the 5th edition expands on Markov chain monte carlo methods, and offers unique information on the alias method for generating discrete random variables. By explaining how a computer can be used to generate random numbers and how to use these random numbers to generate the behavior of a stochastic model over time, Ross's Simulation, 5th edition presents the statistics needed to analyze simulated data as well as that needed for validating the simulation model. New to this Edition: Additional material on variance reduction, including control variables and their use in estimating the expected return at blackjack and their relation to regression analysisAdditional material and examples on Markov chain Monte Carlo methodsUnique material on the alias method for generating discrete random variablesAdditional material on generating multivariate normal vectors

The aim of this monograph is to show how random sums (that is, the summation of a random number of dependent random variables) may be used to analyse the behaviour of branching stochastic processes. The author shows how these techniques may yield insight and new results when applied to a wide range of branching processes. In particular, processes with reproduction-dependent and non-stationary immigration may be analysed quite simply from this perspective. On the other hand some new characterizations of the branching process without immigration dealing with its genealogical tree can be studied. Readers are assumed to have a firm grounding in probability and stochastic processes, but otherwise this account is self-contained. As a result, researchers and graduate students tackling problems in this area will find this makes a useful contribution to their work.

The book concerns the notion of association in probability and statistics. Association and some other positive dependence notions were introduced in 1966 and 1967 but received little attention from the probabilistic and statistics community. The interest in these dependence notions increased in the last 15 to 20 years, and many asymptotic results were proved and improved. Despite this increased interest, characterizations and results remained essentially scattered in the literature published in different journals. The goal of this book is to bring together the bulk of these results, presenting the theory in a unified way, explaining relations and implications of the results. It will present basic definitions and characterizations, followed by a collection of relevant inequalities. These are then applied to characterize almost sure and weak convergence of sequences of associated variables. It will also cover applications of positive dependence to the characterization of asymptotic results in nonparametric statistics. The book is directed towards researchers in probability and statistics, with particular emphasis on people interested in nonparametric methods. It will also be of interest to graduate students in those areas. The book could also be used as a reference on association in a course covering dependent variables and their asymptotics.As prerequisite, readers should have knowledge of basic probability on the reals and on metric spaces. Some acquaintance with the asymptotics of random functions, such us empirical processes and partial sums processes, is useful but not essential.

These notes on regression give an introduction to some of the techniques that I have found useful when working with various data sets in collaboration with Dr. S. Keiding (Copenhagen) and Dr. J.W.L. Robinson (Lausanne). The notes are based on some lectures given at the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, University of Copenhigen, 1978-81, for graduate students, and assumes a familiarity with statistical theory corresponding to the book by C.R. Rao:'Linear Statistical Inference and its Applications'. Wiley, New York (1973). The mathematical tools needed for the algebraic treatment of the models are some knowledge of finite dimensional vector spaces with an inner product and the notion of orthogonal projection. For the analytic treatment I need characteristic functions and weak convergence as the main tools. The most important statistical concepts are the general linear model for Gaussian variables and the general methods of maximum likelihood estimation as well as the likelihood ratio test. All these topics are presented in the above mentioned book by Rao and the reader is referred to that for details. For convenience a short appendix is added where the fundamental concepts from linear algebra are discussed.

NATIONAL BESTSELLER • From the classroom to the courtroom and from financial markets to supermarkets, an intriguing and illuminating look at how randomness, chance, and probability affect our daily lives that will intrigue, awe, and inspire.“Mlodinow writes in a breezy style, interspersing probabilistic mind-benders with portraits of theorists.... The result is a readable crash course in randomness.” —The New York Times Book ReviewWith the born storyteller's command of narrative and imaginative approach, Leonard Mlodinow vividly demonstrates how our lives are profoundly informed by chance and randomness and how everything from wine ratings and corporate success to school grades and political polls are less reliable than we believe.By showing us the true nature of chance and revealing the psychological illusions that cause us to misjudge the world around us, Mlodinow gives us the tools we need to make more informed decisions. From the classroom to the courtroom and from financial markets to supermarkets, Mlodinow's intriguing and illuminating look at how randomness, chance, and probability affect our daily lives will intrigue, awe, and inspire.

Time series and random?elds are main topics in modern statistical techniques. They are essential for applications where randomness plays an important role. Indeed, physical constraints mean that serious modelling cannot be done - ing only independent sequences. This is a real problem because asymptotic properties are not always known in this case. Thepresentworkisdevotedtoprovidingaframeworkforthecommonlyused time series. In order to validate the main statistics, one needs rigorous limit theorems. In the?eld of probability theory, asymptotic behavior of sums may or may not be analogous to those of independent sequences. We are involved with this?rst case in this book. Very sharp results have been proved for mixing processes, a notion int- duced by Murray Rosenblatt [166]. Extensive discussions of this topic may be found in his Dependence in Probability and Statistics (a monograph published by Birkhau ¨ser in 1986) and in Doukhan (1994) [61], and the sharpest results may be found in Rio (2000)[161]. However, a counterexample of a really simple non-mixing process was exhibited by Andrews (1984) [2]. The notion of weak dependence discussed here takes real account of the available models, which are discussed extensively. Our idea is that robustness of the limit theorems with respect to the model should be taken into account. In real applications, nobody may assert, for example, the existence of a density for the inputs in a certain model, while such assumptions are always needed when dealing with mixing concepts.

It is widely recognized, by the scienti?c and technical community that m- surements are the bridge between the empiric world and that of the abstract concepts and knowledge. In fact, measurements provide us the quantitative knowledge about things and phenomena. It is also widely recognized that the measurement result is capable of p- viding only incomplete information about the actual value of the measurand, that is, the quantity being measured. Therefore, a measurement result - comes useful, in any practicalsituation, only if a way is de?ned for estimating how incomplete is this information. The more recentdevelopment of measurement science has identi?ed in the uncertainty concept the most suitable way to quantify how incomplete is the information provided by a measurement result. However, the problem of how torepresentameasurementresulttogetherwithitsuncertaintyandpropagate measurementuncertaintyisstillanopentopicinthe?eldofmetrology,despite many contributions that have been published in the literature over the years. Many problems are in fact still unsolved, starting from the identi?cation of the best mathematical approach for representing incomplete knowledge. Currently, measurement uncertainty is treated in a purely probabilistic way, because the Theory of Probability has been considered the only available mathematical theory capable of handling incomplete information. However, this approach has the main drawback of requiring full compensation of any systematic e?ect that a?ects the measurement process. However, especially in many practical application, the identi?cation and compensation of all s- tematic e?ects is not always possible or cost e?ective.

Ross's Simulation, Fourth Edition introduces aspiring and practicing actuaries, engineers, computer scientists and others to the practical aspects of constructing computerized simulation studies to analyze and interpret real phenomena. Readers learn to apply results of these analyses to problems in a wide variety of fields to obtain effective, accurate solutions and make predictions about future outcomes. This text explains how a computer can be used to generate random numbers, and how to use these random numbers to generate the behavior of a stochastic model over time. It presents the statistics needed to analyze simulated data as well as that needed for validating the simulation model. - More focus on variance reduction, including control variables and their use in estimating the expected return at blackjack and their relation to regression analysis - A chapter on Markov chain monte carlo methods with many examples - Unique material on the alias method for generating discrete random variables

This book is intended for use by students, academicians and practicing engineers who in the course of their daily study or research have need for the probability distributions and associated statistics of random variables that are themselves Gaussian or in various forms derived from them. The format of the book is primarily that of a handbook in that, for the most part, the results are merely presented in their final form without derivation or discussion. As such the reader must rely on the typographical accuracy of the documented expressions, which the author has taken great pains to assure. Also included at the end of the book are numerous curves illustrating the behavior of a variety of the probability measures presented in mathematical form. The author wishes to acknowledge his many colleagues in industry and academia for the encouragement and support they provided for this project without which it might never have gotten started. INTRODUCTION There are certain reference works that engineers and scientists alike find invaluable in their day-to-day work activities. Many of these reference volumes are of a generic nature such as tables of integrals, tables of series, handbooks of mathematical formulas and transforms, etc. (see Refs. 1, 2, 3, and 4 for example), whereas others are collections of technical papers and textbooks that directly relate to the individual's specific field of specialty.

Many recent advances in modelling within the applied sciences and engineering have focused on the increasing importance of sensitivity analyses. For a given physical, financial or environmental model, increased emphasis is now placed on assessing the consequences of changes in model outputs that result from small changes or errors in both the hypotheses and parameters. The approach proposed in this book is entirely new and features two main characteristics. Even when extremely small, errors possess biases and variances. The methods presented here are able, thanks to a specific differential calculus, to provide information about the correlation between errors in different parameters of the model, as well as information about the biases introduced by non-linearity. The approach makes use of very powerful mathematical tools (Dirichlet forms), which allow one to deal with errors in infinite dimensional spaces, such as spaces of functions or stochastic processes. The method is therefore applicable to non-elementary models along the lines of those encountered in modern physics and finance. This text has been drawn from presentations of research done over the past ten years and that is still ongoing. The work was presented in conjunction with a course taught jointly at the Universities of Paris 1 and Paris 6. The book is intended for students, researchers and engineers with good knowledge in probability theory.

This book provides a rigorous, comprehensive introduction to the finite Markov chain imbedding technique for studying the distributions of runs and patterns from a unified and intuitive viewpoint, away from the lines of traditional combinatorics. The central theme of this approach is to properly imbed the random variables of interest into the framework of a finite Markov chain, and the resulting representations of the underlying distributions are compact and very amenable to further study of associated properties. The concept of finite Markov chain imbedding is systematically developed, and its utility is illustrated through practical applications to a variety of fields, including the reliability of engineering systems, hypothesis testing, quality control, and continuity measurement in the health care sector.

The series is devoted to the publication of high-level monographs and surveys which cover the whole spectrum of probability and statistics. The books of the series are addressed to both experts and advanced students.

The subject of this book lies on the boundary between probability theory and the theory of function spaces. Here Professor Braverman investigates independent random variables in rearrangement invariant (r.i.) spaces. The significant feature of r.i. spaces is that the norm of an element depends on its distribution only, and this property allows the results and methods associated with r.i. spaces to be applied to problems in probability theory. On the other hand, probabilistic methods can also prove useful in the study of r.i. spaces. In this book new techniques are used and a number of interesting results are given. Most of the results are due to the author but have never before been available in English. Here they are all presented together in a volume that will be essential reading for all serious researchers in this area.