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This paper presents a recursive Bayesian inference framework for digital twinning of an offshore wind turbine (OWT) in the Block Island Wind Farm (BIWF), the first commercial offshore wind farm in the U.S. with jacket substructure. The framework employs a window-based extended Kalman filter (EKF) to jointly estimate the dynamic input loads and unknown model parameters of the finite element (FE) model of the turbine using sparse output-only measurements. The estimation of input loads on the OWT is critical for fatigue life estimation, foundation monitoring and control strategy. In the proposed joint estimation algorithm, unknown input time histories are divided into overlapping windows and the current window of inputs is concatenated with uncertain model parameters to form an augmented state vector. To account for the uncertainty about wind direction and misalignment between wind direction and the turbine yaw angle, two independent horizontal wind load time histories in X and Y directions are estimated at the nacelle level. A numerical validation study is first performed in which wind loads of the OWT are simulated using the multi-physics platform FAST, and structural vibration responses are generated using the FE model in OpenSees. The window-based EKF is implemented using the simulated measurements, and the estimations of structural stiffness as the updating model parameter and input loads are observed to have high accuracy. The proposed algorithm is then validated using in-situ measurements on one of the OWT in BIWF. To investigate the effectiveness and robustness of the method under different environmental and operational conditions, four cases are considered in which the turbine is operating at the rated rotor speed (region 3 of power generation), below the rated rotor speed (region 2), idling rotor state (region 1 or no power), and region 4 beyond cut-out wind speed. Accurate predictions of acceleration and strain data are obtained using the proposed algorithm, and the estimations of model parameter are consistent and close to their nominal value under different conditions. These results from numerical and experimental studies validate the proposed window-based EKF for joint parameter-input estimation and digital twinning for long-term structural health monitoring of the OWT. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• A recursive window-based Bayesian inference approach is formulated and validated. • It is implemented for joint input-parameter estimation of an offshore structure. • Strain time histories at hotspots are accurately predicted through virtual sensing. • The proposed method outperform modal expansion method for virtual sensing. This paper presents a recursive Bayesian inference framework for joint parameter-input identification, and virtual sensing for strain time history prediction of an offshore platform using sparse output-only measurements. The studied offshore platform, known as FINO3, is in the North Sea and is instrumented with a variety of sensors, including accelerometers and strain gauges. Offshore platforms are fatigue critical structures due to harsh marine environmental conditions and continuous cyclic wind and wave loads. Therefore, continuous monitoring of strain time histories at hotspot locations of offshore structures is important for reducing maintenance cost and avoiding unexpected failures. A windowed unscented Kalman filter (UKF) is employed to estimate an uncertain modeling parameter (foundation stiffness) and unknown input load time histories using output-only acceleration and strain measurements. The input loads are divided into overlapping windows, and windowed inputs and model parameters are combined as an augmented state vector in the UKF framework. Then strain time histories at critical locations are estimated through a virtual sensing strategy using the estimated input loads and model parameter. A traditional modal expansion approach combined with model updating is also implemented for the purpose of verification and comparison. The proposed method is first demonstrated through a numerical study using a finite element model of FINO3, where accurate model parameter and input estimations are obtained. Then the approach is further investigated using the actual measurements on FINO3. More accurate strain predictions are provided by the UKF than the modal expansion approach, which recommends the proposed UKF method for fatigue monitoring and input estimation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]