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In order to improve the accuracy of forecasting crude oil prices, a new crude oil price forecasting method is introduced in the paper that is a combination of the FNN model and the stochastic time effective function—namely, the WT-FNN model. The FNN model keeps track of the historical values of crude oil prices and predicts future crude oil prices, and the stochastic time effective function gives greater weight to recent information and smaller weight to old information, thus making the prediction of crude oil prices more reasonable. We selected the daily data of Brent crude oil prices from 4 January 2000 to 30 September 2021 as research objects and then used the WT-FNN model to train and predict the research objects. By comparing it to the benchmark model, we found that the predictive effect of the WT-FNN model was better than the FNN model and the no-change model. The results also passed a robustness test. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The optimal allocation of educational resources has been a hot issue, and exploring the accessibility of educational facilities in poor mountainous areas helps to reasonably plan the layout of educational facilities and promote the balanced development of education. Taking the rocky desertification area in Yunnan, Guangxi, and Guizhou (YGGRD) as the study area, based on the POI data of educational facilities in the YGGRD in 2000, 2010 and 2019, this study explored the evolution of the accessibility of educational facilities in the YGGRD through raster accessibility. And the influencing factors were analyzed by the ordinary least square method (OLS) and geographically weighted regression model (GWR), and evaluated the model through cross validation. The results show that the overall accessibility of educational facilities improved significantly from 2000 to 2019. Educational facilities mainly have good accessibility and average accessibility. Poor accessibility areas are concentrated in the interprovincial border regions, and the boundary effect is significant. County accessibility, population density and rural per capita disposable income have a great impact on the accessibility of educational facilities in the YGGRD. It is suggested to strengthen the construction of educational facilities in the interprovincial border regions, relocate and integrate villages, and improve the education quality of township schools to improve the supply of rural educational resources. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]