1. ESTIMATING SEASONALITY EFFECTS ON CHILD MORTALITY IN MATLAB, BANGLADESH.
- Author
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Muhuri, Pradip K.
- Subjects
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CHILD mortality , *ECONOMIC seasonal variations , *MORTALITY -- Regional disparities , *VITAL statistics ,MATLAB (Bangladesh) - Abstract
The article presents a paper that estimates the net effect of seasonality on child mortality in Matlab, Bangladesh. Earlier studies on the seasonal patterns pf death under age 5 for tropical countries like Bangladesh relied primarily on monthly series of deaths and did not base their analyses on person-calendar-months of exposure, which are needed to calculate monthly rates. Therefore they could not estimate the seasonality effect. So, this paper analyzes mortality rates at ages 1-4 for two birth cohorts of the Matlab, Bangladesh by calendar month. The analysis focuses on seasonal variations in cause-specific mortality and on the relationship of these variables to the Matlab interventions, child's gender, and socioeconomic circumstances. Seasonality and its possible interactive effects with other covariates on child mortality are estimated separately for diarrheal and non-diarrheal diseases. Results suggest that childhood mortality was well above the average monthly level in the hot, dry month of April and in November the first harvest month of the aman crop. It was found to be remarkably low in the post harvest months of February and March, and also in August. During the hungry months of September and October, children were at a considerably increased risk of mortality particularly from diarrheal diseases, if mothers had no schooling, but this was not the case if mothers had schooling. The protective effect of the Matlab interventions on childhood death from diarrheaI diseases was also greater during the hungry months than during other months of the year.
- Published
- 1996
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