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Conventional load flow algorithms are very commonly used in the system planning. In the conventional load flow methods, system electrical parameters at specific weather conditions will be considered. These methods gives results for given loading condition and have no provision to incorporate weather condition of a specific geographical location. If the load flow has the provision to incorporate the dynamic electrical characteristics of the conductors based on the operating weather condition, the results of the methods are going to be more accurate or in other words the results are close to the real values. In view of the above, in this paper a modified load flow algorithm incorporating the thermal modeling of the conductors with ambient temperature, wind velocity, conductor surface absorptivity, global solar radiation, Wind direction factor etc. is proposed. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm, the thermal mathematical model of transmission lines available in IEEE Std. 738™ -2006, IEEE Std. 738™ -2012 and CIGRE WG 22.12 are considered. In the proposed algorithm, new variables corresponding to Conductor Temperature are incorporated. The proposed algorithm is tested with the real time weather data of India and demonstrated on IEEE 30 and 118 bus systems. • An algorithm for power flow including thermal models of the transmission lines. • Variable weather and ZIP load models are incorporated in the proposed algorithm. • It estimates the transmission line temperature using the field measurements. • Seasonal variations of the critical bus voltages are estimated using proposed method. • Impact of renewable generation on system performance is evaluated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Bringing the asset management of transformer under the purview of building manager from utility. • Derived mathematical model of demand response from transformer thermal model. • Method to estimate transformer temperature time constant from measurements and algorithm for improving the life of transformer by regulating HVAC and AHUs. • Smart grid architecture for demand responsive HVAC. • Real time simulation of impact of demand response using the actual building consumption data from an academic campus. Overloading and ageing effects contribute to 12-15% of distribution transformer failures in India. This research is motivated in extending life of transformer by using demand response as an operational strategy where the demand response events are issued by predicting overheating of transformer before it occurs. In this paper heating ventilation and air conditioning is considered as a flexible load for responding to demand response events. A demo site is created at 11 KV/440 V substation with 1.6 MVA transformer at Indian Institute of Technology Hyderabad (IITH) campus and the proposed architecture and algorithm is implemented. This substation supplies power to chiller plant and three academic buildings with heating ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC). Analysis for improving the transformer lifetime is carried out for 5 consecutive days during the period (25–29)th Feb 2020 using real time field data. It is observed that during this period 11 demand response events occurred with a total demand response of 919 kWH. From the obtained results it is observed that there is a saving of 15 hoursof transformer life within a period of 5 days (120 hours) of transformer operation. The key contribution in this paper is to bring together three concepts transformer lifetime estimation, HVAC flexibility and demand response for improving the transformer lifetime. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper describes a comprehensive approach to improved lithofacies characterization using the simultaneous pre-stack inversion, Bayesian classification, and multiple-point geostatistics. This integrated workflow provides an enhanced lithofacies characterization by reproducing the continuity of geological facies in the meandering-fluvial sandstone reservoir from Upper Assam, India. The simultaneous pre-stack inversion provides the rock elastic properties of the reservoir, such as P- impedance, s-impedance, density, and V P /V S ratio. Next, the probabilistic modeling approach of Baye's theorem is used to integrates seismic elastic properties with well log lithofacies identified from the cross-plot analysis for probability volumes of lithofacies. Finally, the multiple-point geostatistics based on the Single Normal equation Simulation algorithm is used to generate the improved lithofacies model by constraining of the lithofacies probability volumes (soft data) and well logging data (hard data). These results were compared with the Bayesian lithofacies classification and proved that the adopted method had successfully improved the continuation of the reservoir lithofacies by reproducing the lithofacies, hence an improvement in the reservoir characterization. • An integrated workflow is used that provides better lithofacies characterization. • Estimation of seismic elastic properties using simultaneous prestack inversion. • Prediction probability volumes of lithofacies by Bayesian classification. • The SNESIM algorithm applied with constrained by probability volumes and well data. • Improved lithofacies volume generated by the multiple-point geostatistics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: Increasing demand of bandwidth in communication satellites has forced satellite links to be designed in Ku bands and above. But at these frequencies, rain and other tropospheric elements result in large attenuation. To mitigate the tropospheric attenuation of microwave satellite signals above 10GHz using any standard Fade Mitigation Technique (FMT), it is essential to have a priori knowledge about the level of attenuation. Hence, short-term rain attenuation prediction models play a key role in maintaining the link in which necessary compensation can be applied depending on the early information of attenuation. This paper presents a method of attenuation prediction using Adaptive Artificial Neural Network. Here In situ Learning Algorithm (ILA) has been used to enable the system to track the non-stationary nature of the attenuation. To validate this, Ku Band data, collected at three different sites in India have been used for the purpose of prediction. The performance of the algorithm is determined through the estimation of prediction accuracy by comparing the predicted values with the measured data. Results obtained using the mentioned technique shows considerably good accuracy even up to 20s of prediction interval with acceptable ratio between the under and over predictions. The prediction performance is evaluated for different prediction intervals. Furthermore the present model is also compared with the persistence model and the relative performance is quantified. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: This paper proposes a new algorithm for modeling the nonlinear seismic behavior of fractured concrete gravity dams considering dam–reservoir interaction effects. In this algorithm, the cracked concrete gravity dam is modeled by distinct element (DE) method, which has been widely used for the analysis of blocky media. Dynamic response of the reservoir is obtained using boundary element (BE) method. Formulation and various computational aspects of the proposed staggered hybrid approach are thoroughly discussed. To the authors'' knowledge, this is the first study of a hybrid DE–BE approach for seismic analysis of cracked gravity dam–reservoir systems. The validity of the algorithm is discussed by developing a two-dimensional computer code and comparing results obtained from the proposed hybrid DE–BE approach with those reported in the literature. For this purpose, a few problems of seismic excitations in frequency- and time-domains, are presented using the proposed approach. Present results agree well with the results from other numerical methods. Furthermore, the cracked Koyna Dam is analyzed, including dam–reservoir interaction effects with focus on the nonlinear behavior due to its top profile crack. Results of the present study are compared to available results in the literature in which the dam–reservoir interaction were simplified by added masses. It is shown that the nonlinear analysis that includes dam–reservoir interaction gives downstream sliding and rocking response patterns that are somehow different from that of the case when the dam–reservoir interaction is approximated employing added masses. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: In this paper, the parameter-wise optimization training process is implemented to achieve an optimal configuration of focused time lagged recurrent neural network (FTLRNN) models by embedding the gamma, laguarre, and multi-channel tapped delay line memory structure. The aim is to examine the prediction ability of the proposed models in order to predict one-day-ahead electric power load simultaneously as usual to oppose 1–24h forecast in sequel with a special emphasis on seasonal changes over a year. An improved delta-bar-delta algorithm is used to accelerate the training of neural networks and to improve the stability of the convergence. Experimental results indicate that the FTLRNN with time delay neural network (TDNN) clearly outperformed the gamma and laguarre based short-term memory structure in various performance metrics such as mean square error (MSE), normalized MSE, correlation coefficient (r) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) during evaluation process. Empirical results show that the proposed dynamic NN model consistently performs well on daily, weekly, and monthly average basis in terms of prediction accuracy. It is noticed from the literature review that an optimally configured FTLRNN with multi-channel tapped delay line memory structure is not currently available to solve short-term electrical power load prediction. The proposed method gives acceptable errors in all seasons, months and on daily basis. The average prediction error on three weeks is obtained as low as 1.67%. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: This paper presents the results of the application of model (developed in part I) and simulation algorithm (developed in part II) for determining the techno-economics of battery storage type hybrid energy system intended to supply the load of a rural remote area having a cluster of nine villages (grid isolated). The hour-by-hour simulation model is intended to simulate a typical one month period of system operation. For simulation purpose, hourly solar insolation data and load data have been generated and used as an input data. Demand side management (DSM) is used in this study to smooth out the daily peaks and fill valleys in the load curve to make the most efficient use of energy sources. The economic analysis has resulted in the calculation of optimized hourly, daily, and monthly system unit cost of proposed hybrid energy system. The obtained results represent also a helpful reference for energy planners in Uttarakhand state and justify the consideration of hybrid energy systems more seriously. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: This paper attempts to assess the adequacy of wind power generation systems using the data collected from seven wind farms in Muppandal, Tamilnadu (India) with a total capacity of 37 MW. A Monte Carlo model simulation is incorporated in the algorithm to obtain the hourly power output of wind farms, which also takes into account the unavailability of wind turbines. A typical load demand profile is used to examine the chronological hourly wind power generation for each month. The reliability index of LOLE (loss of load expectation) is used to estimate the reliable contribution of wind farm power generation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Studied the effect of catchment size and simulation time steps on parameter sensitivity. • Hydrological model is developed for 10 different watersheds of Narmada River basin. • Two Global Sensitivity Analysis methods used to identify the sensitive parameters. • To avoid over parameterization, most and least sensitive parameters are identified. • Identifying a set of sensitive parameters that covers all the hydrological processes. Hydrological models have many parameters representing various hydrological processes. These parameters are effective at different spatial and temporal resolution. Most of the parameters can be measured such as slope, elevation, area, vegetation type etc., but others cannot be estimated from the available data. Thus, they remain unknown in a hydrological simulation. Local and Global Sensitivity Analyses (LSA and GSA respectively) are therefore used to reduce the number of parameters that need to be equipped with input–output data. GSA also improves the efficiency of the model calibration and validation which in turn increases the reliability of the model. In this paper, we investigate into the effect of size of a catchment (small, medium, and large) time steps of simulation (Daily and Monthly), and the choice of GSA method in performing sensitivity analysis. A Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrologic model is developed for 10 subbasins of Narmada River basin at daily and monthly temporal simulations from January 1991 to December 2000. The sensitivity of 29 input parameters have been analysed with two GSA methods: the multilinear regression SA used by sequential uncertainty fitting algorithm (SUFI-2) in SWAT – Calibration and Uncertainty procedure (SWAT-CUP), and the first order sensitivity indices driven by Fourier Amplitude Sensitivity Test (FAST). Our results show that a hydrological model set up with only sensitive parameters can also produce similar results as when all the parameters are considered. We concluded that the selection of catchment size and simulation time step strongly influence the parameter sensitivity. Our results show that the sensitivity of some of the parameters like Curve number for moisture condition (CN2.mgt), baseflow alpha factor for bank storage (ALPHA_BNK.rte) and lateral flow travel time (LAT_TTIME.hru) are independent of catchment size and simulation time step. Moreover, baseflow alpha factor for the recession constant (ALPHA_BF.gw), manning's value for overland flow (OV_N.hru) and soil erodibility factor (USLE_K(..).sol) are not sensitive for large and medium range watersheds but those are sensitive for small watershed at a monthly time step. Ground water delay (GW_DELAY.gw), average slope steepness (HRU_SLP.hru) and support practice (p) factor of USLE soil equation (USLE_P.mgt) are not sensitive for large watersheds but sensitive for small and medium range watersheds at a daily time step. Our results strongly recommends that a detailed parameter sensitivity analysis is an important step in setting up any hydrological model to reduce the number of parameters while addressing all relevant hydrological processes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: A broad range of current airborne gamma ray spectrometry (AGRS) applications involve environmental mapping and mineral exploration. One common goal for such applications is the development of an algorithm for reliable on line classification of radio elements. In this paper, we propose the concept of maximization of correlated information as the similarity measure for classification. In order to achieve this similarity measure, we have developed an algorithm using the concept of minimization of mutual information, which is computationally faster, and requiring less memory than the hierarchical agglomerative clustering (HAC) method. The minimization of mutual information is achieved by maximizing the correlated information of the correlation matrix. The correlated information is maximized by the determination of its lower bound using the technique of determinant inequalities developed by us. We demonstrate the robustness of our results using mutual information and its superiority over that of Ward''s method of minimum variance for the aerial survey carried out in central India. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Accurately forecasting energy demand can better predict future changes in energy demand. This study is aimed to develop more accurate clean energy prediction model from two perspectives of the modeling mechanisms and improvements on the model structure. For this purpose, a novel Riccati–Bernoulli differential equation is established through social practice theory, supply–demand relationship, and the preference of consumption in the energy economy. Considering the limited information in observation data, this differential equation is then transformed into a grey Riccati–Bernoulli model (GRBM(1,1)) according to the differential information principle. With the response function solved on the basis of polynomial equation theory and the power exponent optimized combining the modified flower pollination algorithm, the main process of GRBM(1,1) can be summarized. The four validation examples are provided for confirming the effectiveness and reliability of the new model by comparing with other existing models. Finally, the proposed model is employed to estimate and forecast the clean energy consumption in China and India. The results show that the proposed model demonstrates better estimation in all cases and efficiency in short-term clean energy consumption forecasting. Therefore, by using this optimum model, China's preference coefficient in total energy consumption is 0.7103, lower than that of India (0.8799), and China's preference coefficient in clean energy consumption is 0.9665, higher than that of Indian (0.7155), which means China has less interest to increase total energy consumption but more interest in popularizing the clean energy. • This paper proposed a novel grey Riccati–Bernoulli model for energy consumption prediction. • A specific solution algorithm for this Riccati–Bernoulli equation is discussed in this research. • We compared the proposed novel grey model with other 12 exiting prediction models. • The novel model also reveals China's effort in popularizing the use of clean energy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Develop an Optimal Resource Selection Framework on Internet-of-Things (ORSF-IoT). • It supports optimal resource selection through the proposed algorithms, namely, Resource Discovery and Improved Firefly Algorithms. • Propose an Iterative Agglomerative Fuzzy K-Means (IAFKM) Clustering Algorithm for selection of best resources by indexing and ranking them on the basis of matched resources. • The framework provides optimal solution for selecting the parametric value having exceeded limit as the brightest firefly in less time. • It helps in providing timely alarms to the system for corrective measurements and enhances system performancesignificantly. The fundamental requirement for communication and computation across distinct application areas on Internet-of-Things is the resource discovery that demands appropriate reasoning for the optimal selection. With exponential growth of resources and their produced huge amount of heterogeneous data, various activities with respect to foraging and sense-making loops face challenges due to interoperability. Hence, interoperability emerges as a major bottleneck for the requirement. Therefore, to eliminate the challenge, the paper has proposed an "Optimal Resource Selection Framework for Internet-of-Things" that deals with the interoperability and ease the resource discovery and selection. The framework facilitates formation of semantic knowledge base as Shared Virtual Composite Ontology for capturing dynamic IoT heterogeneous data. Moreover, it supports optimal resource selection through the proposed algorithms, namely , Resource discovery Algorithm and Improved Firefly Algorithm. Both algorithms target coordination and optimization with Shared Ontology, respectively. The feasibility of the framework is checked against data collected from Sutlej river, Ludhiana, Punjab, India. The proposed framework is evaluated using benchmark functions with respect to metrics such as mean, standard deviation, processing and execution time. The obtained results are compared with the existing Nature-Inspired algorithms to confirm the efficiency of the proposed framework. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this article, a new optimization technique known as Kho-Kho optimization (KKO) algorithm is presented. This proposed technique is a population based meta-heuristic method which is inspired from the strategies used by players in a well known tag-team game played in India, i.e. Kho-Kho. The performance and superiority of the proposed method with respect to other existing methods is evaluated using twenty nine benchmark functions and real-time optimization problems related to power system i.e. combined emission economic dispatch and combined heat and power economic dispatch problem. • This paper presents a new Kho-Kho optimization algorithm (KKO). • KKO is inspired by a well-known tag-team game played in India known as Kho-Kho. • KKO mimics the strategies used by a chasing team to catch the runners of a running team. • Twenty-nine benchmark functions are used to test the performance of the proposed algorithm. • Further, KKO is used to solve real-time optimization problems of power system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]