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This article focuses on the spatial dimension of environmental protectionism. Merging regional level and European Social Survey (ESS) data, we examine attitudes towards climate change policies in 186 Western European regions comparatively. Findings from multilevel models confirm that climate policies, which concentrate costs spatially, generate resistance from individuals who incur the costs of these policies. Specifically, individuals in rural and suburban areas who fear income losses and reduced purchasing power are less supportive of climate change policies. Living in poorer regions also drives resistance to such policies. Further, the regional context conditions the effects of egalitarian attitudes. People supporting redistribution oppose climate change measures if they live in poor regions with high unemployment. Overall, we provide empirical evidence of a centre-periphery cleavage dividing Western European attitudes on environment protectionism. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Centre Parties (Agrarians, Christian Democrats and Liberals) used to be an established part of the Scandinavian party systems and have often been pivotal for government formation. With ongoing individualisation, secularisation, decline of traditional cleavages, and the rise of new ones such as immigration, as well as polarisation, these parties face the challenge of losing representation in parliament as already happened to the Danish Centre Democrats and Christian Democrats. To shift a party's bloc affiliation and coalition preferences is a feature of centre parties, and it may itself be a strategic decision to mobilise new voters in a changed political environment to survive. Yet, it may alienate voters. While the strategic decision to change bloc is common among Scandinavian centre parties and theoretically relevant, empirical investigations of the electoral effects of bloc changes have been dim. We provide a systematic analysis of the electoral effects of bloc changes in Scandinavia in the last four decades. We collected data on bloc changes of Scandinavian centre parties and found 24 between 1977 and 2021. Our panel regressions reveal that bloc changes are indeed electorally costly as centre parties on average lose around 2% after a bloc change. Frequent bloc changes in the past do also reduce a party's average electoral performance. The electoral punishment of a bloc change, however, is cushioned by a large membership base as centre parties evade significant losses if they have a strong anchor in the electorate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cost-effective methods are crucial in small-scale operations to assess the physicochemical properties of milk, identify potential clinical or subclinical mastitis, and test β-lactams in small ruminants. The aim was to evaluate the importance of physicochemical characteristics, somatic cells, and antibacterial substances as factors for monitoring the quality and safety of bulk tank milk from sheep and goats. Furthermore, we aimed to elucidate the influence of grazing capacity on the composition of sheep milk. The fat content of sheep milk (n=119) was found to be 7.7%, with a range of 5.3% to 9.9%. The average fat content of dairy goats (n=33) was found to be 4.9%, with a range of 2.8-6.7%. The results indicate that 2.8% of sheep milk samples and 7.8% of goat milk samples exhibited clear positive reactions when assessed using the California mastitis test. β-lactam antibiotics were present in 0.7% of sheep milk samples, but not in any of the goat milk samples using lateral flow strips. This measurement method can be useful to detect adulterated milk and better understand the quality and safety of small ruminant milk before processing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Recent research suggests that voters are bad at responding in a meaningful way to policy events when deciding for whom to vote. Voters rely on so‐called "blind retrospection", punishing governments for events outside politicians' control. However, another core aspect of the blind retrospection perspective has not been put to the test: are voters unable to respond to policy decisions that clearly are under the politicians' control? We construct a unique large‐N dataset on legislative changes in German old age pensions and unemployment protection to see if cutbacks and expansions lead to lower/higher support for the government. Our data are exceptionally fine‐grained and allow us to track the policy‐vote link for 416 months from 1977 to 2013 with a total of 329,167 respondents. We find substantial support for the notion that voters react in a meaningful way to policy changes, but also that they can be distracted by high‐profile, extreme events. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ethnicity coding means that threat‐based views of ethnic minority members spur opposition to specific welfare programmes. To advance knowledge of the influence of political parties on ethnicity coding, we apply a dynamic approach. Longitudinal analyses show that: a) because right‐wing political parties persistently frame state pensions as benefitting native majority members, a perceived ethnic threat increases support for this welfare scheme, and b) a perceived ethnic threat reduces support for social assistance when right‐wing political parties frame it as favouring immigrants. Extending these findings, we show that opposition to immigrant welfare rights prompts electoral realignment, as left‐wing voters increasingly switch to right‐wing parties. More generally, political parties are capable of stimulating opposition to parts of the welfare state, including electoral mobilization against immigrant welfare rights. We utilize unusually rich mass‐level survey data from Denmark, covering a 25‐year period (1990‒2015). The broader implications of our findings for theories of ethnicity coding, political elite persuasion, and welfare state development are discussed in the conclusion. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A core, but so far untested, proposition of the new politics perspective, originally introduced by Paul Pierson, is that welfare state cutbacks will be implemented using so-called 'invisible' policy instruments, for example, a change in indexation rules. Expansion should, by implication, mainly happen using 'visible' policy instruments, for example, a change in nominal benefits. We have coded 1030 legislative reforms of old-age pensions and unemployment protection in Britain, Denmark, Finland and Germany from 1974 to 2014. With this unique data at hand, we find substantial support for this crucial new politics proposition. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Since Carmines and Stimson’s seminal work, the concept of issue evolution has become a common theoretical toolkit to examine and explain polarization around cultural issues and partisan realignment in the United States. However, very few studies outside the United States have applied the concept of issue evolution to explain electoral change and realignment around new issues at national elections over time. Analyzing whether and how Carmines and Stimson’s concept travels to electoral change in a multiparty system would provide more theoretical leverage and create empirical knowledge on the logic of issue evolution outside the United States and also whether the logic of electoral change differs from U.S.-style two-party systems. This article applies the issue evolution concept to a multidimensional multiparty system using micro-level data from 1971 to 2011 in combination with data on elite-level polarization to demonstrate that partisan realignment in Denmark follows an issue evolution process with niche parties as main drivers. Moreover, niche party polarization on the new dimension of conflict has a stronger effect on vote choice than mainstream party polarization. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Issue evolution is a well-established theoretical perspective in the analysis of long-term party competition and partisanship in the US. However, this perspective has rarely been used to analyze political elite effects on partisan polarization in European multiparty systems. Consequently, I apply the issue evolution perspective to polarization in a European multiparty system. I find an emergence of cultural issues in Denmark, where mass level polarization on cultural issues followed elite level polarization. Unlike two-party systems, niche parties drive issue evolution on the elite level, which is then followed by niche partisan polarization and, finally, mainstream party adaption. The findings illustrate the mechanisms of issue evolution in a European-style multiparty system and the role of niche parties. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article investigates to what extent social democratic parties still benefit from the support of union members at the polls. Not only are social democratic parties confronted with new competitors in the party systems, but also the union confederations of the socialist labour movement are in some countries losing their dominant position due to the rise of separate professional confederations. It is argued in the article that the effect of union membership on voting choice is conditioned by the structure of the trade union movement. The support of union members for social democracy is fostered by the strength of the confederations historically close to this party family, while it is hampered when strong separate (or politically unaffiliated) white-collar confederations exist. Using European Social Survey and Swedish Public Opinion data, the article shows that social democratic parties still enjoy important support from trade union members, but at the same time are under fierce competition from bourgeois and green parties among members of white-collar confederations. This reinforces the challenges for social democracy to build new voters' coalitions in post-industrial societies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Low signal-to-noise in particle image velocimetry (PIV) measurements in systems such as high pressure gas turbine combustors can result in significant data gaps that negatively affect subsequent analysis. Here, gappy proper orthogonal decomposition (GPOD) is evaluated as a method of filling such missing data. Four GPOD methods are studied, including a new method that utilizes a median filter (MF) to adaptively select whether a local missing data point is updated after each iteration. These methods also are compared against local Kriging interpolation. The GPOD methods are tested using PIV data without missing vectors that were obtained in atmospheric pressure swirl flames. Parameters studied include the turbulence intensity, amount of missing data, and the amount of noise in the valid data. Two criteria to check for GPOD convergence also were investigated. The MF method filled in the missing data with the lowest error across all parameters tested, with approximately one-third the computational cost of Kriging. Furthermore, the accuracy of MF GPOD was relatively insensitive to the quality of the convergence criterion. Therefore, compared to the three other GPOD methods and Kriging interpolation, the MF GPOD method is an effective method for filling missing data in PIV measurements in the studied gas turbine combustor flows. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The transient injection and subsequent auto-ignition of a methane jet issuing into a laminar coflow of hot exhaust gas from a lean premixed hydrogen air flame was studied using high-speed planar Rayleigh scattering, yielding two-dimensional measurements of mixture fraction, temperature and scalar dissipation rate with high spatio-temporal resolution. The temporal development of the mixing field between the transient fuel jet and the surrounding coflow prior to the occurrence of auto-ignition was examined at a sampling rate of 10 kHz. The impact of the transient jet development on numerical modeling of this test case is discussed. It was found that auto-ignition occurred after the jet transitioned from a transient state into the steady state, thus eliminating the need to model the complete transient fuel injection when the primary focus is on the onset of auto-ignition. Simultaneous high-speed OH * chemiluminescence from two viewing angles was applied to gain 3D-information of the ignition kernel location. This information allowed the selection and analysis of ignition events where the initial kernel formed inside the laser light sheet. Detailed analysis of the dynamics of a single ignition event, as well as statistical analysis of multiple ignition events based on a joint probability density approach, indicated that the ignition kernels occurred at very lean mixture fractions and at locations with low scalar dissipation rates. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Social democratic parties have changed their electoral appeals substantially to cater to new voter segments. This article examines social democracy’s fortunes in attracting new voters among the salaried middle class across different electoral systems. Previous research ignored the importance of electoral systems and was inconclusive as to whether social democratic parties succeeded in mobilizing new constituencies. I argue that electoral systems play a crucial role since proportional systems enhance the electoral competiveness of left-libertarian parties, social democracy’s most serious challengers among the salaried middle class. In contrast, majoritarian systems allow social democratic parties to gain a foothold among these voters as left-libertarians remain marginalized. Using ISSP data for 11 Western democracies, the findings demonstrate that social democratic parties were outperformed by their left-libertarian challengers among the salaried middle class under highly proportional systems, but not under majoritarian systems. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

In this manuscript, we describe an experimental approach to simultaneously measure high-speed image sequences of the mixture fraction and temperature fields during pulsed, turbulent fuel injection into a high-temperature, co-flowing, and vitiated oxidizer stream. The quantitative mixture fraction and temperature measurements are determined from 10-kHz-rate planar Rayleigh scattering and a robust data processing methodology which is accurate from fuel injection to the onset of auto-ignition. In addition, the data processing is shown to yield accurate temperature measurements following ignition to observe the initial evolution of the 'burning' temperature field. High-speed OH* chemiluminescence (CL) was used to determine the spatial location of the initial auto-ignition kernel. In order to ensure that the ignition kernel formed inside of the Rayleigh scattering laser light sheet, OH* CL was observed in two viewing planes, one near-parallel to the laser sheet and one perpendicular to the laser sheet. The high-speed laser measurements are enabled through the use of the unique high-energy pulse burst laser system which generates long-duration bursts of ultra-high pulse energies at 532 nm (>1 J) suitable for planar Rayleigh scattering imaging. A particular focus of this study was to characterize the fidelity of the measurements both in the context of the precision and accuracy, which includes facility operating and boundary conditions and measurement of signal-to-noise ratio (SNR). The mixture fraction and temperature fields deduced from the high-speed planar Rayleigh scattering measurements exhibited SNR values greater than 100 at temperatures exceeding 1,300 K. The accuracy of the measurements was determined by comparing the current mixture fraction results to that of 'cold', isothermal, non-reacting jets. All profiles, when properly normalized, exhibited self-similarity and collapsed upon one another. Finally, example mixture fraction, temperature, and OH* emission sequences are presented for a variety for fuel and vitiated oxidizer combinations. For all cases considered, auto-ignition occurred at the periphery of the fuel jet, under very 'lean' conditions, where the local mixture fraction was less than the stoichiometric mixture fraction ( ξ < ξ). Furthermore, the ignition kernel formed in regions of low scalar dissipation rate, which agrees with previous results from direct numerical simulations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Recent elections yielded sweeping majorities for the centre-right in Scandinavia with a decade of pure centre-right majorities in Denmark and the longest sitting centre-right coalition in Sweden for decades. This is a blind spot in the issue voting literature, which would not expect centre-right parties to flourish in contexts where welfare issues have a natural salience as in the case of universal welfare states. In contrast, Scandinavian universal welfare states ought to benefit social democracy when it comes to issue voting on welfare issues. It is argued in this article that centre-right parties can beat social democrats by credibly converging to its social democratic opponent on issues of universal welfare. Issue ownership voting to the benefit of centre-right parties will then be strongest among voters perceiving the centre-right to have converged to social democracy and perceiving the centre-right as issue-owner. Using Danish National Election Studies, 1998-2007, the article shows that the Danish Liberal Party outperformed the Social Democrats on traditional welfare issues among those voters perceiving the Liberals to be ideologically close to the social democrats. The findings help us to understand why centre-right parties have recently turned into serious competitors on social democracy's turf: the universal welfare state. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A series of measurements was taken on two technically premixed, swirl-stabilized methane-air flames (at overall equivalence ratios of ϕ = 0.73 and 0.83) in an optically accessible gas turbine model combustor. The primary diagnostics used were combined planar laser-induced fluorescence of the OH radical and stereoscopic particle image velocimetry (PIV) with simultaneous repetition rates of 10 kHz and a measurement duration of 0.8 s. Also measured were acoustic pulsations and OH chemiluminescence. Analysis revealed strong local periodicity in the thermoacoustically self-excited (or ' noisy') flame (ϕ = 0.73) in the regions of the flow corresponding to the inner shear layer and the jet-inflow. This periodicity appears to be the result of a helical precessing vortex core (PVC) present in that region of the combustor. The PVC has a precession frequency double (at 570 Hz) that of the thermo-acoustic pulsation (at 288 Hz). A comparison of the various data sets and analysis techniques applied to each flame suggests a strong coupling between the PVC and the thermo-acoustic pulsation in the noisy flame. Measurements of the stable (' quiet') flame (ϕ = 0.83) revealed a global fluctuation in both velocity and heat-release around 364 Hz, but no clear evidence of a PVC. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

After total hip arthroplasty, impingement of implant components may occur during everyday patient activities causing increased shear stresses at the acetabular implant-bone interface. In the literature, impingement related lever-out moments were noted for a number of acetabular components. But there is little information about pelvic load transfer. The aim of the current study was to measure the three-dimensional strain distribution at the macrostructured hemispherical interface and in the periphery of a standard acetabular press-fit cup in an experimental implant-bone substitute model. An experimental setup was developed to simulate impingement loading via a lever arm representing the femoral component and the lower limb. In one experimental setup 12 strain gauges were embedded at predefined positions in the periphery of the acetabular cup implant inside a tray, using polyurethane composite resin as a bone substitute material. By incremental rotation of the implant tray in steps of 10 and 30 deg, respectively, the strains were measured at evenly distributed positions. With the described method 288 genuine strain values were measured in the periphery of an embedded acetabular cup implant in one experimental setup. In two additional setups the strains were evaluated at different distances from the implant interface. Both in radial and meridional interface directions strain magnitudes reach their peak near the rim of the cup below the impingement site. Values of equatorial strains vary near zero and reach their peaks near the rim of the cup on either side and in some distance from the impingement site. Interestingly, the maximum of averaged radial strains does not occur, as expected, close to the interface but at an interface offset of 5.6 mm. With the described experimental setup it is now possible to measure and display the three-dimensional strain distribution in the interface and the periphery of an embedded acetabular cup implant. The current study provides the first experimental proof of the high local stresses gradients in the direct vicinity of the impingement site. The results of the current study help for a better understanding of the impingement mechanism and its impact on acetabular cup stability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In a vehicle, many parameters, such as the sprung mass, are not fixed. Rather, they change in a specified range. Vehicle control has to be able to cope with these potentially large parameter variations in the system. This paper deals with an algorithm, used to control the body slip angle. An estimator, part of the control, is used to obtain non-measurable signals. Whereas the vehicle parameters are uncertain, the estimator comprises of a vehicle model with fixed parameters. The objective is to find these nominal parameters, that guarantee optimal performance and stability in the complete parameter space of the vehicle. This requirement is defined in mathematics as an optimisation task. Even considering only the simple linear case, the problem very soon reaches such a complexity that it demands computational support. Nonlinear influences such as the tyre characteristics and weighting functions make analytical solutions either impossible or too restrictive for the design engineer. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Pareto-efficient combustion (PEC) framework is extended for predicting transient ignition in turbulent flames. The PEC formulation utilizes a drift term to assess the compliance of specific combustion submodels with the underlying flow-field representation. This drift term is extended to consider autoignition delay as a process of interest, and the ignition delay time of a homogeneous isobaric reactor is utilized as surrogate. Combustion models considered are the steady-state flamelet/progress variable (FPV) model and a finite-rate chemistry (FRC) model. Large-eddy simulations are performed and the proposed PEC autoignition formulation (PEC-AI) is demonstrated to identify localized regions that require a finite-rate chemistry description in order to accurately capture the transient ignition dynamics. The model is employed to examine the stochasticity of the autoignition in the turbulent environment by performing ensemble simulations to construct probability distributions of ignition time and ignition locations. Comparisons with measurements show the ability of PEC-AI in capturing the transient ignition dynamics and flame lift-off through drift-term adaptation with comparable accuracy to FRC simulations at reduced cost. These results illustrate the versatility of the PEC framework in targeting different combustion response functions that not only include species and emissions but also transient combustion processes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Are welfare state reforms electorally dangerous for governments? Political scientists have only recently begun to study this seemingly simple question, and existing work still suffers from two shortcomings. First, it has never tested the reform–vote link with data on actual legislative decisions for enough points in time to allow robust statistical tests. Secondly, it has failed to take into account the many expansionary reforms that have occurred in recent decades. Expansions often happen in the same years as cutbacks. By focusing only on cutbacks, estimates of the effects of reforms on government popularity become biased. This article addresses both shortcomings. The results show that voters punish governments for cutbacks, but also reward them for expansions, making so-called compensation, a viable blame-avoidance strategy. The study also finds that the size of punishments and rewards is roughly the same, suggesting that voters' well-documented negativity bias does not directly translate into electoral behavior. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Limit-cycle thermo-acoustic velocity coupling mechanisms are studied in a perfectly-premixed swirl-stabilized combustor using data from 10 kHz repetition-rate stereoscopic particle image velocimetry (S-PIV) and OH planar laser induced fluorescence (PLIF). Five cases over a range of thermal powers and equivalence ratios were investigated, each of which underwent different amplitude limit-cycle oscillations. Proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) of the velocity data showed that each case contained a dynamic helical vortex core (HVC) that rotated around the combustor and greatly affected the flame behavior. Flow and flame statistics were compiled as a function of both the phase in the thermo-acoustic cycle and a phase representing the azimuthal position of the HVC relative to the measurement plane. These data were used to determine the thermo-acoustic energy transfer field at each HVC azimuthal angle, as described by the Rayleigh integral. It was found that periodic deformations of the HVC caused large-scale flame motions, resulting in regions of positive and negative energy transfer. The deformation of the HVC was linked to a swirl number wave that propagated from the burner nozzle. While the mechanism of thermo-acoustic coupling was the same for all cases, the phase between heat release and pressure oscillations varied significantly. This phase relationship was determined by the interaction of the pressure field, swirl wave, HVC deformation, and flame response. It was shown that these can be described by the combination of a Helmholtz resonator and a convective disturbance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Building on studies on the political business cycle, the literature on welfare state retrenchment has argued that governments which cut the welfare state try to avoid blame by implementing painful measures in the beginning of the mandate and expanding benefits as elections approach. In contrast to this linear relationship, this article argues that governments often feel pressured to fulfil (mostly expansionary) campaign promises during the first months in office. Consequently, cutting right away is not what should be expected. Instead, a more nuanced, U-shaped timing trajectory is probable with a period in the beginning characterised by both cuts and fulfilment of expansionary pledges, followed by a period of cutbacks, and finally an expansive phase towards the end of a mandate. This argument is tested on our new original dataset of legislative changes in five European countries – Britain, Denmark, Finland, France and Germany – during the last four decades. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The precessing vortex core (PVC) is a coherent flow structure that is often encountered in swirling flows in gas turbine (GT) combustors. In some swirl combustors, it has been observed that a PVC is present under non-reacting conditions but disappears in the corresponding reacting cases. Since numerous studies have shown that a PVC has strong effects on the flame stabilization, it is desirable to understand the formation and suppression of PVCs in GT combustors. The present work experimentally studies the flow field in a GT model combustor at atmospheric pressure. Whereas all non-reacting conditions and detached M-shaped flames exhibit a PVC, the PVC is suppressed for attached V-shaped flames. A local linear stability analysis is then applied to the measured time-averaged velocity and density fields. For the cases where a PVC appeared in the experiment, the analysis shows a global hydrodynamic instability that manifests in a single-helical mode with its wavemaker located at the combustor inlet. The frequency of the global mode is in excellent agreement with the measured oscillation frequency and the growth rate is approximately zero, indicating the marginally stable limit-cycle. For the attached V-flame without PVC, strong radial density/temperature gradients are present at the inlet, which are shown to suppress the global instability. The interplay between the PVC and the flame is further investigated by considering a bi-stable case with intermittent transitions between V- and M-flame. The flame and flow transients are investigated experimentally via simultaneous highspeed PIV and OH-PLIF. The experiments reveal a sequence of events wherein the PVC forms prior to the transition of the flame shape. The results demonstrate the essential role of the PVC in the flame stabilization, and thereby the importance of a hydrodynamic stability analysis in the design of a swirl combustor. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: The influence of natural gas (NG) on the auto-ignition behavior of hydrogen (H2)/nitrogen (N2) fuel jets injected into a vitiated cross-flow was studied at conditions relevant for practical combustion systems (p = 15 bar, T cross-flow = 1173 K). In addition, the flame stabilization process following auto-ignition was investigated by means of high-speed luminosity and shadowgraph imaging. The experiments were carried out in an optically accessible jet in cross-flow (JICF) test section. In a H2/NG/N2 fuel mixture, the fraction of H2 was stepwise increased while keeping the N2 fraction approximately constant. Two different jet penetration depths, represented by two N2 fraction levels, were investigated. The results reveal that auto-ignition kernels occurred even for the lowest tested H2 fuel fraction , but did not initiate a stable flame in the duct. Increasing decreased the distance between the initial position of the auto-ignition kernels and the fuel injector, finally leading to flame stabilization. The H2 fraction for which flame stabilization was initiated depended on jet penetration; flame stabilization occurred at lower H2 fractions for the higher jet penetration depth ( = 91% compared to 96%), revealing the influence of different flow fields and mixing characteristics on the flame stabilization process. It is hypothesized that the flame stabilization process is related to kernels extending over the duct height and thus altering the upstream conditions due to considerable heat release. This enabled subsequent kernels to occur close to the fuel injector until they could finally stabilize in the recirculation zone of the jet lee. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]