1. The Interactive Minority Game: a Web-based investigation of human market interactions
- Author
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Laureti, Paolo, Ruch, Peter, Wakeling, Joseph, and Zhang, Yi-Cheng
- Subjects
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WORLD Wide Web , *DATABASES , *SPECULATION , *DECISION making - Abstract
The unprecedented access offered by the World Wide Web brings with it the potential to gather huge amounts of data on human activities. Here we exploit this by using a toy model of financial markets, the Minority Game (MG), to investigate human speculative trading behaviour and information capacity. Hundreds of individuals have played a total of tens of thousands of game turns against computer-controlled agents in the Web-based Interactive Minority Game. The analytical understanding of the MG permits fine-tuning of the market situations encountered, allowing for investigation of human behaviour in a variety of controlled environments. In particular, our results indicate a transition in players’ decision-making, as the markets become more difficult, between deductive behaviour making use of short-term trends in the market, and highly repetitive behaviour that ignores entirely the market history, yet outperforms random decision-making. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2004
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