1. A SEASONALLY FORCED EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH TARGETED ANTIVIRAL PROPHYLAXIS.
- Author
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QIU, ZHIPENG
- Subjects
- *
PREVENTION of infectious disease transmission , *ANTIVIRAL agents , *SEASONAL variations of diseases , *MATHEMATICAL models , *FORCING (Model theory) , *TARGETED drug delivery , *VIRAL replication , *SIMULATION methods & models - Abstract
In this paper, we propose a mathematical model to describe the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases with targeted antiviral prophylaxis strategy. Our model incorporates seasonal driving force since seasonal force has a great effect on the spread of infectious diseases. Based on the local stability of disease free equilibrium we derive the control reproduction number $\mathcal R_0$. Sufficient conditions for the global stability of the disease free equilibrium are obtained. Using the persistence theory for discrete dynamical system, we prove that the infectious disease will remain endemic if \mathcal R_0>1$. Simulation results are also provided to study the effect of targeted antiviral prophylaxis on transmission dynamics of infectious disease and investigate the influence of seasonality on the efficiency of targeted antiviral prophylaxis strategy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2010
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