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The aim of this paper is to prepare a list of appropriate far-field records for the purpose of time history analysis and structural design assessment in Tehran. Accordingly, the study focused on considering all parameters affecting the choice of accelerogram pair for Tehran. For this purpose, a total of 1000 accelerogram pairs of the earthquakes that occurred in Iran during 1978–2010 were studied in terms of the parameters affecting the choice of appropriate accelerogram pair for Tehran, including distance to the epicenter, magnitude, frequency content, earthquake mechanism, soil properties, and configuration of ground layers. An important objective followed by preparing such a list was to appropriately match it to susceptibility and performance levels set in local design standards. For this purpose, seismic, statistical, and analytic studies were performed, finally ending up with a list of appropriate accelerogram pairs for time history analysis and design assessment in Tehran. In this research, to provide a proper understanding of the proposed list's applied demands on the region's structures, numerical and statistical studies and comparisons with the FEMA-P695 list have been done. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Timely, effective delivery of relief resources to the sufferers in a natural disaster is quite crucial. All governments especially those having high risk of natural disasters must have a comprehensive and implementable plan to suitably manage humanitarian issues after a natural disaster occurs. They should construct sufficient facilities and prepare and store enough relief items (e.g., tents, medical packages, and meals) to be able to quickly respond to necessary needs of injured and homeless people; otherwise, it might lead to humanitarian crises with high numbers of casualties. In this study, we extend the mathematical two-stage stochastic optimization model proposed by Mete and Zabinsky (Int J Prod Econ 126:76-84, 2010) simultaneously considering two phases: pre- and post-disaster. All decisions pertinent to the pre-disaster phase, such as the locations of warehouse and pre-positioned relief items, should be taken in the first stage; however, other decisions pertinent to the post-disaster phase, such as the allocations of warehouses to the demanding points are taken in the second stage. In this study, we consider bi-directional relations between warehouses, which can increase the flexibility of the constructed network to handle the needs of injured people in a shorter time interval. Furthermore, whereas the relief process should be implemented within a specific time interval (e.g., 3 days), our extended optimization model is constructed for a multi-period and multi-product situation. We construct the extended model based on a professional report prepared by the Japanese International Cooperation Agency in a study of the seismic micro zoning of Tehran on April 13, 1999. The respective data in this report has also been updated based on the reports of Tehran Municipality to be matched with the current situation of Tehran. The results of our extended multi-period model for the respective real case study in this paper verify suitable responses and better services to the affected areas compared to what are provided through the respective single-period optimization model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The seismic hazard assessment of Tehran, the capital of Iran with a population of over 10 million, is necessary in the decision-making process for risk reduction. The main objective of this paper is to present a procedure for obtaining maximum hazard maps in seismically active regions such as Tehran with a history of destructive earthquakes, but where the number of the instrumentally recorded large magnitude events is small. The deterministic and probabilistic seismic hazard methods are two quantitative approaches with some practical limitations. To overcome their limitations, the Bayesian statistics are used to estimate maximum earthquake magnitude by combining prior seismological information with the available limited data. The Bayesian approach is used to estimate maximum earthquakes corresponding to different individual ground-motion scenarios at a specific hazard level. The maximum hazard maps are obtained by merging different individual worst-case ground-motion scenarios at a specific hazard level. The hazard analyses under different scenarios are conducted by the finite-fault procedure which uses geological and seismological parameters for each seismic source. The obtained results are in agreement with the observed intensities of historical earthquakes. Moreover, the conventional approach of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis is presented to show the difference between the two procedures. The findings provide information about the seismic design or retrofit of structures and infrastructures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]