Search

Meteorological disasters are one of the major risks to agricultural production, causing huge losses to agriculture. Agricultural insurance is an important part of the agricultural security system and can effectively spread agricultural risks and losses. Weather index insurance, which emerged in the late 1990s, has received a lot of attention, research, and applications due to its objectivity, standardization, and robust liquidity. In this paper, authors analyzed the advantages and disadvantages of weather index insurance compared to traditional agricultural insurance. The development of weather index insurance technology at home and abroad was reviewed. Authors introduced the development and practical application of weather index insurance model for Anhui grain crops (winter wheat, one season rice, summer corn), and discussed and prospected the future development of weather index insurance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Droughts are increasing in frequency and intensity as the global climate changes. Risk assessment for agricultural drought disasters is an important approach for disaster prevention and mitigation. Based on the formation mechanism of natural disaster risk, the index system model of agricultural drought risk assessment in North China was constructed, and the robustness of the established risk assessment model was tested by using the internal test method. Then based on the characteristics of agricultural drought risk formation in North China, the paper proposes corresponding risk prevention recommendations. The conclusions were as follows: when adjusting the indices and methods in the risk assessment model, the range of changes in the agricultural drought risk ranking for each city was mostly 1-2.5 places, and the model was relatively robust. With the exception of Beijing and Tianjin, which had the highest disaster prevention and mitigation capacity, central and northern China had the highest agricultural drought risk, which was previously linked to the high risk and vulnerability of these regions. The agricultural drought risk in northern Henan and southern Shandong is low, mainly due to the low risk. The 34 cities in North China can be divided into 6 agricultural drought risk clusters, which are not dispersed in space and cross-city distribution, and have good aggregation. Cluster 4, located in the northernmost mountainous areas, has the highest risk of drought, which is associated with high environmental vulnerability and low capacity for disaster prevention and mitigation, so agricultural areas should be reduced and agricultural input should be increased. Clusters 2, 5 and 6, located in the central and southern regions, have higher grain acreage and yields due to drought, so agricultural drought risk can be further reduced by increasing agricultural input and improving irrigation guarantee rate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The aims of this paper is to illustrate the importance of grain production in China's food security strategy based on the three Northeastern provinces (NEP) in the new period, which quantitative assessment of climate change under the background of the loss caused by meteorological disasters of regional food production is clarify. In this paper, using grain planting area, yield and agricultural disaster statistics from 1981 to 2020, comparison analysis grain production and disaster characteristics between NEP and the whole country respectively. The disaster-yield assessment model was used to estimate the disaster-yield loss and final yield of the NEP by inputting disaster data in recent 10 years, and the sensitivity and stability of the disaster-yield assessment model were re-tested. The results showed that :(1) from 1981 to 2020, the grain planting area and total output in NEP increased significantly, and the proportion of the total output of NEP increased steadily, and the proportion of the total output of the three northeast provinces reached 1/5 of the total output of the whole country by 2020. (2) The disaster situation in NEP showed a significant trend of first increasing and then decreasing. The incrasing of average grain yield during the past 40 years was 65.96kg⋅ha-1 and 252.5kg⋅ha-1 per year for NEP and the whole country, while the incrasing of average grain yield during the past 10 years was 52.6kg⋅ha-1 per year for NEP significantly. (3) From 2011 to 2020, the average affected area and affected area in China were 23704.5x10³ha and 11204.7x10³ha, respectively, and 3899.1x10³disasters of the whole country and the three northeastern provinces were significantly lower than those of the previous three years, making it the decade with the least severe disasters in 40 years. (4) The simulation accuracy of the disaster-yield assessment model was high. The linear regression coefficients (R²) of simulated grain yield and measured grain yield in Heilongjiang, Jilin and Liaoning provinces were 0.98, 0.90 and 0.88, respectively. The slopes were 1.05, 1.02 and 0.98 (P < 0.01), respectively. The loss rate of grain yield due to agro-disaster was 10.4%, 17.9% and 18.0% respectively in the three province, while which was more than 8.0%, 17.0% and 16.0% for 20a.years. (5) The model slightly overestimated the grain yield of Jilin and Liaoning in recent 10 years due to the overall light disaster situation. Based on the data from 1981 to 2010, the regional grain disaster loss assessment model was proved to be able to evaluate the loss of grain yield caused by meteorological disasters well, and had the performance of predicting grain yield, and has the feasibility of operational application. The impact of meteorological disasters on the grain output in northeast China is higher than the average level of disasters in the whole country. Considering that the grain output in Northeast China accounts for a high proportion of the national grain output, preventing the risk of agro-meteorological disasters in Northeast China in the new period is of great importance to guarantee the national food security. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Excessive anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gas have led to global climate change in recently years. Methane is an important greenhouse gas after carbon dioxide. Methane emissions increase with the global temperature, which further intensifies global warming. Soil is a huge source and sink of methane, and methanotrophic bacteria play a key role in reducing methane emissions. Exploring the effect of temperature on soil methane-oxidizing ability has been a research hotspot in recent years. This paper reviewed the effects of temperature on soil methane oxidation and methanotrophic bacteria; analyzes and compares the soil methane oxidation process and methanotrophic bacteria in various ecosystems at different temperatures, and the growth temperature range of methanotrophic bacteria strains. The results showed that various ecosystems have different temperature ranges for methane oxidation; the rate of methane oxidation increases with increasing temperature in their particular temperature ranges. When the cultivation temperature is closer to the in-situ temperature, the methane oxidation response will be faster. Similar to the effect of temperature on methane oxidation, the diversity and abundance of methanotrophic bacteria also increase with increasing temperature and are closely related to the magnitude of temperature increase and the adaptation temperature of dominant bacteria. Type II methanotrophic bacteria in the soil are more sensitive to temperature. As the temperature rises, the abundance of type II methanotrophs increases. Therefore, temperature affects the abundance and community structure of methanotrophs, thereby affecting the rate of methane oxidation and methane emissions. However, whether temperature can only change the methane oxidation capacity of the soil by regulating the replacement of dominant bacteria is still unconfirmed. This review discussed the response of methane oxidation to temperature and its microbial mechanism, in order to provides a comprehensive analysis for methane oxidation capacity under the context of future climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper is based on the meteorological observation data of the five meteorological stations (Shiquanhe, Gerze, Xianza, Bangoin and Amdo) near Qiangtang National Nature Reserve, the climate of Qiangtang National Nature Reserve from 1960 to 1990 and the estimated grid data in the future issued by IPCC5. The Miami model, Thornthwaite Memorial model, and tendency rate were used. The statistical analysis methods were used to study the spatiotemporal evolution of Net Primary Productivity in Qiangtang National Nature Reserve and its response to climate change. The results showed that: (1) the average annual temperature decreases from the west to the east, and the annual precipitation increases from the west to the east. The annual mean temperature(T) showed a significant increasing trend, while the annual precipitation(R) and annual evapotranspiration(E) showed a slight increasing trend. NPP of Temperature(NPPt) and NPP of precipitation(NPPr) showed a slight increasing trend at all stations, and NPP of evapotranspiration(NPPe) and standard NPP(NPPb) showed a slight increasing trend at most stations. (2) NPPt gradually decreased from the west to the east, NPPr gradually increased from the west to the east, NPPe and NPPb first increased and then decreased from the west to the east. The limiting factor of NPP was precipitation in Shiquanhe station and Gerze station, evapotranspiration in Xianza station and Bangoin station, and evapotranspiration or air temperature in Amdo station. (3) The NPPt, NPPr, NPPe and NPPb in different periods of the 21st century were significantly higher than those in all periods of the 20th century. The NPPt, NPPr, NPPe and NPPb were significantly increased in the future under different emission scenarios compared with those from 1960 to 1990. Under the trend of "warming and wetness" in the past 48 years and in the future, the NPP of vegetation increased, and the increase was larger in the cold and humid area in the southeast, but less in the cold and arid area in the northwest. The future climate is conducive to the improvement of local vegetation NPP and the improvement of local ecological environment. Assessing the possible impact of future climate change on the ecological environment of Qiangtang Plateau. The results not only provide a basic method for studying the Net Primary Productivity of vegetation in no man's land at regional scale, but also have important reference value for estimating ecological security research and ecological function planning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]