1. A new fractional modelling and control strategy for the outbreak of dengue fever.
- Author
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Jajarmi, Amin, Arshad, Sadia, and Baleanu, Dumitru
- Subjects
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DENGUE , *ARBOVIRUS diseases , *FRACTIONAL differential equations , *DENGUE hemorrhagic fever - Abstract
This paper deals with a new mathematical model for a dengue fever outbreak based on a system of fractional differential equations. The equilibrium points and stability of the new system are studied. To simulate this model, a new and efficient numerical method is provided and its stability and convergence are proved. According to a real outbreak on the Cape Verde Islands occurred in year 2009, the new model is examined for a period of three months by using singular or nonsingular kernels in the definition of derivative operator. Simulation results show that the proposed formalism with exponential kernel agrees well with the real data in the early stage of the epidemic while the Mittag-Leffler kernel fits the reality for the later part of the time interval. Hence, the new framework in a hybrid manner can properly simulate the dynamics of the disease in the whole of the time interval. In order to stabilize the disease-free equilibrium point of the system under investigation, two control strategies are suggested. Numerical simulations verify that the proposed stabilizing controllers are efficient and provide significantly remarkable results. • A novel fractional model of the dengue fever outbreak is proposed. • A new numerical method is provided and its stability and convergence are proved. • Two stabilizing controllers are suggested for the disease-free equilibrium point. • The new framework can simulate the dynamics of the disease properly. • The stabilizing controllers are efficient and provide satisfactory results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
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