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Accurate and reliable low-voltage load forecasting is critical to optimal operation and control of distribution network and smart grid. However, compared to traditional regional load forecasting at high-voltage level, it faces tough challenges due to the inherent high uncertainty of the low-capacity load and distributed renewable energy integrated in the demand side. This paper proposes a novel hybrid ensemble deep learning (HEDL) approach for deterministic and probabilistic low-voltage load forecasting. The deep belief network (DBN) is applied to low-voltage load point prediction with the strong ability of approximating nonlinear mapping. A series of ensemble learning methods including bagging and boosting variants are introduced to improve the regression ability of DBN. In addition, the differencing transformation technique is utilized to ensure the stationarity of load time series for the application bagging and boosting methods. On the basis of the integrated thought of ensemble learning, a new hybrid ensemble algorithm is developed via integrating multiple separate ensemble methods. Considering the diversity in various ensemble algorithms, an effective K nearest neighbor classification method is utilized to adaptively determine the weights of sub-models. Furthermore, HEDL based probabilistic forecasting is proposed by taking advantage of the inherent resample idea in bagging and boosting. The effectiveness of the HEDL method for both deterministic and probabilistic forecasting has been systematically verified based on realistic load data from East China and Australia, indicating its promising prospective for practical applications in distribution networks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper presents a weakly supervised regression model for the visual house appraisal problem, which aims to predict the value of a house from its photos and textual descriptions (e.g., number of bedrooms). The key idea of our approach is a multi-layer neural network, called multi-instance Deep Ranking and Regression (MiDRR) net, which jointly solves two coupled tasks: ranking and regression, in the multiple instance setting. The network is trained using weakly supervised data, which do not require intensive human annotations. We also design a set of human heuristics to promote deep features through imposing constraints over the solution space, e.g., a house with three bedrooms often has a higher value than that with only two bedrooms. While these constraints are specific to the studied problem, the developed formula can be easily generalized to the other regression applications. For test and evaluation purposes, we collect a comprehensive house image benchmark that includes 900,000 photos from 30,000 houses recently traded in the USA, and apply the proposed MiDRR net to predict house values. Extensive evaluations with comparisons demonstrate that additional usage of imagery data as well as human heuristics can significantly boost system performance and that the proposed MiDRR net clearly outperforms the alternative methods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]