Search

Oil–paper insulation is the critical insulation element in the modern power system. Under a harsh operating environment, oil–paper insulation will deteriorate gradually, resulting in electrical accidents. Thus, it is important to evaluate and monitor the insulation state of oil–paper insulation. Firstly, this paper introduces the geometric structure and physical components of oil–paper insulation and shows the main reasons and forms of oil–paper insulation's degradation. Then, this paper reviews the existing condition assessment techniques for oil–paper insulation, such as the dissolved gas ratio analysis, aging kinetic model, cellulose–water adsorption isotherm, oil–paper moisture balance curve, and dielectric response technique. Additionally, the advantages and limitations of the above condition assessment techniques are discussed. In particular, this paper highlights the dielectric response technique and introduces its evaluation principle in detail: (1) collecting the dielectric response data, (2) extracting the feature parameters from the collected dielectric response data, and (3) establishing the condition assessment models based on the extracted feature parameters and the machine learning techniques. Finally, two full potential studies are proposed, which research hotspots' oil–paper insulation and the electrical–chemical joint evaluation technique. In summary, this paper concludes the principles, advantages and limitation of the existing condition assessment techniques for oil–paper insulation, and we put forward two potential research avenues. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Forecasting has extreme importance in industry due to the numerous competitive advantages that it provides, allowing to foresee what might happen and adjust management decisions accordingly. Industries increasingly use sensors, which allow for large-scale data collection. Big datasets enable training, testing and application of complex predictive algorithms based on machine learning models. The present paper focuses on predicting values from sensors installed on a pulp paper press, using data collected over three years. The variables analyzed are electric current, pressure, temperature, torque, oil level and velocity. The results of XGBoost and artificial neural networks, with different feature vectors, are compared. They show that it is possible to predict sensor data in the long term and thus predict the asset's behaviour several days in advance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The paper reports the results of a comparative assessment concerned with the effectiveness of identifying the basic forms of partial discharges (PD) measured by the acoustic emission technique (AE), carried out by application of selected machine learning methods. As part of the re-search, the identification involved AE signals registered in laboratory conditions for eight basic classes of PDs that occur in paper-oil insulation systems of high-voltage power equipment. On the basis of acoustic signals emitted by PDs and by application of the frequency descriptor that took the form of a signal power density spectrum (PSD), the assessment involved the possibility of identifying individual types of PD by the analyzed classification algorithms. As part of the research, the results obtained with the use of five independent classification mechanisms were analyzed, namely: k-Nearest Neighbors method (kNN), Naive Bayes Classification, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forests and Probabilistic Neural Network (PNN). The best results were achieved using the SVM classification tuned with polynomial core, which obtained 100% accuracy. Similar results were achieved with the kNN classifier. Random Forests and Naïve Bayes obtained high accuracy over 97%. Throughout the study, identification algorithms with the highest effectiveness in identifying specific forms of PD were established. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In a modern and dynamic electricity market, ensuring reliable, sustainable and efficient electricity distribution is a pillar of primary importance for grid operation. The high penetration of renewable energy sources and the formation of competitive prices for utilities play a critical role in the wider economic development. Electricity load and price forecasting have been a key focus of researchers in the last decade due to the substantial economic implications for both producers, aggregators and end consumers. Many forecasting techniques and methods have emerged during this period. This paper conducts a extensive and analytical review of the prevailing load and electricity price forecasting methods in the context of the modern wholesale electricity market. The study is separated into seven main sections. The first section provides the key challenges and the main contributions of this study. The second section delves into the workings of the electricity market, providing a detailed analysis of the three markets that have evolved, their functions and the key factors influencing overall market dynamics. In the third section, the main methodologies of electricity load and price forecasting approaches are analyzed in detail. The fourth section offers a comprehensive review of the existing literature focusing on load forecasting, highlighting various methodologies, models and their applications in this field. This section emphasizes the advances that have been made in all categories of forecasting models and their practical application in different market scenarios. The fifth section focuses on electricity price forecasting studies, summarizing important research papers investigating various modeling approaches. The sixth section constitutes a fundamental discussion and comparison between the load- and price-focused studies that are analyzed. Finally, by examining both traditional and cutting-edge forecasting methods, this review identifies key trends, challenges and future directions in the field. Overall, this paper aims to provide an in-depth analysis leading to the understanding of the state-of-the-art models in load and price forecasting and to be an important resource for researchers and professionals in the energy industry. Based on the research conducted, there is an increasing trend in the use of artificial intelligence models in recent years, due to the flexibility and adaptability they offer for big datasets, compared to traditional models. The combination of models, such as ensemble methods, gives us very promising results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The integration of analytical functions into machine learning-based engine models represents a significant advancement in predictive performance and operational efficiency. This paper focuses on the development of hybrid approaches to model engine combustion and temperature indices and on the synergistic effects of combining traditional analytical methods with modern machine learning techniques (such as artificial neural networks) to enhance the accuracy and robustness of such models. The main innovative contribution of this paper is the integration of analytical functions to improve the extrapolation capabilities of the data-driven models. In this work, it is demonstrated that the integrated models achieve superior predictive accuracy and generalization performance across dynamic engine operating conditions, with respect to purely neural network-based models. Furthermore, the analytical corrective functions force the output of the complete model to follow a physical trend and to assume consistent values also outside the domain of values assumed by the input features during the training procedure of the neural networks. This study highlights the potential of this integrative approach based on the implementation of the effects superposition principle. Such an approach also allows us to solve one of the intrinsic issues of data-driven modeling, without increasing the complexity of the training data's collection and pre-processing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Electrical power systems are the lifeblood of modern civilization, providing the essential energy infrastructure that powers our homes, industries, and technologies. As our world increasingly relies on electricity, and modern power systems incorporate renewable energy sources, the challenges have become more complex, necessitating advanced forecasting and optimization to ensure effective operation and sustainability. This review paper provides a comprehensive overview of electrical power systems and delves into the crucial roles that forecasting and optimization play in ensuring future sustainability. The paper examines various forecasting methodologies from traditional statistical approaches to advanced machine learning techniques, and it explores the challenges and importance of renewable energy forecasting. Additionally, the paper offers an in-depth look at various optimization problems in power systems including economic dispatch, unit commitment, optimal power flow, and network reconfiguration. Classical optimization methods and newer approaches such as meta-heuristic algorithms and artificial intelligence-based techniques are discussed. Furthermore, the review paper examines the integration of forecasting and optimization, demonstrating how accurate forecasts can enhance the effectiveness of optimization algorithms. This review serves as a reference for electrical engineers developing sophisticated forecasting and optimization techniques, leading to changing consumer behaviors, addressing environmental concerns, and ensuring a reliable, efficient, and sustainable energy future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Within the area of environmental perception, automatic navigation, object detection, and computer vision are crucial and demanding fields with many applications in modern industries, such as multi-target long-term visual tracking in automated production, defect detection, and driverless robotic vehicles. The performance of computer vision has greatly improved recently thanks to developments in deep learning algorithms and hardware computing capabilities, which have spawned the creation of a large number of related applications. At the same time, with the rapid increase in autonomous systems in the market, energy consumption has become an increasingly critical issue in computer vision and SLAM (Simultaneous Localization and Mapping) algorithms. This paper presents the results of a detailed review of over 100 papers published over the course of two decades (1999–2024), with a primary focus on the technical advancement in computer vision. To elucidate the foundational principles, an examination of typical visual algorithms based on traditional correlation filtering was initially conducted. Subsequently, a comprehensive overview of the state-of-the-art advancements in deep learning-based computer vision techniques was compiled. Furthermore, a comparative analysis of conventional and novel algorithms was undertaken to discuss the future trends and directions of computer vision. Lastly, the feasibility of employing visual SLAM algorithms in the context of autonomous vehicles was explored. Additionally, in the context of intelligent robots for low-carbon, unmanned factories, we discussed model optimization techniques such as pruning and quantization, highlighting their importance in enhancing energy efficiency. We conducted a comprehensive comparison of the performance and energy consumption of various computer vision algorithms, with a detailed exploration of how to balance these factors and a discussion of potential future development trends. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The diagnosis of vibration faults in hydropower units is essential for ensuring the safe and stable operation of these systems. This paper proposes a fault diagnosis method for hydropower units that combines Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) with an optimized Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) utilizing the Hiking Optimization Algorithm (HOA). To address the issue of noise interference in the vibration signals of hydropower units, this study employs DMD technology alongside a thresholding technique for noise reduction, demonstrating its effectiveness through comparative trials. Furthermore, to facilitate a thorough analysis of the operational status of hydropower units, this paper extracts multidimensional features from denoised signals. To improve the efficiency of model training, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is applied to streamline the data. Given that the weights and biases of the ELM are generated randomly, which may impact the model's stability and generalization capabilities, the HOA is introduced for optimization. The HOA-ELM model achieved a classification accuracy of 95.83%. A comparative analysis with alternative models substantiates the superior performance of the HOA-ELM model in the fault diagnosis of hydropower units. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Reducing traffic energy consumption is crucial for smart cities, and vehicle carbon emissions are a key energy indicator. Traffic signal control (TSC) is a useful method because it can affect the energy consumption of vehicles on the road by controlling the stop-and-go of vehicles at traffic intersections. However, setting traffic signals to reduce energy consumption will affect traffic efficiency and this is not in line with traffic management objectives. Current studies adopt multi-objective optimization methods with high traffic efficiency and low carbon emissions to solve this problem. However, most methods use static weights, which cannot adapt to complex and dynamic traffic states, resulting in non-optimal performance. Current energy indicators for urban transportation often fail to consider passenger fairness. This fairness is significant because the purpose of urban transportation is to serve people's mobility needs not vehicles. Therefore, this paper proposes Multi-objective Adaptive Meta-DQN TSC (MMD-TSC), which introduces a dynamic weight adaptation mechanism to simultaneously optimize traffic efficiency and energy saving, and incorporates the per capita carbon emissions as the energy indicator. Firstly, this paper integrates traffic state data such as vehicle positions, velocities, vehicle types, and the number of passengers and incorporates fairness into the energy indicators, using per capita carbon emissions as the target for reducing energy consumption. Then, it proposes MMD-TSC with dynamic weights between energy consumption and traffic efficiency as reward functions. The MMD-TSC model includes two agents, the TSC agent and the weight agent, which are responsible for traffic signal adjustment and weight calculation, respectively. The weights are calculated by a function of traffic states. Finally, the paper describes the design of the MMD-TSC model learning algorithm and uses a SUMO (Simulation of Urban Mobility) v.1.20.0 for traffic simulation. The results show that in non-highly congested traffic states, the MMD-TSC model has higher traffic efficiency and lower energy consumption compared to static multi-objective TSC models and single-objective TSC models, and can adaptively achieve traffic management objectives. Compared with using vehicle average carbon emissions as the energy consumption indicator, using per capita carbon emissions achieves Pareto improvements in traffic efficiency and energy consumption indicators. The energy utilization efficiency of the MMD-TSC model is improved by 35% compared to the fixed-time TSC. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This review paper thoroughly explores the impact of artificial intelligence on the planning and operation of distributed energy systems in smart grids. With the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence techniques such as machine learning, optimization, and cognitive computing, new opportunities are emerging to enhance the efficiency and reliability of electrical grids. From demand and generation prediction to energy flow optimization and load management, artificial intelligence is playing a pivotal role in the transformation of energy infrastructure. This paper delves deeply into the latest advancements in specific artificial intelligence applications within the context of distributed energy systems, including the coordination of distributed energy resources, the integration of intermittent renewable energies, and the enhancement of demand response. Furthermore, it discusses the technical, economic, and regulatory challenges associated with the implementation of artificial intelligence-based solutions, as well as the ethical considerations related to automation and autonomous decision-making in the energy sector. This comprehensive analysis provides a detailed insight into how artificial intelligence is reshaping the planning and operation of smart grids and highlights future research and development areas that are crucial for achieving a more efficient, sustainable, and resilient electrical system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The sliding window method is commonly used for non-intrusive load disaggregation. However, it is difficult to choose the appropriate window size, and the disaggregation effect is poor in low-frequency industrial environments. To better handle low-frequency industrial load data, in this paper, we propose a vertical non-intrusive load disaggregation model that is different from the sliding window method. By training multiple electrical parameters at a single point on the bus end with the corresponding load data at the branch end, the proposed method, called multiple electrical parameters to point (Mep2point), takes the electrical parameter data sampled at a single point on the bus end as its input and outputs the load data of the target device sampled at the corresponding point. First, the electrical parameters of the bus end are processed, and each item is normalized to the range from 0–1. Then, the electrical parameters are vertically arranged by their time point, and a convolutional neural network (CNN) is used to train the model. The proposed method is analyzed on low-frequency industrial user data sampled at a frequency of 1/120 Hz in the real world. We compare our method with three advanced sliding window methods, achieving an average improvement ranging from 9.23% to 22.51% in evaluation metrics, while showing substantial superiority in the actual decomposed images. Compared with three classical machine learning algorithms, our model, using the same amount of data, significantly outperforms these methods. Finally, we also compared our method with the multi-channel low window sequence-to-point (MLSP) method, which also selects multiple electrical parameters. Our model's complexity is much less than that of the MLSP model, and its performance remains high. The superiority of our model, as presented in this paper, is fully verified by experimental analysis, which can produce better actual load decomposition results from each branch and contribute to the analysis and monitoring of loads in industrial environments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper reviews renewable energy integration with the electrical power grid through the use of advanced solutions at the device and system level, using smart operation with better utilisation of design margins and power flow optimisation with machine learning. This paper first highlights the significance of credible temperature measurements for devices with advanced power flow management, particularly the use of advanced fibre optic sensing technology. The potential to expand renewable energy generation capacity, particularly of existing wind farms, by exploiting thermal design margins is then explored. Dynamic and adaptive optimal power flow models are subsequently reviewed for optimisation of resource utilisation and minimisation of operational risks. This paper suggests that system-level automation of these processes could improve power capacity exploitation and network stability economically and environmentally. Further research is needed to achieve these goals. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The integration of renewable energy sources (RES) into smart grids has been considered crucial for advancing towards a sustainable and resilient energy infrastructure. Their integration is vital for achieving energy sustainability among all clean energy sources, including wind, solar, and hydropower. This review paper provides a thoughtful analysis of the current status of the smart grid, focusing on integrating various RES, such as wind and solar, into the smart grid. This review highlights the significant role of RES in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and reducing traditional fossil fuel reliability, thereby contributing to environmental sustainability and empowering energy security. Moreover, key advancements in smart grid technologies, such as Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI), Distributed Control Systems (DCS), and Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) systems, are explored to clarify the related topics to the smart grid. The usage of various technologies enhances grid reliability, efficiency, and resilience are introduced. This paper also investigates the application of Machine Learning (ML) techniques in energy management optimization within smart grids with the usage of various optimization techniques. The findings emphasize the transformative impact of integrating RES and advanced smart grid technologies alongside the need for continued innovation and supportive policy frameworks to achieve a sustainable energy future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper addresses the further development and optimization of a modeling- and machine learning-based framework for early fault detection and diagnosis in induction motors. The goal behind the multi-level framework is to provide a pragmatic and practical approach for the autonomous monitoring of electrical machines in various industrial applications. The main contributions of this paper include the elimination of a fingerprint measurement in the processing of the framework and the development of a generalized model for fault detection and diagnosis. These aspects allow the training of neural networks with a simulated data set before even knowing the specific induction motor to be monitored. The pre-trained feed-forward neural networks enable the detection of several electrical and mechanical faults in a real induction motor with an overall accuracy of 99.56%. Another main contribution is the extension of the methodology to a larger operating range. As a result, various faults in a real induction motor can be detected under different load conditions with accuracies of over 92%. As a further part of the paper, a concept for a prototype is presented, which enables the autonomous and practice-friendly application of the framework. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Reservoir productivity prediction is a key component of oil and gas field development, and the rapid and accurate evaluation of reservoir productivity plays an important role in evaluating oil field development potential and improving oil field development efficiency. Fracture-vuggy reservoirs are characterized by strong heterogeneity, complex distribution, and irregular development, causing great difficulties in the efficient prediction of fracture-vuggy reservoirs' productivity. Therefore, a PSO-BP fracture-vuggy reservoir productivity prediction model optimized by feature optimization was proposed in this paper. The Chatterjee correlation coefficient was used to select the appropriate combination of seismic attributes as the input of the prediction model, and we applied the PSO-BP model to predict oil wells' production in a typical fracture-vuggy reservoir area of Tahe Oilfield, China, with the selected seismic attributes and compared the accuracy with that provided by the BP neural network, linear support vector machine, and multiple linear regression. The prediction results using the four models based on the test set showed that compared with the other three models, the MSE of the PSO-BP model increased by 23% to 62%, the RMSE increased by 12 to 38 percent, the MAE increased by 18 to 44 percent, the SSE increased by 23 to 62 percent, and the R-square value increased by 2 to 13 percent. This comparison proves that the PSO-BP neural network model proposed in this paper is suitable for the productivity prediction of fracture-vuggy reservoirs and has better performance, which is of guiding significance for the development and production of fracture-vuggy reservoirs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In recent decades, Saudi Arabia has experienced a significant surge in energy consumption as a result of population growth and economic expansion. This has presented utility companies with the formidable challenge of upgrading their facilities and expanding their capacity to keep pace with future energy demands. In order to address this issue, there is an urgent need to implement energy-saving solutions such as energy storage systems (ESSs) and renewable energy sources, which can help to reduce demand during peak hours. To ensure optimal use of ESSs, it is crucial to integrate a load forecasting model with the ESS in order to control charging and discharging rates and schedules. The irregular load profile is a particularly significant consumer of energy, consuming approximately 2.5 GWh annually at the cost of USD 3 billion in Saudi Arabia. In light of this, this paper develops a load forecasting model for the irregular load profile with a high degree of accuracy: achieving 95%. One of the key applications of this model is load peak shaving. Given the region's abundance of solar irradiation, the paper propose an integration of a solar PV system with a battery energy storage system (BESS) and analyzes various scenarios to determine the efficacy of the proposed approach. The results demonstrate significant savings when the proposed forecasting model is integrated with a BESS and PV system, with the potential to reduce monthly imported power by more than 22% during the summer season. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper addresses the problem of accurate and interpretable prediction of energy consumption in residential buildings. The solution that we propose in this work employs the knowledge discovery machine learning approach combining fuzzy systems with evolutionary optimization. The contribution of this work is twofold, including both methodology and experimental investigations. As far as methodological contribution is concerned, in this paper, we present an original designing procedure of fuzzy rule-based prediction systems (FRBPSs) for accurate and transparent energy consumption prediction in residential buildings. The proposed FRBPSs are characterized by a genetically optimized accuracy–interpretability trade-off. The trade-off optimization is carried out by means of multi-objective evolutionary optimization algorithms—in particular, by our generalization of the well-known strength Pareto evolutionary algorithm 2 (SPEA2). The proposed FRBPSs' designing procedure is our original extension and generalization (for regression problems operating on continuous outputs) of an approach to designing fuzzy rule-based classifiers (FRBCs) we developed earlier and published in 2020 in this journal. FRBCs operate on discrete outputs, i.e., class labels. The experimental contribution of this work includes designing the collection of FRBPSs for residential building energy consumption prediction using the data set published in 2024 and available from Kaggle Database Repository. Moreover, the comparison with 20 available alternative approaches is carried out, demonstrating that our approach significantly outperforms alternative methods in terms of interpretability and transparency of the energy consumption predictions made while remaining comparable or slightly superior in terms of the accuracy of those predictions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper presents an advanced AI-based optimization framework for Electric Vehicle (EV) smart charging systems, focusing on efficient energy distribution to meet dynamic user demand. The study leverages machine learning models such as Random Forest, Support Vector Regression (SVR), Gradient Boosting Regressor, XGBoost, LightGBM, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) to forecast user demand and optimize energy allocation. Among the models, XGBoost demonstrated superior predictive performance, achieving the lowest Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), making it the most effective for real-time user demand prediction in smart charging scenarios. The framework introduces proportional and priority-based allocation strategies to distribute available energy effectively, with a focus on minimizing energy shortfalls and balancing supply with user demand. Results from the XGBoost model reduced prediction error by 15% compared to other models, significantly improving the station's ability to meet user demand efficiently. The proposed AI framework enhances charging station operations, supports grid stability, and promotes sustainability in the context of increasing EV adoption. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The architecture, engineering, construction, and operations (AECO) sector exerts a considerable influence on energy consumption and CO2 emissions released into the atmosphere, making a notable contribution to climate change. It is therefore imperative that energy efficiency in buildings is prioritized in order to reduce environmental impacts and meet the targets set out in the European 2030 Agenda. In this context, renewable energy communities (RECs) have the potential to play an important role, promoting the use of renewable energy at the local level, optimizing energy management, and reducing consumption by sharing resources and advanced technologies. This paper introduces an open tool (OT) designed for the configuration of energy systems dedicated to RECs. The OT considers several inputs, including thermal and electrical loads, energy consumption, the type of building, surface area, and population size. The OT employs artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms and machine learning (ML) techniques to generate forecast optimized scenarios for the sizing of photovoltaic systems, thermal, and electrical storage, and the estimation of CO2 emission reductions. The OT features a user-friendly interface, enabling even non-experts to obtain comprehensive configurations for RECs, aiming to accelerate the transition toward sustainable and efficient district energy systems, driving positive environmental impact and fostering a greener future for communities and cities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Machine learning tools represent a key methodology for the shape optimization of complex geometries in the turbomachinery field. One of the current challenges is to redesign High-Pressure Turbine (HPT) stages to couple them with innovative combustion technologies. In fact, recent developments in the gas turbine field have led to the introduction of pioneering solutions such as Rotating Detonation Combustors (RDCs) aimed at improving the overall efficiency of the thermodynamic cycle at low overall pressure ratios. In this study, a HPT vane equipped with diffusive endwalls is optimized to allow for ingesting a high-subsonic flow ( M a = 0.6 ) delivered by a RDC. The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the prediction ability of machine learning tools in case of multiple input parameters and different objective functions. Moreover, the model predictions are used to identify the optimal solutions in terms of vane efficiency and operating conditions. A new solution that combines optimal vane efficiency with target values for both the exit flow angle and the inlet Mach number is also presented. The impact of the newly designed geometrical features on the development of secondary flows is analyzed through numerical simulations. The optimized geometry achieved strong mitigation of the intensity of the secondary flows induced by the main flow separation from the diffusive endwalls. As a consequence, the overall vane aerodynamic efficiency increased with respect to the baseline design. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The increasing interests and recent advancements in artificial intelligence and machine learning have significantly accelerated the development of novel techniques for the state estimation of batteries in electrified vehicles' battery management systems (BMSs). Determining the remaining capacity among the several BMS states is crucial for ensuring the safe and stable functioning of an electric vehicle. This paper proposes an adaptive estimator for the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries, leveraging a Genetic Algorithm (GA)-tuned random forest (RF) regressor. The estimator is designed to function effectively under varying thermal conditions. The optimization of critical parameters, namely, the number of estimators (n-estimators) and the minimum number of samples per leaf (min-samples-leaf), is a focal point of this study to enhance model accuracy and robustness. The model effectively captures the battery's dynamic behavior and inherent non-linearity. The Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) achieved during testing demonstrate promising accuracy and superior prediction. The results demonstrated significant improvements in state of charge (SOC) estimation accuracy. The proposed GA-optimized RF model achieved an MAE of 0.0026 at 25 °C and 0.0102 at −20 °C, showing a 41.37% to 50% reduction in the MAE compared to traditional random forest models without GA optimization. The RMSE was also reduced by 18.57% to 31.01% across the tested temperature range. These improvements highlight the model's ability to accurately estimate the SOC in varying thermal conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In the field of oil and gas well perforation, it is imperative to accurately forecast the casing entry hole diameter under full downhole conditions. Precise prediction of the casing entry hole diameter enhances the design of both conventional and limited entry hydraulic fracturing, mitigates the risk of proppant screenout, reduces skin factors attributable to perforation, guarantees the presence of sufficient flow areas for the effective pumping of cement during a squeeze operation, and reduces issues related to sand production. Implementing machine learning and deep learning models yields immediate and precise estimations of entry hole diameter, thereby facilitating the attainment of these objectives. The principal aim of this research is to develop sophisticated machine learning-based models proficient in predicting entry hole diameter under full downhole conditions. Ten machine learning and deep learning models have been developed utilizing readily available parameters routinely gathered during perforation operations, including perforation depth, rock density, shot phasing, shot density, fracture gradient, reservoir unconfined compressive strength, casing elastic limit, casing nominal weight, casing outer diameter, and gun diameter as input variables. These models are trained by utilizing actual casing entry hole diameter data acquired from deployed downhole cameras, which serve as the output for the X' models. A comprehensive dataset from 53 wells has been utilized to meticulously develop and fine-tune various machine learning algorithms. These include Gradient Boosting, Linear Regression, Stochastic Gradient Descent, AdaBoost, Decision Trees, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbor, neural network, and Support Vector Machines. The results of the most effective machine learning models, specifically Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, AdaBoost, neural network (L-BFGS), and neural network (Adam), reveal exceptionally low values of mean absolute percent error (MAPE), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean squared error (MSE) in comparison to actual measurements of entry hole diameter. The recorded MAPE values are 4.6%, 4.4%, 4.7%, 4.9%, and 6.3%, with corresponding RMSE values of 0.057, 0.057, 0.058, 0.065, and 0.089, and MSE values of 0.003, 0.003, 0.003, 0.004, and 0.008, respectively. These low MAPE, RMSE, and MSE values verify the remarkably high accuracy of the generated models. This paper offers novel insights by demonstrating the improvements achieved in ongoing perforation operations through the application of a machine learning model for predicting entry hole diameter. The utilization of machine learning models presents a more accurate, expedient, real-time, and economically viable alternative to empirical models and deployed downhole cameras. Additionally, these machine learning models excel in accommodating a broad spectrum of guns, well completions, and reservoir parameters, a challenge that a singular empirical model struggled to address. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Leading edge (LE) erosion is a type of damage that inhibits the aerodynamic performance of a wind turbine, resulting in high operation and maintenance (O&M) costs. This paper makes use of a small dataset consisting of 50 images of LE erosion and healthy blades for feature extraction and the training of four types of classifiers, namely, support vector machine (SVM), random forest, K-nearest neighbour (KNN), and multi-layer perceptron (MLP). Six feature extraction methods were used with these classifiers to train 24 models. The dataset has also been used to train a convolutional neural network (CNN) model developed using Keras. The purpose of this work is to determine whether classical machine learning (ML) classifiers trained with extracted features can produce higher-accuracy results, train faster, and classify faster than deep learning (DL) models for the application of LE damage detection of wind turbine blades. The oriented fast and rotated brief (ORB)-trained SVM achieved an accuracy of 90% ± 0.01, took 80.4 s to train, and achieved inference speeds of 63 frames per second (FPS), compared to the CNN model, which achieved an accuracy of 79.4% ± 2.07, took 4667.4 s to train, and achieved an inference speed of 1.3 FPS. These results suggest that classical ML models can be more accurate and efficient than DL models if the appropriate feature extraction method is used. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper focuses on reducing energy consumption in ultrasound tomography by utilizing machine learning techniques. The core idea is to investigate the feasibility of minimizing the number of measurement sensors without sacrificing prediction accuracy. This article evaluates the quality of reconstructions derived from data collected through two or three measurement channels. In subsequent steps, machine learning models are developed to predict the number, location, and size of the objects. A reliable object detection method is introduced, requiring less information than traditional signal analysis from multiple channels. Various machine learning models were tested and compared to validate the approach, with most demonstrating high accuracy or R 2 scores in their respective tasks. By reducing the number of sensors, the goal is to lower energy usage while maintaining high precision in localization. This study contributes to the ongoing research on energy efficiency in sensing and localization, especially in environments where resource optimization is crucial, such as remote or resource-limited settings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Anomaly detection is a common analytical task aimed at identifying rare cases that differ from the majority of typical cases in a dataset. In the management of photovoltaic (PV) power generation systems, it is essential for electric power companies to effectively detect anomalies in PV sequence data, as this helps operators and experts understand and interpret anomalies within PV arrays when making response decisions. However, traditional methods that rely on manual labor and regular data collection are difficult to monitor in real time, resulting in delays in fault detection and localization. Traditional machine learning algorithms are slow and cumbersome in processing data, which affects the operational safety of PV plants. In this paper, we propose a visual analytic approach for detecting and exploring anomalous sequences in a PV sequence dataset via sequence learning. We first compare the sequences with their reconstructions through an unsupervised anomaly detection algorithm (Long Short-Term Memory) based on AutoEncoders to identify anomalies. To further enhance the accuracy of anomaly detection, we integrate the artificial intelligence of things (AIoT) technology with a strict time synchronization data collection and real-time processing algorithm. This integration ensures that data from multiple sensors are synchronized and processed in real time. Then, we analyze the characteristics of the anomalies based on the visual comparison of different PV sequences and explore the potential correlation factors to analyze the possible causes of the anomalies. Case studies based on authentic enterprise datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our method in the anomaly detection and exploration of PV sequence data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cyber-physical power systems (CPPS) integrate information and communication technology into conventional electric power systems to facilitate bidirectional communication of information and electric power between users and power grids. Despite its benefits, the open communication environment of CPPS is vulnerable to various security attacks. This paper proposes a federated deep learning-based architecture to detect false data injection attacks (FDIAs) in CPPS. The proposed work offers a strong, decentralized alternative with the ability to boost detection accuracy while maintaining data privacy, presenting a significant opportunity for real-world applications in the smart grid. This framework combines state-of-the-art machine learning and deep learning models, which are used in both centralized and federated learning configurations, to boost the detection of false data injection attacks in cyber-physical power systems. In particular, the research uses a multi-stage detection framework that combines several models, including classic machine learning classifiers like Random Forest and ExtraTrees Classifiers, and deep learning architectures such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU). The results demonstrate that Bidirectional GRU and LSTM models with attention layers in a federated learning setup achieve superior performance, with accuracy approaching 99.8%. This approach enhances both detection accuracy and data privacy, offering a robust solution for FDIA detection in real-world smart grid applications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Hydrothermal liquefaction (HTL) is an effective biomass thermochemical conversion technology that can convert organic waste into energy products. However, the HTL process is influenced by various complex factors such as operating conditions, feedstock properties, and reaction pathways. Machine learning (ML) methods can utilize existing HTL data to develop accurate models for predicting product yields and properties, which can be used to optimize HTL operation conditions. This paper presents a bibliometric review on ML applications in HTL from 2020 to 2024. CiteSpace, VOSviewer, and Bibexcel were used to analyze seven key bibliometric attributes: annual publication output, author co-authorship networks, country co-authorship networks, co-citation of references, co-citation of journals, collaborating institutions, and keyword co-occurrence networks, as well as time zone maps and timelines, to identify the development of ML in HTL research. Through the detailed analysis of co-occurring keywords, this study aims to identify frontiers, research gaps, and development trends in the field of ML-aided HTL. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, which represents a fundamental step in ongoing research, a new smart low-energy dual-function half-mode substrate integrated waveguide cavity-interdigital capacitor (HMSIWC-DIC) antenna-based sensor is developed and investigated for remote frost and wildfire detection applications at 5.7 GHz. The proposed methodology exploits the HMSIW antenna-based sensor, a microfluidic channel (microliter water channel (50 μL)), interdigital capacitor technologies, and the resonance frequency parameters combined with machine learning algorithms. This allows for superior interaction between the water channel and the TE101 mode, resulting in high sensitivity (∆f/∆ε = 5.5 MHz/ε (F/m) and ∆f/∆°C = 1.83 MHz/°C) within the sensing range. Additionally, it exhibits high decision-making ability and immunity to interference, demonstrating a best-in-class sensory response to weather temperature across two ranges: positive (≥0 °C, including frost and wildfire) and negative (<0 °C, including ice accumulation). To address the challenges posed by the non-linear, unpredictable behavior of resonance frequency results, even when dealing with weak sensor antenna responses, an innovative sensory intelligent system was proposed. This system utilizes resonance frequency results as features to classify and predict weather temperature ranges into three environmental states: Early Frost, Normal, and Early Wildfire, achieving an accuracy of 96.4%. Several machine learning techniques are employed, including artificial neural networks (ANNs), random forests (RF), decision trees (DT), support vector machines (SVMs), and Gaussian processes (GPs). This sensor serves as an ideal solution for energy management through its utilization in RF-based weather temperature sensing applications. It boasts stable performance, minimal energy consumption, and real-time sensitivity, eliminating the necessity for manual data recording. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper proposes a new maximum power point tracking (MPPT) method based on machine learning with improved power production efficiency for application to photovoltaic (PV) systems. Power loss occurs in the incremental conductance (InC) method, depending on the size of the voltage step used to track the maximum power point. Additionally, the size of the voltage step must be specified by the initial user; however, an appropriate size cannot be determined in a rapidly changing environment. To solve this problem, this study presents a gradient descent InC (GD InC) method that optimizes the size of the voltage step by applying an optimization method based on machine learning. The effectiveness of the GD InC method was verified and the optimized size of the voltage step was confirmed to produce the largest amount of power. When the size of the voltage step was optimized, a maximum difference of 4.53% was observed compared with the case when the smallest amount of power was produced. The effectiveness of the GD InC method, which improved the efficiency of power production by optimizing the size of the voltage step, was verified. Power can be produced efficiently by applying the GD InC method to PV systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The automotive industry is increasingly focused on developing more energy-efficient and eco-friendly air-conditioning systems. In this context, CO2 microchannel gas coolers (MCGCs) have emerged as promising alternatives due to their low global warming potential (GWP) and environmental benefits. This paper explores the application of machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict the thermohydraulic performance of MCGCs in automotive air-conditioning systems. Using data generated from an experimentally validated numerical model, this study compares various ML techniques, including both linear and nonlinear regression models, to forecast key performance metrics such as refrigerant outlet temperature, pressure drop, and heat transfer rate. Spearman's correlation was employed to develop performance maps, whereas the R2 and MSE metrics were used to evaluate the models' predictive accuracy. The linear models gave around 70% forecasting accuracy for pressure drop across the gas cooler and 97% accuracy for refrigerant outlet temperature, whereas the nonlinear models achieved more accurate predictions, with an accuracy ranging from 71% to 99%. This implies that nonlinear regression generally performs better than linear regression models in assessing the overall thermohydraulic performance of microchannel gas coolers. This research brings forth new ideas on how ML methods can be applied to enhance efficiency and effectiveness in gas coolers, contributing to the development of more eco-friendly automotive air-conditioning systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

As the evolution of smart grids accelerates, distributed energy resources (DERs) emerge as key elements in the transformation of global energy systems. However, the integration of these technologies introduces significant cybersecurity vulnerabilities, notably false data injection (FDI) and a direct load-altering attack (DLAA). Traditional load-altering attacks require a huge attack load and, thus, are not practical to implement. In contrast, in modern DER environments where households become "prosumers" with high-power energy generation, the implications of such attacks are substantially amplified. This paper considers a hybrid cyberattack that includes both FDI and a DLAA, and presents a hierarchical, optimal load adjustment framework that addresses these security concerns. A centralized optimizer first calculates the ideal load-shedding strategies for each substation, which are then securely broadcast to households. To address the complexities at the individual household level, we introduce a novel reinforcement learning algorithm termed Mean Field Deep Deterministic Policy Gradients (MF-DDPG). This algorithm employs mean-field game theory to enable decentrally coordinated decision-making among each household, making it particularly effective in zero-trust scenarios. Through this multifaceted approach, we offer a robust countermeasure against load-altering attacks, thereby enhancing the resilience and stability of advanced smart grids. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Data-driven models have become powerful tools for structural and condition monitoring of engineering systems, particularly wind turbines. This paper presents a comparative analysis of common machine learning (ML) algorithms (artificial neural networks, linear regression, random forests, and gradient boosting) and a cointegration-based approach for fault detection using Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) data. While ML models offer early fault prediction, the cointegration method is simpler, requires less training data, and has lower computational costs. However, it is less effective for early detection. To balance these trade-offs, we propose a cascading monitoring framework, where the ML model provides long-term predictions (outer monitoring process) and the cointegration model offers short-term verification (inner monitoring process). The cointegration model serves to confirm anomalies flagged by the ML model. By combining both models in a cascade structure, the system reduces the risk of false alarms triggered by uncertainties in the ML model alone. Furthermore, the short-term cointegration-based prediction model helps pinpoint immediate risks and mitigate the issue of prolonged downtime. This combination enhances both accuracy and reliability, as demonstrated through testing on a five-year SCADA dataset from a commercial wind turbine with a known gearbox fault. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Accurate monitoring of lithium-ion battery temperature is essential to ensure these batteries' efficient and safe operation. This paper proposes a relevance-based reconstruction-oriented EMD-Informer machine learning model, which combines empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and the Informer framework to estimate the surface temperature of 18,650 lithium-ion batteries during charging and discharging processes under complex operating conditions. Initially, based on 9000 data points from the U.S. NASA Prognostics Center of Excellence's random battery-usage dataset, where each data point includes three features: temperature, voltage, and current, EMD is used to decompose the temperature data into intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). Subsequently, the IMFs are reconstructed into low-, medium-, and high-correlation components based on their correlation with the original data. These components, along with voltage and current data, are fed into sub-models. Finally, the model captures the long-term dependencies among temperature, voltage, and current. The experimental results show that, in single-step prediction, the mean squared error, mean absolute error, and maximum absolute error of the model's predictions are 0.00095, 0.02114, and 0.32164 °C; these metrics indicate the accurate prediction of the surface temperature of lithium-ion batteries. In multi-step predictions, when the prediction horizon is set to 12 steps, the model achieves a hit rate of 93.57% where the maximum absolute error is within 0.5 °C; under these conditions, the model combines high predictive accuracy with a broad predictive range, which is conducive to the effective prevention of thermal runaway in lithium-ion batteries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Today's increasingly complex energy systems require innovative approaches to integrate and optimize different energy sources and technologies. In this paper, we explore the system of systems (SoS) approach, which provides a comprehensive framework for improving energy systems' interoperability, efficiency, and resilience. By examining recent advances in various sectors, including photovoltaic systems, electric vehicles, energy storage, renewable energy, smart cities, and rural communities, this study highlights the essential role of SoSs in addressing the challenges of the energy transition. The principal areas of interest include the integration of advanced control algorithms and machine learning techniques and the development of robust communication networks to manage interactions between interconnected subsystems. This study also identifies significant challenges associated with large-scale SoS implementation, such as real-time data processing, decision-making complexity, and the need for harmonized regulatory frameworks. This study outlines future directions for improving the intelligence and autonomy of energy subsystems, which are essential for achieving a sustainable, resilient, and adaptive energy infrastructure. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Creating accurate emission models capable of capturing the variability and dynamics of modern propulsion systems is crucial for future mobility planning. This paper presents a methodology for creating THC and NOx emission models for vehicles equipped with start–stop technology. A key aspect of this endeavor is to find techniques that accurately replicate the engine's stop stages when there are no emissions. To this end, several machine learning techniques were tested using the Python programming language. Random forest and gradient boosting methods demonstrated the best predictive capabilities for THC and NOx emissions, achieving R2 scores of approximately 0.9 for engine emissions. Additionally, recommendations for effective modeling of such emissions from vehicles are presented in the paper. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The methods of artificial intelligence (AI) have been used in the planning and operation of electric power systems for more than 40 years. In recent years, due to the development of microprocessor and data storage technologies, the effectiveness of this use has greatly increased. This paper provides a systematic overview of the application of AI, including the use of machine learning (ML) in the electric power system. The potential application areas are divided into four blocks and the classification matrix has been used for clustering the AI application tasks. Furthermore, the data acquisition methods for setting the parameters of AI and ML algorithms are presented and discussed in a systematic way, considering the supervised and unsupervised learning methods. Based on this, three complex application examples, being wind power generation forecasting, smart grid security assessment (using two methods), and automatic system fault detection are presented and discussed in detail. A summary and outlook conclude the paper. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This document discusses the degradation and failure mechanisms of dielectric insulation in medium- and high-voltage power equipment. It highlights the importance of controlling insulation material degradation to prevent equipment failures and reduce the risk of environmental pollution. The document includes several research papers that address various topics related to the measurement, monitoring, and improvement of power equipment components. These papers cover issues such as winding breakdown faults in transformers, overvoltages caused by vacuum circuit breaker interruptions, insulation resistance degradation in cables, temperature rise in composite insulators, partial discharges and their effects on insulation, and acoustic inspection for detecting partial discharges. The document also presents studies on the technical condition of on-load tap changers, the behavior of silicone elastomers under electrical and mechanical stress, and the percolation phenomenon in square matrices. [Extracted from the article]

As the demand for electricity, electrification, and renewable energy rises, accurate forecasting and flexible energy management become imperative. Distribution network operators face capacity limits set by regional grids, risking economic penalties if exceeded. This study examined data-driven approaches of load forecasting to address these challenges on a city scale through a use case study of Eskilstuna, Sweden. Multiple Linear Regression was used to model electric load data, identifying key calendar and meteorological variables through a rolling origin validation process, using three years of historical data. Despite its low cost, Multiple Linear Regression outperforms the more expensive non-linear Light Gradient Boosting Machine, and both outperform the "weekly Naïve" benchmark with a relative Root Mean Square Errors of 32–34% and 39–40%, respectively. Best-practice hyperparameter settings were derived, and they emphasize frequent re-training, maximizing the training data size, and setting a lag size larger than or equal to the forecast horizon for improved accuracy. Combining both models into an ensemble could the enhance accuracy. This paper demonstrates that robust load forecasts can be achieved by leveraging domain knowledge and statistical analysis, utilizing readily available machine learning libraries. The methodology for achieving this is presented within the paper. These models have the potential for economic optimization and load-shifting strategies, offering valuable insights into sustainable energy management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With the development of smart grids and new power systems, the combination of non-intrusive load identification technology and smart home technology can provide users with the operating conditions of home appliances and equipment, thus reducing home energy loss and improving users' ability to demand a response. This paper proposes a non-intrusive load decomposition model with a parallel multiscale attention mechanism (PMAM). The model can extract both local and global feature information and fuse it through a parallel multiscale network. This improves the attention mechanism's ability to capture feature information over long time periods. To validate the model's decomposition ability, we combined the PMAM model with four benchmark models: the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network model, the Time Pooling-based Load Disaggregation Model (TPNILM), the Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), and the Load Disaggregation Model without Parallel Multi-scalar Attention Mechanisms (UNPMAM). The model was trained on the publicly available UK-DALE dataset and tested. The models' test results were quantitatively evaluated using a confusion matrix. This involved calculating the F1 score of the load decomposition. A higher F1 score indicates better model decomposition performance. The results indicate that the PMAM model proposed in this paper maintains an F1 score above 0.9 for the decomposition of three types of electrical equipment under the same household user, which is 3% higher than that of the other benchmark models on average. In the cross-household test, the PMAM also demonstrated a better decomposition ability, with the F1 score maintained above 0.85, and the mean absolute error (MAE) decreased by 5.3% on average compared with that of the UNPMAM. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Operating nuclear power plants (NPPs) generate and collect large amounts of equipment reliability (ER) element data that contain information about the status of components, assets, and systems. Some of this information is in textual form where the occurrence of abnormal events or maintenance activities are described. Analyses of NPP textual data via natural language processing (NLP) methods have expanded in the last decade, and only recently the true potential of such analyses has emerged. So far, applications of NLP methods have been mostly limited to classification and prediction in order to identify the nature of the given textual element (e.g., safety or non-safety relevant). In this paper, we target a more complex problem: the automatic generation of knowledge based on a textual element in order to assist system engineers in assessing an asset's historical health performance. The goal is to assist system engineers in the identification of anomalous behaviors, cause–effect relations between events, and their potential consequences, and to support decision-making such as the planning and scheduling of maintenance activities. "Knowledge extraction" is a very broad concept whose definition may vary depending on the application context. In our particular context, it refers to the process of examining an ER textual element to identify the systems or assets it mentions and the type of event it describes (e.g., component failure or maintenance activity). In addition, we wish to identify details such as measured quantities and temporal or cause–effect relations between events. This paper describes how ER textual data elements are first preprocessed to handle typos, acronyms, and abbreviations, then machine learning (ML) and rule-based algorithms are employed to identify physical entities (e.g., systems, assets, and components) and specific phenomena (e.g., failure or degradation). A few applications relevant from an NPP ER point of view are presented as well. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper presents a detailed review of the existing literature on peer-to-peer (P2P) energy trading considering market architectures, trading strategies, and enabling technologies. P2P energy trading enables individual users in the electricity network to act as sellers or buyers and trade energy among each other. To facilitate the discussion on different aspects of P2P energy trading, this paper focuses on P2P market mechanisms, relevant bidding strategies, and auction models. In addition, to solve the energy management problems associated with P2P energy trading, this paper investigates widely used solution methods such as game-theoretic models, mathematical optimisation, as well as more recent machine learning techniques and evaluates them in a critical manner. The outcomes of this investigation along with the identification of the challenges and limitations will allow researchers to find suitable P2P energy trading mechanisms based on different market contexts. Moreover, the discussions on potential future research directions are expected to improve the effectiveness of P2P energy trading technologies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The digitization of distribution power systems has revolutionized the way data are collected and analyzed. In this paper, the critical task of harnessing this information to identify irregularities and anomalies in electricity consumption is tackled. The focus is on detecting non-technical losses (NTLs) and energy theft within distribution networks. A comprehensive overview of the methodologies employed to uncover NTLs and energy theft is presented, leveraging measurements of electricity consumption. The most common scenarios and prevalent cases of anomalies and theft among consumers are identified. Additionally, statistical indicators tailored to specific anomalies are proposed. In this research paper, the practical implementation of numerous artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms, including the artificial neural network (ANN), ANFIS, autoencoder neural network, and K-mean clustering, is highlighted. These algorithms play a central role in our research, and our primary objective is to showcase their effectiveness in identifying NTLs. Real-world data sourced directly from distribution networks are utilized. Additionally, we carefully assess how well statistical methods work and compare them to AI techniques by testing them with real data. The artificial neural network (ANN) accurately identifies various consumer types, exhibiting a frequency error of 7.62%. In contrast, the K-means algorithm shows a slightly higher frequency error of 9.26%, while the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) fails to detect the initial anomaly type, resulting in a frequency error of 11.11%. Our research suggests that AI can make finding irregularities in electricity consumption even more effective. This approach, especially when using data from smart meters, can help us discover problems and safeguard distribution networks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Domestic hot water (DHW) consumption represents a significant portion of household energy usage, prompting the exploration of smart heat pump technology to efficiently meet DHW demands while minimizing energy waste. This paper proposes an innovative investigation of models using deep learning and continual learning algorithms to personalize DHW predictions of household occupants' behavior. Such models, alongside a control system that decides when to heat, enable the development of a heat-pumped-based smart DHW production system, which can heat water only when needed and avoid energy loss due to the storage of hot water. Deep learning models, and attention-based models particularly, can be used to predict time series efficiently. However, they suffer from catastrophic forgetting, meaning that when they dynamically learn new patterns, older ones tend to be quickly forgotten. In this work, the continuous learning of DHW consumption prediction has been addressed by benchmarking proven continual learning methods on both real dwelling and synthetic DHW consumption data. Task-per-task analysis reveals, among the data from real dwellings that do not present explicit distribution changes, a gain compared to the non-evolutive model. Our experiment with synthetic data confirms that continual learning methods improve prediction performance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Accurate load forecasting is essential for the efficient and reliable operation of power systems. Traditional models primarily utilize unidirectional data reading, capturing dependencies from past to future. This paper proposes a novel approach that enhances load forecasting accuracy by fine tuning an attention-based model with a bidirectional reading of time-series data. By incorporating both forward and backward temporal dependencies, the model gains a more comprehensive understanding of consumption patterns, leading to improved performance. We present a mathematical framework supporting this approach, demonstrating its potential to reduce forecasting errors and improve robustness. Experimental results on real-world load datasets indicate that our bidirectional model outperforms state-of-the-art conventional unidirectional models, providing a more reliable tool for short and medium-term load forecasting. This research highlights the importance of bidirectional context in time-series forecasting and its practical implications for grid stability, economic efficiency, and resource planning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Short-term load forecasting is a challenging research problem and has a tremendous impact on electricity generation, transmission, and distribution. A robust forecasting algorithm can help power system operators to better tackle the ever-changing electric power demand. This paper presents a novel deep neural network for short-term electric load forecasting for the St. John's campus of Memorial University of Newfoundland (MUN). The electric load data are obtained from the Memorial University of Newfoundland and combined with metrological data from St. John's. This dataset is used to formulate a multivariate time-series forecasting problem. A novel deep learning algorithm is presented, consisting of a 1D Convolutional Neural Network, which is followed by an encoder–decoder-based network with attention. The input used for this model is the electric load consumption and metrological data, while the output is the hourly prediction of the next day. The model is compared with Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) and Long Short Term Memory (LSTM)-based Recurrent Neural Network. A CNN-based encoder–decoder model without attention is also tested. The proposed model shows a lower mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and higher R2 score. These evaluation metrics show an improved performance compared to GRU and LSTM-based RNNs as well as the CNN encoder–decoder model without attention. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Forecasting the electricity market, even in the short term, is a difficult task, due to the nature of this commodity, the lack of storage capacity, and the multiplicity and volatility of factors that influence its price. The sensitivity of the market results in the appearance of anomalies in the market, during which forecasting models often break down. The aim of this paper is to present the possibility of using hybrid machine learning models to forecast the price of electricity, especially when such events occur. It includes the automatic detection of anomalies using three different switch types and two independent forecasting models, one for use during periods of stable markets and the other during periods of anomalies. The results of empirical tests conducted on data from the Polish energy market showed that the proposed solution improves the overall quality of prediction compared to using each model separately and significantly improves the quality of prediction during anomaly periods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Large-scale optimization (LSO) problems among photovoltaic (PV) and concentrated solar power (CSP) systems are attracting increasing attention as they help improve the energy dispatch efficiency of PV and CSP systems to minimize power costs. Therefore, it is necessary and urgent to systematically analyze and summarize various LSO methods to showcase their advantages and disadvantages, ensuring the efficient operation of hybrid energy systems comprising different PV and CSP systems. This paper compares and analyzes the latest LSO methods for PV and CSP systems based on meta-heuristic algorithms (i.e., Particle Swarm Optimization, Genetic Algorithm, Enhanced Gravitational Search Algorithm, and Grey Wolf Optimization), numerical simulation and stochastic optimization methods (i.e., Constraint Programming, Linear Programming, Dynamic Programming Optimization Algorithm, and Derivative-Free Optimization), and machine learning-based AI methods (Double Grid Search Support Vector Machine, Long Short-Term Memory, Kalman Filter, and Random Forest). An in-depth analysis and A comparison of the essence and applications of these algorithms are conducted to explore their characteristics and suitability for PV and CSP or hybrid systems. The research results demonstrate the specificities of different LSO algorithms, providing valuable insights for researchers with diverse interests and guiding the selection of the most appropriate method as the solution algorithm for LSO problems in various PV and CSP systems. This also offers useful references and suggestions for extracting research challenges in LSO problems of PV and CSP systems and proposing corresponding solutions to guide future research development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting prediction is a crucial stage to utilize the stability, quality, and management of a hybrid power grid due to its dependency on weather conditions. In this paper, a short-term PV forecasting prediction model based on actual operational data collected from the PV experimental prototype installed at the engineering college of Misan University in Iraq is designed using various machine learning techniques. The collected data are initially classified into three diverse groups of atmosphere conditions—sunny, cloudy, and rainy meteorological cases—for various seasons. The data are taken for 3 min intervals to monitor the swift variations in PV power generation caused by atmospheric changes such as cloud movement or sudden changes in sunlight intensity. Then, an artificial neural network (ANN) technique is used based on the gray wolf optimization (GWO) and genetic algorithm (GA) as learning methods to enhance the prediction of PV energy by optimizing the number of hidden layers and neurons of the ANN model. The Python approach is used to design the forecasting prediction models based on four fitness functions: R2, MAE, RMSE, and MSE. The results suggest that the ANN model based on the GA algorithm accommodates the most accurate PV generation pattern in three different climatic condition tests, outperforming the conventional ANN and GWO-ANN forecasting models, as evidenced by the highest Pearson correlation coefficient values of 0.9574, 0.9347, and 0.8965 under sunny, cloudy, and rainy conditions, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The detection and deterrence of collusive agreements among firms, such as price-fixing cartels, remain pivotal in maintaining market competition. This study investigates the application of machine learning methodologies in the behavioral screening process for detecting collusion, with a specific focus on parallel pricing behaviors in the wholesale fuel market. By employing unsupervised learning techniques, this research aims to identify patterns indicative of collusion—referred to as collusion markers—within time series data. This paper outlines a comprehensive screening research plan based on the CRISP-DM model, detailing phases from business understanding to monitoring. It emphasizes the significance of machine learning methods, including distance measures, motifs, discords, and semantic segmentation, in uncovering these patterns. A case study of the Polish wholesale fuel market illustrates the practical application of these techniques, demonstrating how anomalies and regime changes in price behavior can signal potential collusion. The findings suggest that unsupervised machine learning methods offer a robust alternative to traditional statistical and econometric tools, particularly due to their ability to process large and complex datasets without predefined models. This research concludes that these methods can significantly enhance the detection of collusive behaviors, providing valuable insights for antitrust authorities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The intermittent and stochastic nature of Renewable Energy Sources (RESs) necessitates accurate power production prediction for effective scheduling and grid management. This paper presents a comprehensive review conducted with reference to a pioneering, comprehensive, and data-driven framework proposed for solar Photovoltaic (PV) power generation prediction. The systematic and integrating framework comprises three main phases carried out by seven main comprehensive modules for addressing numerous practical difficulties of the prediction task: phase I handles the aspects related to data acquisition (module 1) and manipulation (module 2) in preparation for the development of the prediction scheme; phase II tackles the aspects associated with the development of the prediction model (module 3) and the assessment of its accuracy (module 4), including the quantification of the uncertainty (module 5); and phase III evolves towards enhancing the prediction accuracy by incorporating aspects of context change detection (module 6) and incremental learning when new data become available (module 7). This framework adeptly addresses all facets of solar PV power production prediction, bridging existing gaps and offering a comprehensive solution to inherent challenges. By seamlessly integrating these elements, our approach stands as a robust and versatile tool for enhancing the precision of solar PV power prediction in real-world applications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]