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The volatility of solar energy, geographic location, and weather factors continues to affect the stability of photovoltaic power generation, reliable and accurate photovoltaic power prediction methods not only effectively reduce the operating cost of the photovoltaic system but also provide reliable data support for the energy scheduling of the light storage microgrid, improve the stability of the photovoltaic system, and provide important help for the optimization operation of the photovoltaic system. Therefore, it is an important study to find reliable photovoltaic power prediction methods. In recent years, researchers have improved the accuracy of photovoltaic power generation forecasting by using deep learning models. Compared with the traditional neural network, the Transformer model can better learn the relationship between weather features and has good stability and applicability. Therefore, in this paper, the transformer model is used for predicting ultra-short-term photovoltaic power generation, and the photovoltaic power generation data and weather data in Hebei are selected. In the experiment, the prediction result of the transformer model was compared to the GRU and DNN models to show that the transformer model has better predictive ability and stability. Experimental results demonstrated that the proposed Transformer model outperforms the GRU model and DNN model by a difference of about 0.04 kW and 0.047 kW in the MSE value, and 22.0% and 29.1% of the MAPE error. In addition, the public DC competition dataset is selected for control experiments to demonstrate the general applicability of the transformer model for PV power prediction in different regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The accurate evaluation and prediction of highway network traffic state can provide effective information for travelers and traffic managers. Based on the deep learning theory, this paper proposes an evaluation and prediction model of highway network traffic state, which consists of a Fuzzy C-means (FCM) algorithm-based traffic state partition model, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm-based traffic state prediction model, and a K-Means algorithm-based traffic state discriminant model. The highway network in Hebei Province is employed as a case study to validate the model, where the traffic state of highway network is analyzed using both predicted data and real data. The dataset contains 536,823 pieces of data collected by 233 continuous observation stations in Hebei Province from September 5, 2016, to September 12, 2016. The analysis results show that the model proposed in this paper has a good performance on the evaluation and prediction of the traffic state of the highway network, which is consistent with the discriminant result using the real data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]