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In recent years, with the development of high-speed railway in China, the operating mileage and passenger transport capacity have increased rapidly in transportation industry. Due to the high density of trains in the daytime, we usually set up skylights at night (0:00–6:00 am) on high-speed railway for comprehensive maintenance. However, this arrangement contradicts with the operation demand of D-series overnight high-speed trains (overnight D-trains for short). In order to adjust the operation plan of overnight D-trains with skylights coordinately, it is necessary to predict the passenger demand of newly added overnight D-trains. Therefore, in this paper, a mixed logit model based on nonlinear random utility functions for different transport modes is proposed, in order to predict transfer passenger demand. According to Maximum Simulated Likelihood Method, the likelihood function of this mixed logit model is proposed to maximize the overall utility value of different passenger groups while Metropolis–Hastings algorithm is adopted to iteratively solve the probabilities of discrete random variables in utility functions. After that, the unknown distributions of parameters are estimated and the optimal solution of this model is provided by traditional algorithms, basic heuristic algorithms and improved heuristic algorithms including improved fireworks-simulated annealing algorithm proposed in this paper, respectively. Finally, a real-world instance with related data of Beijing–Shanghai corridor is implemented to demonstrate the performance and effectiveness of the proposed approaches. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The capacity allocation is a practically significant factor to influence the quality of the train timetables in the rail operations, especially under the fluctuation of passenger demands. This paper aims to investigate a detailed description for the structure and characteristics of the capacity allocation problem under random demand in the high-speed rail network. A two-stage stochastic integer programming model is provided to get the capacity allocation solutions to meet random fluctuations of passenger demands in the daily operations, which incorporates demand uncertainty and makes no assumptions for the rail network structure and distribution of passenger demands. Given the inherent complexity for solving this problem, we provide a solution framework including a heuristic algorithm based on tabu search in order to obtain a near-optimal solution and strategies to obtain an efficient timetable and train formation adjustment. Finally, two sets of examples, in which a sample rail network with 5 stations and the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed rail network data are adopted as the experimental environments to illustrate the performance and effectiveness of the proposed methods. • A two-stage stochastic program model for train capacity allocation is presented. • A heuristic algorithm based on tabu search is provided to solve the problem. • A strategy for an efficient timetable and train formation adjustment is provided. • Numerical experiments are given to illustrate the proposed approaches. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Studying the interaction between demand forecasting and train stop planning is important, as it ensures the sustainable development of high-speed rail (HSR). Forecasting the demand for high-speed rail (HSR), which refers to modal choice or modal split in this paper, is the first step in high-speed rail (HSR) planning. Given the travel demand and the number of train trips on each route, the train stop planning problem (TSPP) of line planning involves determining the stations at which each train trip stops, i.e., the stop-schedule of each train trip, so that the demand can be satisfied. To integrate and formulate the two problems, i.e., the modal choice problem (MCP) and train stop planning problem (TSPP), a nonlinear model is presented with the objective of maximizing the total demand captured by a high-speed rail system. To solve the model, a heuristic iterative algorithm is developed. To study the relationship between the demand and the service, the Beijing–Shanghai high-speed rail (HSR) corridor in China is selected. The empirical analysis indicates that combining modal choice and train stop planning should be considered for the sustainable design of high-speed rail (HSR) train services. Furthermore, the model simulates the impact of the number of stops on its mode share by reflecting changes in travelers' behaviors according to HSR train stop planning, and it also provides a theoretical basis for the evaluation of the adaptability of the service network to travel demand. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]