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An important aspect of improving care for people with hemophilia B (HB) is developing optimal treatment strategies. Here we aimed to provide in-silico evidence, comparing the estimated optimal posology of factor IX (FIX) products to support the patient-physician decision-making process. A population pharmacokinetic (popPK) model-based assessment comparing the performance of FIX products (rFIX, rIX-FP, rFIXFc, N9-GP) was developed. PopPK analyses were used to determine a product's optimal posology to target predefined steady-state FIX activity trough levels in a hypothetical population of 10,000 people with severe HB. Model-derived optimal posologies were compared across several parameters including trough levels, proportion of patients per regimen and consumption, considering 64 hypothetical patient scenarios of different FIX trough level targets and ages. Results indicated a marked difference between FIX products estimated to achieve target trough levels, consumption and dosing frequencies. rIX-FP was associated with higher trough levels than rFIX and rFIXFc, at a lower weekly dose and administration frequency, across all age groups. N9-GP use in adolescents and adults was associated with lower consumption compared with rIX-FP. Insights from this study may be utilized by clinicians to inform decision-making, by considering the model-generated estimated optimal posologies alongside multiple clinical factors and patient preferences. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: Burosumab is an orphan medicinal product (OMP) approved in Europe for the treatment of X-linked hypophosphatemia (XLH). The aim of this study was to assess the value of burosumab versus conventional therapy for the treatment of paediatric XLH, through a multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) framework for health technology assessment (HTA) of OMPs in Portugal.Methods: The MCDA framework considered 14 criteria related to disease burden, therapeutic value and economic burden. A multidisciplinary panel of national stakeholders participated in a two-phase exercise. In the first phase, relative weights and part-worth utilities for the criteria and their levels were elicited and a reimbursement likelihood function was calibrated through adaptive conjoint analysis. In the second phase, burosumab and conventional therapy were assessed against the criteria, providing a global value score (0-100) and reimbursement likelihood (0-100%) for both.Results: Of the 14 criteria, disease burden, therapeutic value and economic burden criteria represented 27.29%, 57.17% and 15.53% of the total weight in the decision, respectively. All disease burden and some therapeutic value criteria, typically not included in traditional HTA, represented 47.88% of the total weight. Burosumab was unanimously considered superior to conventional therapy, with an average (range) global value score of 84.96 (82.48-86.54) against 48.06 (43.37-57.68), and reimbursement likelihood of 97.50% (96.78%-98.32%) against 43.66% (31.48%-68.73%), respectively.Conclusions: MCDA represents a powerful tool in HTA decision-making for OMPs. The results of this MCDA acknowledge burosumab as a disease-modifying drug, deemed superior to conventional therapy for the treatment of paediatric XLH. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives: Ocrelizumab demonstrated significant clinical benefit for the treatment of relapsing (RMS) and primary progressive (PPMS) multiple sclerosis (MS), an incurable disease characterized by disability progression. This study evaluated the clinical and economic impact of ocrelizumab relative to current clinical practice, including other disease-modifying therapies (DMT), available in Portugal.Markov models for MS were adapted to estimate the impact of ocrelizumab across three patient populations: treatment-naïve RMS, previously treated RMS, and PPMS. Health states were defined according to the Expanded Disability Status Scale. For RMS, the model further captured the occurrence of relapses and progression to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS). A lifetime time-horizon and Portuguese societal perspective were adopted.For RMS patients, ocrelizumab was estimated to maximize the expected time (years) without progression to SPMS (10.50) relative to natalizumab (10.10), dimethyl fumarate (8.64), teriflunomide (8.39), fingolimod (8.38), interferon β-1a (8.33) and glatiramer acetate (8.18). As the most effective option, with quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gains between 0.3 and 1.2, ocrelizumab was found to be cost-saving relative to natalizumab and fingolimod, and presented incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) below €16,720/QALY relative to the remaining DMT. For PPMS patients, the ICER of ocrelizumab versus best supportive care was estimated at €78,858/QALY.Ocrelizumab provides important health benefits for RMS and PPMS patients, comparing favourably with other widely used therapies. In RMS, ocrelizumab was revealed to be either cost-saving or have costs-per-QALY likely below commonly accepted cost-effectiveness thresholds. In PPMS, ocrelizumab fills a clear clinical gap in the current clinical practice. Overall, ocrelizumab is expected to provide good value for money in addressing the need of MS patients.Methods: Ocrelizumab demonstrated significant clinical benefit for the treatment of relapsing (RMS) and primary progressive (PPMS) multiple sclerosis (MS), an incurable disease characterized by disability progression. This study evaluated the clinical and economic impact of ocrelizumab relative to current clinical practice, including other disease-modifying therapies (DMT), available in Portugal.Markov models for MS were adapted to estimate the impact of ocrelizumab across three patient populations: treatment-naïve RMS, previously treated RMS, and PPMS. Health states were defined according to the Expanded Disability Status Scale. For RMS, the model further captured the occurrence of relapses and progression to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS). A lifetime time-horizon and Portuguese societal perspective were adopted.For RMS patients, ocrelizumab was estimated to maximize the expected time (years) without progression to SPMS (10.50) relative to natalizumab (10.10), dimethyl fumarate (8.64), teriflunomide (8.39), fingolimod (8.38), interferon β-1a (8.33) and glatiramer acetate (8.18). As the most effective option, with quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gains between 0.3 and 1.2, ocrelizumab was found to be cost-saving relative to natalizumab and fingolimod, and presented incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) below €16,720/QALY relative to the remaining DMT. For PPMS patients, the ICER of ocrelizumab versus best supportive care was estimated at €78,858/QALY.Ocrelizumab provides important health benefits for RMS and PPMS patients, comparing favourably with other widely used therapies. In RMS, ocrelizumab was revealed to be either cost-saving or have costs-per-QALY likely below commonly accepted cost-effectiveness thresholds. In PPMS, ocrelizumab fills a clear clinical gap in the current clinical practice. Overall, ocrelizumab is expected to provide good value for money in addressing the need of MS patients.Results: Ocrelizumab demonstrated significant clinical benefit for the treatment of relapsing (RMS) and primary progressive (PPMS) multiple sclerosis (MS), an incurable disease characterized by disability progression. This study evaluated the clinical and economic impact of ocrelizumab relative to current clinical practice, including other disease-modifying therapies (DMT), available in Portugal.Markov models for MS were adapted to estimate the impact of ocrelizumab across three patient populations: treatment-naïve RMS, previously treated RMS, and PPMS. Health states were defined according to the Expanded Disability Status Scale. For RMS, the model further captured the occurrence of relapses and progression to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS). A lifetime time-horizon and Portuguese societal perspective were adopted.For RMS patients, ocrelizumab was estimated to maximize the expected time (years) without progression to SPMS (10.50) relative to natalizumab (10.10), dimethyl fumarate (8.64), teriflunomide (8.39), fingolimod (8.38), interferon β-1a (8.33) and glatiramer acetate (8.18). As the most effective option, with quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gains between 0.3 and 1.2, ocrelizumab was found to be cost-saving relative to natalizumab and fingolimod, and presented incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) below €16,720/QALY relative to the remaining DMT. For PPMS patients, the ICER of ocrelizumab versus best supportive care was estimated at €78,858/QALY.Ocrelizumab provides important health benefits for RMS and PPMS patients, comparing favourably with other widely used therapies. In RMS, ocrelizumab was revealed to be either cost-saving or have costs-per-QALY likely below commonly accepted cost-effectiveness thresholds. In PPMS, ocrelizumab fills a clear clinical gap in the current clinical practice. Overall, ocrelizumab is expected to provide good value for money in addressing the need of MS patients.Conclusions: Ocrelizumab demonstrated significant clinical benefit for the treatment of relapsing (RMS) and primary progressive (PPMS) multiple sclerosis (MS), an incurable disease characterized by disability progression. This study evaluated the clinical and economic impact of ocrelizumab relative to current clinical practice, including other disease-modifying therapies (DMT), available in Portugal.Markov models for MS were adapted to estimate the impact of ocrelizumab across three patient populations: treatment-naïve RMS, previously treated RMS, and PPMS. Health states were defined according to the Expanded Disability Status Scale. For RMS, the model further captured the occurrence of relapses and progression to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS). A lifetime time-horizon and Portuguese societal perspective were adopted.For RMS patients, ocrelizumab was estimated to maximize the expected time (years) without progression to SPMS (10.50) relative to natalizumab (10.10), dimethyl fumarate (8.64), teriflunomide (8.39), fingolimod (8.38), interferon β-1a (8.33) and glatiramer acetate (8.18). As the most effective option, with quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gains between 0.3 and 1.2, ocrelizumab was found to be cost-saving relative to natalizumab and fingolimod, and presented incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) below €16,720/QALY relative to the remaining DMT. For PPMS patients, the ICER of ocrelizumab versus best supportive care was estimated at €78,858/QALY.Ocrelizumab provides important health benefits for RMS and PPMS patients, comparing favourably with other widely used therapies. In RMS, ocrelizumab was revealed to be either cost-saving or have costs-per-QALY likely below commonly accepted cost-effectiveness thresholds. In PPMS, ocrelizumab fills a clear clinical gap in the current clinical practice. Overall, ocrelizumab is expected to provide good value for money in addressing the need of MS patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The goal of this research was to establish a new and innovative framework for cost-effectiveness modeling of HIV-1 treatment, simultaneously considering both clinical and epidemiological outcomes. EPICE-HIV is a multi-paradigm model based on a within-host micro-simulation model for the disease progression of HIV-1 infected individuals and an agent-based sexual contact network (SCN) model for the transmission of HIV-1 infection. It includes HIV-1 viral dynamics, CD4+ T cell infection rates, and pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics modeling. Disease progression of HIV-1 infected individuals is driven by the interdependent changes in CD4+ T cell count, changes in plasma HIV-1 RNA, accumulation of resistance mutations and adherence to treatment. The two parts of the model are joined through a per-sexual-act and viral load dependent probability of disease transmission in HIV-discordant couples. Internal validity of the disease progression part of the model is assessed and external validity is demonstrated in comparison to the outcomes observed in the STaR randomized controlled clinical trial. We found that overall adherence to treatment and the resulting pattern of treatment interruptions are key drivers of HIV-1 treatment outcomes. Our model, though largely independent of efficacy data from RCT, was accurate in producing 96-week outcomes, qualitatively and quantitatively comparable to the ones observed in the STaR trial. We demonstrate that multi-paradigm micro-simulation modeling is a promising tool to generate evidence about optimal policy strategies in HIV-1 treatment, including treatment efficacy, HIV-1 transmission, and cost-effectiveness analysis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: To describe the reduced health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) patients and their caregiver burden and to present its relationship with disease progression. Methods: This cross-sectional study assessed patient HRQoL with the 3-level version of the EuroQol-5D (EQ-5D-3L) and caregiver burden with the Work Productivity and Activity Impairment: General Health questionnaire. DMD patients and their caregivers were identified through Portuguese Neuromuscular Association (APN). Results: A total of 46 DMD main caregivers, of eight ambulant and 38 non-ambulant patients, completed the questionnaires. Over half (58.7%) of all non-ambulant patients were on ventilation support, either full-time (15.2%) or non full-time (43.5%). Non-ambulant patients had a lower mean utility scores than ambulant patients (− 0.05 versus 0.51, p value < 0.001). Caregivers of non-ambulant patients reported a significant mean daily activity impairment as compared to caregivers of ambulant patients (68% versus 23%, p value < 0.001). Among non-ambulant patients, both utility scores and caregiver impairment appeared to deteriorate according to a higher need for ventilation support, however, these results were not statistically significant. Conclusions: These results emphasise the significant negative impact that DMD progression has on the patient HRQoL, as well as caregivers' ability to conduct their daily activities. Therapeutic options that stop or slow the disease progression could have a beneficial impact for both patients and caregivers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We shall deal with specific classes of the second-order reduced bias extreme value index estimators, devised for heavy tails. In those classes, the second-order parameters in the bias are estimated at a level k1 of a larger order than that of the level k at which we compute the extreme value index estimator, and by doing this, it is possible to keep the asymptotic variance of the new estimators equal to the asymptotic variance of the Hill estimator, the maximum-likelihood estimator of the extreme value index γ, under a strict Pareto model. On the basis of an adequate pair of this type of extreme value index estimators, we also provide a heuristic adaptive choice of the threshold in reduced bias estimation and we proceed to an intensive computer simulation that enables us to study, through Monte-Carlo techniques, the behavior of the non-adaptive and adaptive proposed estimators. An illustration of the behavior of these estimators for sets of real data in the fields of finance and insurance is also provided. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Community pharmacies are major contributors to health care systems across the world. Several studies have been conducted to evaluate community pharmacies services in health care. The purpose of this study was to estimate the social and economic benefits of current and potential future community pharmacies services provided by pharmacists in health care in Portugal.Methods: The social and economic value of community pharmacies services was estimated through a decision-model. Model inputs included effectiveness data, quality of life (QoL) and health resource consumption, obtained though literature review and adapted to Portuguese reality by an expert panel. The estimated economic value was the result of non-remunerated pharmaceutical services plus health resource consumption potentially avoided. Social and economic value of community pharmacies services derives from the comparison of two scenarios: "with service" versus "without service".Results: It is estimated that current community pharmacies services in Portugal provide a gain in QoL of 8.3% and an economic value of 879.6 million euros (M€), including 342.1 M€ in non-remunerated pharmaceutical services and 448.1 M€ in avoided expense with health resource consumption. Potential future community pharmacies services may provide an additional increase of 6.9% in QoL and be associated with an economic value of 144.8 M€: 120.3 M€ in non-remunerated services and 24.5 M€ in potential savings with health resource consumption.Conclusions: Community pharmacies services provide considerable benefit in QoL and economic value. An increase range of services including a greater integration in primary and secondary care, among other transversal services, may add further social and economic value to the society. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The possibility of incorporating generics into combination antiretroviral therapy and breaking apart once-daily single-tablet regimens (STRs), may result in less efficacious medications and/or more complex regimens with the expectation of marked monetary savings. A modeling approach that assesses the merits of such policies in terms of lifelong costs and health outcomes using adherence and effectiveness data from real-world U.S. settings. Methods: A comprehensive computer-based microsimulation model was developed to assess the lifetime health (life expectancy and quality adjusted life-years—QALYs) and economic outcomes in HIV-1 infected patients initiating STRs compared with multiple-table regimens including generic medications where possible (gMTRs). The STRs considered included tenofovir disoproxil fumarate/emtricitabine and efavirenz or rilpivirine or elvitegravir/cobicistat. gMTRs substitutions included each counterpart to STRs, including generic lamivudine for emtricitabine and generic versus branded efavirenz. Results: Life expectancy is estimated to be 1.301 years higher (discounted 0.619 QALY gain) in HIV-1 patients initiating a single-tablet regimen in comparison to a generic-based multiple-table regimen. STRs were associated with an average increment of $26,547.43 per patient in medication and $1,824.09 in other medical costs due to longer survival which were partially offset by higher inpatients costs ($12,035.61) with gMTRs treatment. Overall, STRs presented incremental lifetime costs of $16,335.91 compared with gMTRs, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $26,383.82 per QALY gained. Conclusions: STRs continue to represent good value for money under contemporary cost-effectiveness thresholds despite substantial price reductions of generic medications in the U. S. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: In this paper, we deal with bias reduction techniques for heavy tails, trying to improve mainly upon the performance of classical high quantile estimators. High quantiles depend strongly on the tail index , for which new classes of reduced-bias estimators have recently been introduced, where the second-order parameters in the bias are estimated at a level of a larger order than the level k at which the tail index is estimated. Doing this, it was seen that the asymptotic variance of the new estimators could be kept equal to the one of the popular Hill estimators. In a similar way, we now introduce new classes of tail index and associated high quantile estimators, with an asymptotic mean squared error smaller than that of the classical ones for all k in a large class of heavy-tailed models. We derive their asymptotic distributional properties and compare them with those of alternative estimators. Next to that, an illustration of the finite sample behavior of the estimators is also provided through a Monte Carlo simulation study and the application to a set of real data in the field of insurance. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Objective: The aim of this study was to estimate the cost of illness (COI) of Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) and its relation to disease progression, using age as a proxy, and according to the ambulatory status of patients.We conducted a cross-sectional study of patients diagnosed with DMD identified through the Portuguese Neuromuscular Patients Association (APN). Data regarding patient and caregiver demographics, patient health status, resource utilization and cost, and informal care were collected using a custom semistructured questionnaire. Labor productivity and absenteeism losses were captured using the Work Productivity and Activity Impairment questionnaire. Costs were valued using a societal perspective.A total of 46 patient–caregiver pairs were included, of which eight of the patients were ambulant and 38 were nonambulant. Age had a decreasing effect on COI, independent of the patient’s disease stage. Annualized lifetime costs were at their highest in nonambulant patients around the mean age of loss of ambulation (10 years of age). The mean per patient stage-specific costs (year 2019 values) of DMD were estimated at €48,991 in the nonambulant stage and €19,993 in the ambulant stage. Direct nonmedical costs were the main cost drivers, followed by indirect costs.Our results indicate a close relation between overall disease costs and disease progression. DMD is associated with a substantial economic burden, which appears to be larger around the time ambulation is lost (10 years of age). The availability of new therapeutic options that delay disease progression, especially loss of ambulation, may prove to be highly beneficial for not only patients with DMD but also their families and society.Methods: The aim of this study was to estimate the cost of illness (COI) of Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) and its relation to disease progression, using age as a proxy, and according to the ambulatory status of patients.We conducted a cross-sectional study of patients diagnosed with DMD identified through the Portuguese Neuromuscular Patients Association (APN). Data regarding patient and caregiver demographics, patient health status, resource utilization and cost, and informal care were collected using a custom semistructured questionnaire. Labor productivity and absenteeism losses were captured using the Work Productivity and Activity Impairment questionnaire. Costs were valued using a societal perspective.A total of 46 patient–caregiver pairs were included, of which eight of the patients were ambulant and 38 were nonambulant. Age had a decreasing effect on COI, independent of the patient’s disease stage. Annualized lifetime costs were at their highest in nonambulant patients around the mean age of loss of ambulation (10 years of age). The mean per patient stage-specific costs (year 2019 values) of DMD were estimated at €48,991 in the nonambulant stage and €19,993 in the ambulant stage. Direct nonmedical costs were the main cost drivers, followed by indirect costs.Our results indicate a close relation between overall disease costs and disease progression. DMD is associated with a substantial economic burden, which appears to be larger around the time ambulation is lost (10 years of age). The availability of new therapeutic options that delay disease progression, especially loss of ambulation, may prove to be highly beneficial for not only patients with DMD but also their families and society.Results: The aim of this study was to estimate the cost of illness (COI) of Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) and its relation to disease progression, using age as a proxy, and according to the ambulatory status of patients.We conducted a cross-sectional study of patients diagnosed with DMD identified through the Portuguese Neuromuscular Patients Association (APN). Data regarding patient and caregiver demographics, patient health status, resource utilization and cost, and informal care were collected using a custom semistructured questionnaire. Labor productivity and absenteeism losses were captured using the Work Productivity and Activity Impairment questionnaire. Costs were valued using a societal perspective.A total of 46 patient–caregiver pairs were included, of which eight of the patients were ambulant and 38 were nonambulant. Age had a decreasing effect on COI, independent of the patient’s disease stage. Annualized lifetime costs were at their highest in nonambulant patients around the mean age of loss of ambulation (10 years of age). The mean per patient stage-specific costs (year 2019 values) of DMD were estimated at €48,991 in the nonambulant stage and €19,993 in the ambulant stage. Direct nonmedical costs were the main cost drivers, followed by indirect costs.Our results indicate a close relation between overall disease costs and disease progression. DMD is associated with a substantial economic burden, which appears to be larger around the time ambulation is lost (10 years of age). The availability of new therapeutic options that delay disease progression, especially loss of ambulation, may prove to be highly beneficial for not only patients with DMD but also their families and society.Conclusions: The aim of this study was to estimate the cost of illness (COI) of Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) and its relation to disease progression, using age as a proxy, and according to the ambulatory status of patients.We conducted a cross-sectional study of patients diagnosed with DMD identified through the Portuguese Neuromuscular Patients Association (APN). Data regarding patient and caregiver demographics, patient health status, resource utilization and cost, and informal care were collected using a custom semistructured questionnaire. Labor productivity and absenteeism losses were captured using the Work Productivity and Activity Impairment questionnaire. Costs were valued using a societal perspective.A total of 46 patient–caregiver pairs were included, of which eight of the patients were ambulant and 38 were nonambulant. Age had a decreasing effect on COI, independent of the patient’s disease stage. Annualized lifetime costs were at their highest in nonambulant patients around the mean age of loss of ambulation (10 years of age). The mean per patient stage-specific costs (year 2019 values) of DMD were estimated at €48,991 in the nonambulant stage and €19,993 in the ambulant stage. Direct nonmedical costs were the main cost drivers, followed by indirect costs.Our results indicate a close relation between overall disease costs and disease progression. DMD is associated with a substantial economic burden, which appears to be larger around the time ambulation is lost (10 years of age). The availability of new therapeutic options that delay disease progression, especially loss of ambulation, may prove to be highly beneficial for not only patients with DMD but also their families and society. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]