Search

Aims: High physical activity (PA) is associated with decreased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality. However, whether PA can be sufficient to reduce the risk of CVD and mortality contributing to adiposity remains unclear. From the standpoint of predictive, preventive, and personalized medicine (PPPM/3PM), joint assessment of PA and adiposity provides novel insights for individual risk assessment, targeted prevention, and personalized intervention of CVD. Methods: This prospective cohort study included 92,931 participants in the Kailuan study in Tangshan, followed between the years 2006 and 2020. Adiposity was assessed by body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC). The CVD incidence and all-cause mortality associated with 3 PA levels (low, medium, and high PA) were analyzed by applying Cox regression models to different adiposity subgroups. Results: After a median follow-up period of 14.02 years, 9997 incident CVD cases and 12,586 deaths occurred. Surprisingly, low PA and lean body mass were at a lower risk for CVD than other phenotypes. Participants with high PA still had a 35% higher CVD risk from obesity (hazard ratio (HR) BMI: 1.35, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.18–1.54) and a 10% higher CVD risk from central obesity (HRcentral obesity: 1.10, 95% CI: 1.00–1.21) than those with lean. However, only in obese individuals, high PA has a protective effect on CVD (HR: 0.78, 95% CI: 0.64–0.95). Overall obesity and high PA were not associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality, whereas high PA could not attenuate mortality risk associated with central obesity. Conclusion: High PA did not attenuate the risk of CVD associated with adiposity compared with lean body mass among the Chinese population, whereas the combination of high PA and healthy WC might improve healthy aging and longevity. In addition, this study revealed the importance of maintaining muscle health in obese individuals via PA or other ways. It provides a novel strategy for mitigating the risk of CVD by exercising intervention or maintaining body mass, thereby enhancing effective prevention and targeted intervention. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Cardiovascular complications are major concerns for Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes. Accurately predicting these risks remains challenging due to limitations in traditional risk models. We aimed to develop a dynamic prediction model using machine learning and longitudinal trajectories of cardiovascular risk factors to improve prediction accuracy. Methods: We included 16,378 patients from the Kailuan cohort, splitting them into training and testing datasets. Using baseline characteristics and changes over a four-year observation period, we developed the ML-CVD-C (Machine Learning Cardiovascular Disease in Chinese) score to predict 10-year cardiovascular risk, including cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and stroke. We compared the discrimination and calibration of ML-CVD-C with models using only baseline variables (ML-CVD-C [base]), China-PAR (Prediction for ASCVD Risk in China), and PREVENT (Predict Risk of cardiovascular disease EVENTs). Risk stratification improvements were assessed through net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Transition analysis examined the changes in risk stratification over time. Results: The ML-CVD-C score achieved a C-index of 0.80 (95% CI: 0.78–0.82) in the testing cohort, significantly outperforming the ML-CVD-C (base) score, China-PAR, and PREVENT, which had C-index values of 0.62–0.65. ML-CVD-C also provided more accurate cardiovascular risk estimates, though all models tended to overestimate the prevalence of high-risk cases. Stratification by the ML-CVD-C score showed substantial improvement, with NRI gains of 57.7%, 44.1%, and 47.3%, and IDI gains of 10.1%, 7.9%, and 8.4% compared to the other three scores. Both the trajectory and machine learning algorithm contributed significantly to the enhancement of model performance. Transition analysis revealed that participants who remained in the same risk category or were reclassified to a lower category exhibited 22% and 86% reductions in cardiovascular risk compared to those reclassified to a higher risk category during the observation period. Conclusions: The ML-CVD-C model, incorporating dynamic cardiovascular risk trajectories and a machine learning algorithm, significantly improves risk prediction accuracy for Chinese patients with diabetes. This model may serve as a valuable tool for more personalized cardiovascular risk management in type 2 diabetes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background and aim: Previous studies have shown that remnant cholesterol (RC) was associated with heart failure (HF). However, lack of evidence regarding the long-term trend of RC with HF risk. We aimed to investigate the association between cumulative RC exposure with incident HF and to further explore the modulating effects of the time course of RC accumulation. Methods and results: We enrolled 41,168 participants free of CVD from the Kailuan Study who completed the first three health examinations from 2006 to 2010. Cumulative RC exposure included cumulative RC and time-weighted cumulative RC. The combination of cumulative RC and RC slope over time was characterized as the time course of RC accumulation. Multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for HF risk. We also considered non-HF-related death as a competing event by performing competing risk models as a sensitivity analysis. During 8.84 years, 839 participants developed HF events. Cumulative RC exposure increased the HF risk, with HRs for cumulative RC of 1.72 (1.41–2.10) and for time-averaged cumulative RC of 1.54 (1.25–1.89). There was a nonlinear relationship between cumulative RC exposure and HF risk. Participants with higher cumulative RC and negative slope had the highest HF risk (HR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.16–1.83). Conclusions: Both cumulative long-term exposure and the time course of RC accumulation were associated with HF risk. Early RC accumulation resulted in a greater increase in risk compared to later accumulation. This finding suggests that long-term exposure to RC may be useful in identifying individuals at high risk of developing HF and highlights the need for early initiation of appropriate RC control to prevent or reduce incident HF. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Age-specifically longitudinal associations and potential pathways between serum uric acid (SUA) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) remained unclear. This study aimed to explore SUA trajectories in different age populations and to determine their associations and potential pathways with incident CVD. Methods: This prospective cohort included 41,367 participants from the Kailuan study, including 30,938 participants aged <55 years and 10,419 participants aged ≥55. The SUA trajectories during year 2006–2012 were identified by latent class growth models. Results: Three SUA trajectories were identified in the overall, aged <55 and aged ≥55 years participants, as "low-stable" (51.9%, 54.4%, and 43.3%), "moderate-stable" (39.0%, 36.9%, and 45.6%), and "high-stable" (9.1%, 9.7%, and 11.1%), respectively. During a median follow-up of 6.75 years, incident CVD occurred in 2302 participants (5.56%). Overall, a high-stable trajectory was independently associated with a higher risk of CVD (hazard ratio [HR], 1.23; 95% [confidence interval], 1.06–1.42). Notably, the associations differed by age, a significant association was only observed in participants aged ≥55 years (HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.05–1.58), rather than those aged <55 years (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.89–1.33). The addition of SUA trajectories to a baseline risk model for CVD improved the integrated discrimination improvement value (P < 0.05) and category-free net reclassification improvement value (P < 0.05). Bayesian network showed the conditional probability of high CVD risk associated with aging, elevated SUA trajectories, blood pressure, glucose, and inflammation was 15.5%. Conclusions: High-stable SUA trajectories were independently associated with an elevated risk of CVD, which is mainly induced by hypertension, diabetes, and inflammation, especially in participants aged ≥55 years. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background and aim: The analyses of longitudinal changes in remnant cholesterol (RC) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains are limited. The objective of the study was to investigate the associations of longitudinal changes in RC with the risks of CVD and its subtypes (myocardial infarction [MI] and stroke). Methods and results: The participants were enrolled in the Kailuan study. The RC short-term change pattern was defined by RC cutoff points according to equivalent percentiles for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol of 2.6 mmol/L at visits in 2006 and 2008. The RC long-term change pattern was defined as the RC trajectories from 2006 to 2010. Multivariate Cox proportion models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The cutoff values of RC were 0.52 mmol/L at the 2006 visit and 0.51 mmol/L at the 2008 visit. In the RC short-term change analysis, the participants in the high stable group had a 31% increased risk of CVD (HR 1.31; 95% CI 1.22–1.41), 73% increased risks of MI (HR 1.73; 95% CI 1.47–2.03), and 21% increased risks of stroke (HR 1.21; 95% CI 1.12–1.31) compared with participants in the low stable group. Three RC trajectories were employed in the RC long-term change analysis. Compared with the low stable group, the high stable group had a 1.34-fold risk of CVD (HR 1.34; 95% CI 1.17–1.53), 1.66-fold risk of MI (HR 1.66; 95% CI 1.24–2.21), and 1.22-fold risk of stroke (HR 1.22; 95% CI 1.05–1.42). Conclusions: The stable high RC was associated with a higher risk of CVD. Maintaining optional RC levels could reduce the lifetime risk of CVD and prolong the year of life free from CVD. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study aimed to longitudinally investigate the association between circulating neutrophil count and the progression of arterial stiffness and to ascertain whether resting heart rate (RHR) mediates this association. Methods: The current study included 56,760 participants with brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) measurements from a real-life, prospective cohort in China. The associations of circulating neutrophil (exposure) with baseline baPWV, baPWV progression, and arterial stiffness (outcomes), as well as RHR (mediator) were assessed using multivariable linear and Cox regression models and mediation analysis. Results: After adjusting for cardiometabolic risk factors, for each 1-SD increase in neutrophil count, the corresponding increase was 13.5 cm/s (95% CI, 11.1 to 15.9 cm/s, P< 0.001) for the baseline baPWV and 3.10 cm/s (95% CI, 1.51 to 4.69, P< 0.001) for the annual change in baPWV. Over a median follow-up period of 4.08 (IQR: 2.37 to 6.21) years, there were 3,376 incident cases of arterial stiffness among the 23,263 participants. Each 1-SD increase in neutrophil count was associated with a 7% increase in the risk of developing arterial stiffness (HR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.10, P< 0.001) in the multivariable-adjusted model. In the mediation analyses, 20.0% (95% CI: 16.8% to 24.2%), 12.6% (95% CI: 8.16% to 26.4%), and 16.7% (95% CI: 9.94% to 51.0%) of the observed associations of neutrophil counts with baPWV at baseline, baPWV progression and developing arterial stiffness, respectively, were mediated by RHR. Conclusion: The present study underlines that circulating neutrophil count is significantly associated with arterial stiffness progression and that the RHR is, in part, a mediator of this association. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The indicators of abdominal obesity have shown to be associated with a high risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), even adjusted for body mass index (BMI). We aimed to investigate the association between neck circumference, waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI) and incident heart failure (HF) in Chinese adults. Methods: The current study included 86,546 participants from two independent cohorts: the Kailuan I study established in 2006 and the Kailuan study II established in 2008. Participants aged 18–80 years who were free of CVDs or cancer were recruited at baseline. The values of neck circumference, WHtR and CVAI were available in 2014. The trajectory analysis was conducted using repeated measures of WHtR and CVAI in the 2008, 2010, 2012 and 2014 surveys. The incident HF cases were identified via reviewing medical records by cardiologists. Results: During a mean follow-up of 5.62 years, 724 incident HF cases were documented. The highest quartiles of neck circumference, WHtR and CVAI respectively, were significantly associated with a high risk of HF compared to the lowest quartiles of adiposity measures (neck circumference: HR:1.30, 95%CI: 1.03–1.65; WHtR: HR:1.49, 95%CI: 1.16–1.92; and CVAI: HR:1.98, 95%CI: 1.48–2.65). The combination of adiposity measures with BMI or metabolic abnormalities jointly predicted incident HF. Presence of hypertension and diabetes appeared to be the major mediators, accounting for ∼ 8.11–24.7% of the associations between three indicators of abdominal obesity and HF risk. Conclusion: The new indices of abdominal adiposity could help to identify those who were at a high risk of HF, especially in the presence of high BMI or metabolic abnormalities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Insulin resistance coexist with many metabolic disorders, whether these disorders were promotors or pathway-factors for the association of insulin resistance and cardiovascular disease (CVD) remained unclear. We aimed to investigate the pathways related to elevated the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and pathways through elevated TyG index to the occurrence of CVD in Chinese adults. Methods: A total of 96,506 participants were enrolled from the Kailuan study. Bayesian network model with the max-min hill climbing algorithm and maximum likelihood estimation was applied to identify factors and pathways related to the TyG index, and quantitatively infer the impact of associated factors on elevated TyG index and the occurrence of CVD by computing conditional probabilities. Results: A final Bayesian network was constructed with 14 nodes and 25 arcs, creating 28 pathways related to elevated TyG index and 8 pathways from elevated TyG index to CVD. Elevated TyG index was causally associated with CVD, the condition probability was 11.9%. Pathways to elevated TyG index were mainly through unhealthy lifestyles and the subsequent increase in lipid profiles, especially smoking and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. The most important pathway from elevated TyG index to CVD was through overweight/obesity, hypertension, and chronic kidney disease, with a condition probability of 18.5%. The maximum relative change rate related to elevated TyG index was observed for overweight/obesity (64.3%). Conclusions: Elevated TyG index was causally associated with the risk of CVD, a combined control of lifestyles and metabolic factors may contribute to the reduction of TyG index and the prevention of CVD. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background and aims: The effects of metabolic obesity (MO) phenotypes status and their dynamic changes on urologic cancer (UC) is ignored. We aimed to investigate the association between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and MO status at baseline, their dynamic changes and UC risk. Methods: This paper studied 97,897 subjects who were free of cancers at baseline (2006−2007). Individuals were classified into four MO phenotypes by MetS and obesity at baseline. Transitions in MetS and MO status from 2006–2007 to 2008–2009 were considered. The hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for UC were assessed by multifactorial Cox proportional risk regression models. The main limitations of this study are as follows: the ratio of men to women in the cohort is unbalanced; the impacts of MetS and MO on each cancer type (kidney cancer, prostate cancer, bladder cancer) have not been analyzed separately; the transition intervals of MetS and MO phenotypes are relatively short. Results: From baseline (2006–2007) survey to December 31, 2020, during a median follow-up of 14.02 years, 554 cases of UC were diagnosed. Participants with MetS [HRs (95% CI) = 1.26 (1.06–1.49)] and metabolically unhealthy obesity (MUO) [HRs (95% CI) = 1.49 (1.17–1.89)] had significantly higher risk of UC than those with non-MetS and metabolically healthy normal weight (MHN). Transitions in MetS and MO phenotypes over time were studied. Compared with non-MetS to non-MetS, the risks for UC in MetS to MetS [HRs (95% CI) = 1.45 (1.11–1.88)] was increased. Compared with MHN to MHN, both MUO to metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) [HRs (95% CI) = 2.65 (1.43–4.92)] and MUO to MUO [HRs (95% CI) = 1.60 (1.06–2.42)] had significantly higher UC risk. Conclusions: MetS and MUO increased the UC risk at baseline. Transitions of MetS to MetS, MUO to MUO and even MUO to MHO over time significantly increased the risk of UC development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: We aimed to explore the association of socioeconomic status (SES) and life's essential 8 (LE8) with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality in north China. Methods: A total of 91,365 adults from the Kailuan study were included in this study. Comprehensive individual SES, mainly including monthly household income, education, Occupation position, and community environment, was confirmed by latent class analysis. Furthermore, the mediation and combination effects of SES and LE8 on CVD and all-cause mortality were further assessed. The Cox regression model was conducted to estimate HRs and 95% CI. Results: During about 13 years of follow-up, 7,646 cardiovascular events and 11,749 deaths were recorded. Relative to the high SES, there were decreased risks of CVD [HR (95% CI): 1.57(1.43–1.72)] and high all-cause death [HR (95% CI): 1.43(1.31–1.53)] in the low SES. The associations between SES and CVD [Mediation % (95% CI): 22.3 (16.4–30.4)] and mortality [Mediation % (95% CI): 10.1 (7.1–14.0)] were partially mediated by LE8 when comparing medium SES to high SES. Meanwhile, relative to high LE8, the elevated risk of death [HR (95% CI): 1.72(1.56–1.89)], and incident CVD [HR (95% CI): 3.34(2.91–3.83)] were detected in low LE8. Compared to participants who had the high SES and LE8, participants who had both the low SES and LE8 further increased the risk of CVD [HR (95% CI): 7.76(5.21–11.55)] and all-cause mortality [HR (95% CI): 2.80(2.19–3.58)]. Conclusion: Low SES was related to a higher risk of CVD and mortality in low- and middle-income countries, which was partially mediated by LE8. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives: This study aimed to evaluate the association between different levels of physical activity and risk of developing type 2 diabetes (T2D) mellitus among adults with prediabetes in Chinese population. Methods: This prospective population-based cohort study included 12,424 participants (mean [SD] age, 52.8 [16.8] years; 82.2% men) with prediabetes at 2014 survey of the Kailuan study. Physical activity information was collected through the International Physical Activity Questionnaire-Short Form and categorized by metabolic equivalent (MET) of task as low, moderate, and high. Cox regression models were built to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations between physical activity levels and incident T2D. Results: During a median follow-up of 3.6 years, 2,207 (17.8%) participants developed T2D. The incident rate of T2D were 55.83/1000, 35.14/1000, and 39.61/1000 person-years in the low, moderate, and high physical activity level group, respectively. Both moderate (HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.49 to 0.67) and high (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.89) physical activity levels were associated with lower risks of developing T2D compared to low physical activity level (P for trend < 0.001). The association between high physical activity level and T2D was primarily observed in participants without metabolic syndrome (P for interaction < 0.001). Moreover, participants with moderate or high levels of physical activity had significantly decreased fasting blood glucose levels during follow-up when compared to those with low level (P group*time < 0.001). Conclusion: This study suggested that individuals with prediabetes might benefit from moderate and high levels of physical activity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Menopause significantly impacts the immune system. Postmenopausal women are more susceptible to infection. Nonetheless, the pattern of change in peripheral white blood cell counts around the menopause remains poorly understood. Methods: We conducted a prospective longitudinal cohort study with repeated measurements using Kailuan cohort study of 3632 Chinese women who participated in the first checkup (2006–2007) and reached their final menstrual period (FMP) by the end of the seventh checkup (2018–2020). Peripheral WBC count indicators included total white blood cells (TWBC), neutrophils (NEUT), lymphocytes (LYM), and monocytes (MON). Multivariable mixed effects regressions fitted piece-wise linear models to repeated measures of WBC count indicators as a function of time before or after the final menstrual period (FMP). Interaction and subgroup analysis were used to explore the effects of age and body mass index (BMI) on changes in WBC indicators around FMP. Results: WBC count indicators decreased before the FMP, and the reduction in TWBC, NEUT, and MON continued for 2 years following the FMP. LYM and NEUT declined during < -1 years and − 4 ∼ + 2 years relative to FMP, respectively. A reduction in MON was observed pre-FMP, extending continuously through the two-year period post-FMP. TWBC declined from − 3 to + 2 years relative to FMP, but both MON and TWBC increased during > + 2 years. The baseline age had an interaction effect on changes in WBC indicators during specific menopausal stages, except for TWBC. Individuals in different age subgroups showed distinct trajectories for NEUT, LYM and MON around the FMP. High baseline BMI had a synergistic effect on changes in specific menopause segments for TWBC, LYM, and MON. The impact of menopause on TWBC and LYM was postponed or counterbalanced in high BMI individuals. Individuals in three BMI subgroups experienced similar MON changes around FMP, and there were slight variations during < -4 years. Conclusions: Menopause was associated with count changes of peripheral WBC. The trajectories of various WBC types differ around menopause. Age and BMI affected WBC trajectory around menopause. The menopause period may represent a window of opportunity to promote immune health in middle-aged women. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The health effects of Life's Essential 8 (LE8) on chronic diseases have been disclosed, but its association with hypertension remains unknown. The current study aimed to explore the potential link between 10-year LE8 trajectory and the incidence of hypertension. Methods: LE8 was constructed from four behaviors and four metabolic factors, ranging from 0 to 100. Latent mixture models were used to identify trajectories of LE8 scores during 2006 to 2016. Incident hypertension was diagnosed based on self-reported clinical diagnoses and physical examinations from 2016 to 2020. Cox models were employed to assess the association of LE8 trajectories with hypertension. In addition to incorporating the mean hs-CRP levels from 2006 to 2016, age, sex, monthly income, educational level, and occupation at recruitment were adjusted for as confounding factors. Results: 7500 participants aged 40.28 ± 10.35 years were included in the study, of whom 2907 (38.76%) were women. Five LE8 trajectory patterns were identified. After around four-year follow-up, 667 hypertension events were observed. Compared to the Low-Stable trajectory, the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the Moderate-Increasing, Moderate-Decreasing, Moderate-Stable, and High-Stable trajectories were 0.51 (0.40, 0.65), 0.81 (0.64, 1.02), 0.45 (0.36, 0.58), 0.23 (0.16, 0.33), respectively. The risk of incident hypertension decreased as participants improved their LE8 status. The robustness of the primary results was confirmed through several sensitivity analyses. Conclusions: LE8 trajectories were associated with the incident hypertension. People who improved their LE8 scores over time experienced a decreased risk of hypertension, even if they started with lower LE8 scores initially. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: The purpose of this work was to check the connection between parameters of lipid profile and body mass index (BMI) in relation to the occurrence of acute pancreatitis within a sample of adults from northern China. Methodology: A total of 123,214 participants from the Kailuan Group were incorporated into this prospective study. The subjects were categorized into quartiles on the basis of their initial levels of triglyceride (TG), total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C). On the basis of BMI classification, the individuals in the study were divided into three distinct groups: normal weight, overweight, and obese. The data were analyzed to explore the correlation between lipid profile and BMI with acute pancreatitis. Results: Over a period of 12.59 ± 0.98 years, during the median follow-up duration, a total of 410 new patients with acute pancreatitis were recorded. The occurrence rate and total occurrence of acute pancreatitis demonstrated an upward trend in correlation with elevated levels of TG, TC, and BMI. Following adjustment for multiple variables, it was observed that individuals in the fourth quartile of TG and TC levels demonstrated the highest likelihood of developing acute pancreatitis. Furthermore, our analysis revealed that a proportion of 19.29% of the correlation between BMI and the likelihood of experiencing acute pancreatitis can be attributed to the influence of elevated TG levels, whereas 12.69% of the association was mediated by higher TC. Conclusions: We found that hypertriglyceridemia, hypercholesterolemia, and obesity were risk factors for acute pancreatitis, especially in young and middle-aged men.TG and TC were the mediating factors between BMI and the risk of acute pancreatitis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Currently, the special blood pressure (BP) target for normotensive diabetic patients has not been recommended. We investigated the optimal systolic blood pressure (SBP) for lower cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in normotensive diabetic patients. Methods: In this 12-year follow-up study using the participants of the Kailuan Study, we mainly compared which SBP, 90–119 mmHg or 120–129 mmHg, had a lower risk of occurrence of CVD (stroke and myocardial infarction) in the 3072 normotensive diabetic participants and 21,532 normotensive and non-diabetic participants, respectively. The SBP was expressed as a mean time-weighted cumulative (MTWC) SBP, calculated from the multiple measurements of SBP during the follow-up. Multivariate competing risk regression analyses were used for the analysis. Results: We found that in normotensive diabetic participants, MTWC SBP of 120–129 mmHg was associated with a lower risk of CVD (HR = 0.69 [0.50–0.95]), myocardial infarction (HR = 0.48 [0.24–0.96]), and trending towards lower risk of stroke (HR = 0.80 [0.55–1.16]), compared to MTWC SBP of 90–119 mmHg. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the relationship between low SBP and increased CVD risk. Whereas, in the normotensive and non-diabetic participants, MTWC SBP of 90–119 mmHg vs 120–129 mmHg did not exhibit any difference in the risk of CVD occurrence (HR = 0.99 [0.83–1.18]). Conclusions: The higher level of SBP in normotensive diabetic patients is especially associated with a lower risk of CVD occurrence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI) is a new index to evaluate visceral adipose tissue in the Chinese population. Arterial stiffness (AS) is a kind of degeneration of the large arteries, and obesity is an essential contributing factor to AS. Our study aimed to explore the longitudinal association between CVAI and the risk of AS and to compare the predictive power of CVAI, body mass index (BMI), and waist circumference (WC) for AS. Methods: Between 2010 and 2020, a total of 14,877 participants participating in at least two brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) measurements from the Kailuan study were included. The Cox proportional hazard regression models were performed to evaluate the longitudinal association between CVAI and the risk of AS. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was calculated to compare the predictive power of CVAI, BMI, and WC for AS. Results: After adjusting for potential confounding factors, CVAI was significantly associated with the risk of AS. Compared with the first CVAI quartile, the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% CI of the second, third, and fourth quartiles were 1.30 (1.09–1.56), 1.37 (1.15–1.63), and 1.49 (1.24–1.78), respectively. The area under ROC curve of CVAI was 0.661, significantly higher than BMI (AUC: 0.582) and WC (AUC: 0.606). Conclusion: CVAI may be a reliable indicator to identify high-risk groups of AS in the Chinese general population, and the predictive power of CVAI for AS was better than BMI and WC. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background The American Heart Association recently released an updated algorithm for evaluating cardiovascular health—Life's Essential 8 (LE8). However, the associations between changes in LE8 score over time and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) remain unclear. Methods We investigated associations between 6-year changes (2006–12) in LE8 score and risk of subsequent CVD events (2012–20) among 53 363 Chinese men and women from the Kailuan Study, who were free from CVD in 2012. The LE8 score was calculated based on eight components: diet quality, physical activity, smoking status, sleep health, body mass index, blood lipids, blood glucose and blood pressure. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional-hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results We documented 4281 incident CVD cases during a median of 7.7 years of follow-up. Compared with participants whose LE8 scores remained stable in a 6-year period, those with the large increases of LE8 score over the 6-year period had a lower risk of CVD, heart disease and stroke in the subsequent 8 years [HRs and 95% CIs: 0.67 (0.64, 0.70) for CVD, 0.65 (0.61, 0.69) for heart disease, 0.71 (0.67, 0.76) for stroke, all P trend < 0.001]. Conversely, those with the large decreases of LE8 score had 47%, 51% and 41% higher risk for CVD, heart disease and stroke, respectively. These associations were consistent across the subgroups stratified by risk factors. Conclusions Improving LE8 score in a short- and moderate-term was associated with a lower CVD risk, whereas decreased LE8 score over time was associated with a higher risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Limited studies have investigated the association between statin therapy and poor glycemic control, especially in the Chinese diabetic population. Methods: Two prospective diabetes cohorts were drawn from the Kailuan Cohort. In Cohort 1, linear regression models were used to evaluate the association between statin therapy and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) level change. In Cohort 2, new user design and conditional logistic models were used to assess associations between statin initiation and poor glycemic control which was a composite outcome comprised of hypoglycemic agent escalation and new-onset hyperglycemia. Results: Among 11,755 diabetic patients with medication information, 1400 statin users and 1767 statin nonusers with repeated HbA1c measurements were included in Cohort 1 (mean age: 64.6 ± 10.0 years). After a median follow-up of 3.02 (1.44, 5.00) years, statin therapy was associated with higher HbA1c levels (β: 0.20%; 95%CI: 0.05% to 0.34%). In Cohort 2, 1319 pairs of matched cases/controls were included (mean age: 61.6 ± 9.75 years). After a median follow-up of 4.87 (2.51, 8.42) years, poor glycemic control occurred in 43.0% of statin new users and 31.8% of statin nonusers (OR: 1.69; 95% CI: 1.32 to 2.17; P < 0.001). The statin-associated poor glycemic control risk was significantly higher among patients with lower body mass index (Pint = 0.089). Furthermore, a nonlinear association was observed between statin therapy duration and poor glycemic control (P = 0.003). Conclusions: Among Chinese diabetic adults, statin therapy was associated with a higher level of HbA1c, and a higher risk of hypoglycemic agent escalation and new-onset hyperglycemia, especially among those who had lower body mass index levels and longer statin therapy duration. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background To explore the association between the differences between cystatin C- and creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRdiff), and the risk of mortality and cardiovascular (CV) events in individuals with diabetes. Methods Three prospective cohorts analyzed data from adults with diabetes from the Incident, Development, and Prognosis of Diabetic Kidney Disease (INDEED) study (2016–17 to 2020) in China, the National Health Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 1999–2004 to 2019) in the USA and UK Biobank (UKB, 2006–10 to 2022) in the UK. Baseline eGFRdiff was calculated using both absolute difference between cystatin C- and creatinine-based calculations (eGFRabdiff), and the ratio between them (eGFRrediff). Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to investigate the association between eGFRdiff and outcomes including all-cause mortality and incident CV events. Results A total of 8129 individuals from INDEED (aged 60.7 ± 10.0 years), 1634 from NHANES (aged 62.5 ± 14.4 years) and 29 358 from UKB (aged 59.4 ± 7.3 years) were included. At baseline, 43.6%, 32.4% and 42.1% of participants in INDEED, NHANES and UKB, respectively, had an eGFRabdiff value ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m2. During a median follow-up of 3.8 years for INDEED, 15.2 years for NHANES and 13.5 years for UKB, a total of 430, 936 and 6143 deaths and a total of 481, 183 and 5583 CV events occurred, respectively. Each 1-standard deviation higher baseline eGFRabdiff was independently associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality and CV events, with hazard ratios of 0.77 and 0.82 in INDEED, 0.70 and 0.68 in NHANES, and 0.66 and 0.78 in UKB. Similar results were observed for eGFRrediff. Conclusions eGFRdiff represents a marker of adverse events for diabetes among general population. Monitoring both eGFRcys and eGFRcr yields additional prognostic information and has clinical utility in identifying high-risk individuals for mortality and CV events. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, a surrogate marker of insulin resistance, has been implicated in the risk of ischemic stroke. However, the interplay between TyG levels, lifestyle factors, and their collective impact on stroke risk in non-diabetic populations remains inadequately explored. This study aims to evaluate the association of ischemic stroke with the joint development of the TyG index and lifestyle in the non-diabetic population. Methods: In this prospective cohort study, data was collected across three consecutive biennial surveys of the Kailuan Study from 2006 to 2011. The dual-trajectory model was used to determine the temporal development of TyG levels and lifestyle scores. Statistical analysis involved Cox regression models to evaluate the association between TyG-lifestyle trajectories and ischemic stroke risk, adjusting for potential confounders. Results: A total of 44,403 participants were included, with five distinct TyG levels and lifestyle scores trajectory subtypes identified. In the multivariable-adjusted analyses, significant differences in ischemic stroke risk among the trajectory subtypes. Group 5, characterized by the highest TyG levels and moderate lifestyle scores, exhibited the greatest ischemic stroke risk (HR = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.51–2.18), while group 4, with moderate TyG levels and higher lifestyle scores, demonstrated the lowest risk (HR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.04–1.37), compared with group 3. Participants with elevated TyG levels were at an increased risk of ischemic stroke in cases of pronounced insulin resistance, even with a healthy lifestyle. Conclusions: This study reveals the significant associations between the identified TyG and lifestyle trajectories and the stratification of ischemic stroke risk among non-diabetics. The TyG index is a valuable indicator for assessing insulin resistance. However, the potential benefits of lifestyle changes for those with significantly high TyG levels need to be clarified by more research to develop more effective stroke prevention strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The relationship between variation in serum uric acid (SUA) levels and brain health is largely unknown. This study aimed to examine the associations of long-term variability in SUA levels with neuroimaging metrics and cognitive function. Methods: This study recruited 1111 participants aged 25–83 years from a multicenter, community-based cohort study. The SUA concentrations were measured every two years from 2006 to 2018. We measured the intraindividual SUA variability, including the direction and magnitude of change by calculating the slope value. The associations of SUA variability with neuroimaging markers (brain macrostructural volume, microstructural integrity, white matter hyperintensity, and the presence of cerebral small vessel disease) and cognitive function were examined using generalized linear models. Mediation analyses were performed to assess whether neuroimaging markers mediate the relationship between SUA variation and cognitive function. Results: Compared with the stable group, subjects with increased or decreased SUA levels were all featured by smaller brain white matter volume (beta = − 0.25, 95% confidence interval [CI] − 0.39 to − 0.11 and beta = − 0.15, 95% CI − 0.29 to − 0.02). Participants with progressively increased SUA exhibited widespread disrupted microstructural integrity, featured by lower global fractional anisotropy (beta = − 0.24, 95% CI − 0.38 to − 0.10), higher mean diffusivity (beta = 0.16, 95% CI 0.04 to 0.28) and radial diffusivity (beta = 0.19, 95% CI 0.06 to 0.31). Elevated SUA was also associated with cognitive decline (beta = − 0.18, 95% CI − 0.32 to − 0.04). White matter atrophy and impaired brain microstructural integrity mediated the impact of SUA increase on cognitive decline. Conclusions: It is the magnitude of SUA variation rather than the direction that plays a critical negative role in brain health, especially for participants with hyperuricemia. Smaller brain white matter volume and impaired microstructural integrity mediate the relationship between increased SUA level and cognitive function decline. Long-term stability of SUA level is recommended for maintaining brain health and preventing cognitive decline. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and its related parameters have been introduced as cost-effective surrogate indicators of insulin resistance, while prospective evidence of their effects on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remained scattered and inconsistent. We aimed to evaluate the association of TyG and its related parameters with new-onset ASCVD, and the predictive capacity were further compared. Method: A total of 95,342 ASCVD-free participants were enrolled from the Kailuan study. TyG and its related parameters were defined by fasting blood glucose, triglyceride, body mass index (BMI), waist circumstance (WC) and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR). The primary outcome was incident ASCVD, comprising myocardial infarction (MI) and ischemic stroke (IS). Cox proportional hazard models and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were adopted to investigate the association between each index and ASCVD. The C-index, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification improvement (NRI) were used for comparison of their predictive value for ASCVD. Results: During a median follow-up of 15.0 years, 8,031 new cases of ASCVD were identified. The incidence rate of ASCVD increased along with elevated levels of each index, and the relationships were found to be nonlinear in the RCS analyses. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for ASCVD was 1.39 (1.35, 1.43), 1.46 (1.41, 1.50), 1.50 (1.46, 1.55), and 1.52 (1.48, 1.57) per 1 IQR increase of baseline TyG, TyG-BMI, TyG-WC, and TyG-WHtR, respectively, and the association were more pronounced for females and younger individuals aged < 60 years (Pfor interaction<0.05). Using the updated mean or time-varying measurements instead of baseline indicators did not significantly alter the primary findings. Additionally, TyG-WC and TyG-WHtR showed better performance in predicting risk of ASCVD than TyG, with the IDI (95% CI) of 0.004 (0.001, 0.004) and 0.004 (0.001, 0.004) and the category-free NRI (95% CI) of 0.120 (0.025, 0.138) and 0.143 (0.032, 0.166), respectively. Similar findings were observed for MI and IS. Conclusions: Both the TyG index and its related parameters were significantly and positively associated with ASCVD. TyG-WC and TyG-WHtR had better performance in predicting incident ASCVD than TyG, which might be more suitable indices for risk stratification and enhance the primary prevention of ASCVD. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study aimed to explore the impact of a combination of hyperuricemia (HUA) and excessive high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) levels on the likelihood of developing cardiac conduction block (CCB). Additionally, it sought to assess whether the influence of uric acid (UA) on CCB is mediated by hs-CRP. Methods: A prospective study was executed utilizing data from the Kailuan cohort, including 81,896 individuals initially free from CCB. The participants were categorized into four groups depending on the existence of HUA and low-grade inflammation (hs-CRP> 3 mg/L). Cox regression analysis was employed to ascertain hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the risk of incident CCB. A mediation analysis was performed to determine if hs-CRP functioned as a mediator in the connection between UA levels and the incidence of CCB. Results: During a median observation period of 11.8 years, we identified 3160 cases of newly occurring CCB. Compared with the low UA/low CRP group, the combination of HUA and low-grade inflammation elevated the CCB risks (HR:1.56, 95% CI:1.22– 1.99), atrioventricular block (AVB) (HR:1.88, 95% CI:1.27– 2.77), and right bundle branch block (HR:1.47, 95% CI:1.02– 2.12), respectively. Mediation analysis revealed that in the HUA group, compared with the non-HUA group, the risk of CCB elevated by 14.0%, with 10.3% of the increase mediated through hs-CRP. Conclusion: HUA combined with elevated hs-CRP increased the risk of CCB, especially AVB. The connection between UA and the CCB risk was partly mediated by hs-CRP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To investigate whether early-life exposure to the Great Famine of 1959–1961 in China was associated with the risk of digestive system cancer. The prospective cohort study involved 17 997 participants from the Kailuan Study (Tangshan, China) that began in 2006. All participants were divided into three groups based on their date of birth. The unexposed group (born from 1 October 1962 to 30 September 1964), fetal-exposed group (born from 1 October 1959 to 30 December 1961), and early-childhood-exposed group (born from 1 October 1956 to 30 December 1958). The Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze the association between early famine exposure and digestive system cancer. During the mean follow-up period of (10.4 ± 2.2) years, a total of 223 digestive system cancer events occurred. Including 54 cases in the unexposed group (62.14/100 000 person-years), 57 cases in the fetal-exposed group (114.8/100 000 person-years), and 112 cases in the early-childhood-exposure group (122.2/100 000 person-years). After adjusting covariates, compared with the unexposed group, the HR and 95% CI were 1.85 (1.28, 2.69) for participants in the fetal-exposed group and 1.92 (1.38, 2.66) for participants in the early-childhood-exposed group. No interactions were observed in our study. After classifying digestive system cancers, the HR and 95% CI were 2.02 (1.03, 3.97) for colorectal cancer for participants in the fetal-exposed group and 2.55 (1.43, 4.55) for participants in the early-childhood-exposed group. The HR and 95% CI were (1.13, 3.83) of liver cancer for participants in the fetal-exposed group and 1.15 (0.63, 2.10) for participants in the early-childhood-exposed group. Early-life famine exposure was associated with a higher risk of digestive system cancer in adulthood. Fetal-exposed individuals might increase the risk of colorectal cancer and liver cancer, and early childhood-exposed might increase the risk of colorectal cancer. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Diabetes, especially type 2 diabetes (T2D), poses an unprecedented challenge to global public health. Hydration status also plays a fundamental role in human health, especially in people with T2D, which is often overlooked. This study aimed to explore the longitudinal associations between hydration status and the risk of T2D among the Chinese population. This study used data from the large community-based Kailuan cohort, which included adults who attended physical examinations from 2006 to 2007 and were followed until 2020. A total of 71,526 participants who eventually met the standards were divided into five hydration-status groups based on their levels of urine specific gravity (USG). Multivariable and time-dependent Cox proportional hazards models were employed to evaluate the associations of baseline and time-dependent hydration status with T2D incidence. Restricted cubic splines (RCS) analysis was used to examine the dose–response relationship between hydration status and the risk of T2D. Over a median 12.22-year follow-up time, 11,804 of the participants developed T2D. Compared with the optimal hydration-status group, participants with dehydration and severe dehydration had a significantly increased risk of diabetes, with adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI) of 1.30 (1.04–1.63) and 1.38 (1.10–1.74). Time-dependent analyses further confirmed the adverse effects of impending dehydration, dehydration, and severe dehydration on T2D incidence by 16%, 26%, and 33% compared with the reference group. Inadequate hydration is significantly associated with increased risks of T2D among Chinese adults. Our findings provided new epidemiological evidence and highlighted the potential role of adequate hydration status in the early prevention of T2D development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: No study has concentrated on the association of LE8 with cancer risk and death. We aim to examine the association of LE8 with death and cancer. Methods: A total of 94733 adults aged 51.42 ± 12.46 years and 77551 participants aged 54.09±12.06 years were enrolled in longitudinal and trajectory analysis respectively. Baseline LE8 was divided into three groups based on the American Heart Association criteria and three trajectory patterns by latent mixture models. We reviewed medical records and clinical examinations to confirm incident cancer during the period from 2006 to 2020. Death information was collected from provincial vital statistics offices. Cox models were used. Results: 12807 all-cause deaths and 5060 cancers were documented during a 14-year follow-up. Relative to participants with high LE8 at baseline, participants with lower levels of LE8 have a significantly increased risk of mortality and incident cancer. All these risks have an increasing trend with LE8 level decreasing. Meanwhile, the trajectory analysis recorded 7483 all-cause deaths and 3037 incident cancers after approximately 10 years. The associations of LE8 with death and cancer were identical to the longitudinal study. In the subtype cancer analysis, LE8 has a strong effect on colorectal cancer risk. Moreover, the cut point is 56.67 in the association between LE8 and death, while the cut point altered to 64.79 in the association between LE8 and incident cancers. These associations were enhanced among younger adults. Conclusions: There was a significant association of LE8 with death and cancer risk, especially for the young population. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: To evaluate the association of body mass index (BMI) with risk of first cardiometabolic disease (FCMD), cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) and death. Methods: 87,512 participants free of CMD were included from the Kailuan cohort, which was established during 2006–2007 and followed up until 2020. BMI was classified as underweight (< 18.5 kg/m2), healthy weight (18.5–23.9 kg/m2), overweight (24.0–27.9 kg/m2), mildly obese (28.0–31.9 kg/m2), and severely obese (≥ 32.0 kg/m2). FCMD was defined as the first onset of diabetes, heart disease, or stroke, and CMM as the coexistence of at least two CMD. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) were estimated with multi-state models. Results: 20,577 participants developed FCMD, 2232 developed CMM afterwards, and 10,191 died. Individuals with higher BMI was more likely to develop FCMD and CMM. Compared with healthy weight, the HR (95%CI) of severe obesity for transition from health to FCMD and from FCMD to CMM was 3.12 (2.91, 3.34) and 1.92 (1.60, 2.31), respectively. On the other hand, underweight was consistently associated with higher mortality risk regardless of initial status, whereas severe obesity was only related to increased risk for transition from health to death (HR: 1.36; 95%CI: 1.17, 1.56) but not for transition from FCMD (HR: 0.70; 95%CI: 0.57, 0.87) or CMM (HR: 0.80; 95%CI: 0.54, 1.19) to death. Conclusion: Our findings highlighted the importance of maintaining healthy weight for primary and secondary prevention of CMD and reflected the demand for more accurate measurement and comprehensive management of obesity for CMD patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The association between the triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and the risk of early-onset atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events or all-cause mortality in young and middle-aged people is not fully elucidated. Methods: The present study included 64,489 young and middle-aged people who participated in the 2006 Kailuan Study physical examination. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline curves were used to assess the association of TyG index with early-onset ASCVD events and all-cause mortality. Results: During a median of 11-year follow-up, 1984 (3.08%) participants experienced at least one ASCVD event and 1,392 (2.16%) participants experienced all-cause death. A higher TyG index was significantly associated with a higher risk of early-onset ASCVD events (HR: 1.61, 95% CI 1.38–1.89) and all-cause mortality (HR: 1.39, 95% CI 1.17–1.65), respectively. For each unit increase in TyG index, the risk of early-onset ASCVD events increased by 20%. In addition, there was a non-linear association between the TyG index and early-onset ASCVD events (P for non-linear < 0.01), and a linear association between TyG index and all-cause mortality (P for non-linear = 0.476). Conclusions: A higher TyG index is significantly associated with an increased incidence of early-onset ASCVD events and all-cause mortality in a young and middle-aged population from North China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: The objective of this study was to evaluate the associations of general and central obesity with risk of first cardiometabolic disease (FCMD), cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM), and death. Methods: A total of 86,169 participants who were CMD‐free were included from the Kailuan cohort and categorized into four groups by quartiles of BMI, waist to hip ratio (WHR), weight‐adjusted waist index, and waist to height ratio. We defined FCMD as the first onset of diabetes, stroke, or myocardial infarction and CMM as co‐occurrence of at least two CMDs. Multistate models were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% CI. Results: A total of 18,461 participants developed FCMD, of whom 1476 progressed to CMM, and 10,009 died during follow‐ups. Both general and central adiposity indices increased the risk of transition from baseline to FCMD and from FCMD to CMM. However, compared with the first quartile, the hazard ratio (95% CI) of the fourth quartile of BMI was 0.86 (95% CI: 0.80–0.91) for transition from health to death and 0.66 (95% CI: 0.59–0.74) from FCMD to death, whereas the corresponding estimates of WHR were 1.22 (95% CI: 1.14–1.31) and 1.16 (95% CI: 1.02–1.32), respectively. Conclusions: Central adiposity indices such as WHR were associated with an increased risk of CMD and mortality, showing no evidence for the obesity paradox and thereby supporting a shift of public focus from BMI only to both general obesity and adiposity distribution. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cardiovascular health (CVH) score is not only associated with cardiovascular diseases, but also some disorders in other systems. This study aims to investigate the association between CVH score and the risk of fragility fractures. The analysis enrolled 89,464 participants at baseline in Kailuan study initiated in 2006–2007. All participants were then followed up every 2 years and the incidence of fragility fractures was recorded annually. A total CVH score was classified as low (0–49 points), moderate (50–79 points), and ideal (80–100 points). The primary outcome was incident fragility fractures before December 31, 2021. Kaplan–Meier was used to estimate cumulative incidence. Multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression models and time‐dependent Cox hazards regression models were used to estimate fragility fracture hazard ratios (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). After 13.98 ± 2.84 years of follow‐up, a total of 1534 cases of fragility fractures were identified, with an incidence density of 1.23 per 1000 person‐years. Compared with the low CVH group, the risk of fragility fractures was significantly lower in moderate (aHR = 0.78, 95% CI: 0.66–0.92) and ideal CVH groups (aHR = 0.65, 95% CI: 0.51–0.83), particularly in the age <60 group (aHR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.59–0.88; aHR= 0.55, 95% CI: 0.41–0.73, respectively). Time‐dependent Cox hazards regression models, sensitivity analysis, and death competition model confirmed the reliability of these findings. The ideal CVH score is associated with a decreased risk of fragility fractures. With the increase of CVH score, the risk of fragility fracture decreases. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aims: To investigate the associations of baseline and longitudinal cardiovascular health (CVH) measured by 'Life's Essential 8' (LE8) metrics with the risk of diabetes in Chinese people with normoglycaemia or prediabetes. Materials and Methods: A total 86,149 participants without diabetes were enroled from the Kailuan study and were stratified by baseline glycaemic status (normoglycaemia or prediabetes). Cardiovascular health score ranged from 0 to 100 points was categorised into low (0–49), middle (50–79), and high (80–100) CVH status. Cox regressions were used to assess the associations of baseline and time‐updated CVH status with incident diabetes in the overall cohort and across baseline glycaemic statuses. Results: During a median follow‐up of 12.94 (interquartile rage: 12.48–13.16) years, we identified 13,097 (15.20%) cases of incident diabetes. Baseline and time‐updated high CVH status was associated with a lower risk of diabetes, the corresponding hazard ratio (HR) versus low CVH status was 0.27 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.23–0.31) and 0.26 (95% CI, 0.23–0.30) in the overall cohort, respectively. Additionally, the effect of high CVH on diabetes was more prominent in participants with normoglycaemia than those with prediabetes (P < 0.0001), with an HR of 0.26 (95% CI, 0.22–0.31) versus 0.50 (95% CI, 0.41–0.62) for baseline CVH, and 0.25 (95% CI, 0.21–0.30) versus 0.39 (95% CI, 0.32–0.48) for time‐updated CVH. Conclusions: Elevated baseline and longitudinal CVH score assessed by LE8 metrics is associated with a lower risk of subsequent diabetes, especially in normoglycaemic adults. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The aim of the current study was to explore the trajectories, variabilities, and cumulative exposures of body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) with cardiac arrhythmia (CA) risks. Methods: In total, 35,739 adults from the Kailuan study were included. BMI and WC were measured repeatedly during the 2006–2010 waves. CA was identified via electrocardiogram diagnosis. BMI and WC trajectories were fitted using a group-based trajectory model. The associations were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. Results: We identified four stable trajectories for BMI and WC, respectively. Neither the BMI trajectories nor the baseline BMI values were associated with the risk of CA. Compared to the low-stable WC group, participants in the high-stable WC group had a higher risk of CA (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.40, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06, 1.86). Interestingly, the cumulative exposures of BMI and WC instead of their variabilities were associated with the risk of CA. In the stratified analyses, the positive associations of the high-stable WC group with the risk of CA were found in females only (HR = 1.98, 95% CI: 1.02, 3.83). Conclusions: A high-stable WC trajectory is associated with a higher risk of CA among Chinese female adults, underscoring the potential of WC rather than BMI to identify adults who are at risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Although risk factors for mortality in individuals with cardiovascular diseases (CVD) have been reported, little is known regarding the association between the comprehensive cardiovascular health (CVH) index assessed by life's essential 8 (LE8) and the risk of mortality. Hypothesis: The aim of this study was to evaluate the CVH assessed by LE8 and risk of mortality in individuals with CVD. Methods: A total of 1391 participants with CVD diagnosed before 2014 from the Kailuan cohort were included in the analysis. The CVH score ranged from 0 to 100 was assessed using the LE8 metrics (diet quality, physical activity, sleep health, cigarette smoking, body mass index, lipids, blood glucose, and blood pressure). Cox regression model was used to estimate the association between the CVH score and risk of all‐cause mortality. Results: During a mean follow‐up of 6.1 ± 1.5 years, 229 deaths occurred. The hazard ratio for all‐cause mortality was 0.57 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.38, 0.84) in the highest quartiles compared with the lowest quartiles of CVH scores and 0.85 (95% CI: 0.75, 0.95) for each 10 points increment in CVH scores (ptrend =.009), after adjustment for age, sex, CVD duration, social‐economic status, alcohol consumption, inflammation, medicine use, and kidney function. We did not observe significant interactions between the CVH scores and age, sex, and duration of CVD diagnosis (pinteraction >.05 for all). Conclusions: The CVH assessed by the LE8 metrics was associated with a lower risk of all‐cause mortality in individuals with CVD. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aims: We aimed to explore the associations between urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) and cardia-cerebrovascular disease (CVD) in Chinese population with type 2 diabetes(T2D). Methods: We included 8975 participants with T2D but free of prevalent CVD (including myocardial infarction, ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke) at baseline from Kailuan study who were assessed with uACR between 2014 and 2016. The participants were divided into three groups based on their baseline uACR: normal (< 3 mg/mmol), microalbuminuria (3–30 mg/mmol), and macroalbuminuria (≥ 30 mg/mmol). Cox regression models and restricted cubic spline were used to evaluate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of incident CVD. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to see if incorporating uACR into existing models could improve performance. Results: During a median follow-up of 4.05 years, 560 participants developed first CVD event (6.24%). After adjustment for potential confounders, participants with microalbuminuria had higher risks of CVD compared with normal uACR, with HRs of 1.57(95% CI 1.04–2.37) for myocardial infarction, 1.24(95% CI 1.00–1.54) for ischemic stroke,1.62(95% CI 0.73–3.61) for hemorrhagic stroke, and 1.30(95% CI 1.07–1.57) for total CVD. The risks gradually attenuated with uACR increase, with HRs of 2.86(95% CI 1.63–5.00) for myocardial infarction, 2.46(95% CI 1.83–3.30) for ischemic stroke, 4.69(95% CI 1.72–12.78) for hemorrhagic stroke, and 2.42(95% CI 1.85–3.15) for total CVD in macroalbuminuria. The addition of uACR to established CVD risk models improved the CVD risk prediction efficacy. Conclusions: Increasing uACR, even below the normal range, is an independent risk factor for new-onset CVD in T2D population. Furthermore, uACR could improve the risk prediction for CVD among community based T2D patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Converging data have suggested that monocytic inflammation and C-reactive protein (CRP) are biologically intertwined processes and are involved in diabetogenesis. This study aimed to investigate the association between systemic inflammation assessed by joint cumulative high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (CumCRP) and monocyte to high-density lipoprotein ratio (CumMHR) and incident type 2 diabetes (T2D) and their predictive value for T2D in a general population. Methods: A total of 40,813 nondiabetic participants from a prospective real-life cohort (Kailuan Study, China) were followed biennially from 2010/2011 until December 31, 2020. Multivariable Cox regression analyses were conducted to evaluate the adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) of incident diabetes. Results: During a median follow-up of 7.98 (IQR: 5.74–8.87) years, 4848 T2D cases developed. CumMHR and CumCRP were alone or jointly associated with incident T2D after adjusting for potential confounders. Elevated CumMHR levels significantly increased the risk of incident diabetes in each CumCRP strata (P-interaction: 0.0278). Participants with concomitant elevations in CumMHR and CumCRP levels had the highest risk (aHR: 1.71, 95% CI 1.52–1.91) compared to both in the low strata. Notably, the coexposure-associated T2D risk was modified by age, sex, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and prediabetes status. C-statistics increased from 0.7377 to 0.7417 when CumMHR and CumCRP were added into the multivariable-adjusted model, with a net reclassification improvement (%) of 12.39 (9.39–15.37) (P < 0.0001). Conclusions: Cumulative hsCRP and MHR were both independently and jointly associated with an increased risk of T2D and their addition to established risk factors should improve risk prediction and reclassification of diabetes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Adiposity and elevated inflammation are two hallmarks of hyperglycemia. However, it is unknown whether clustering of elevated inflammation and adiposity interact act on diabetogenesis and lead to a greater risk for incident type 2 diabetes (T2D). Methods: Adiposity was indicated by body mass index, waist circumference and ultrasonography-measured fatty liver degrees. Elevated inflammation was indicated as high-sensitivity C-reactive protein levels ≥ 2 mg/L. Time-to-event survival analyses were conducted to investigate the joint effect of adiposity and inflammation on incident T2D on both multiplicative and additive scales. Results: Among 82,172 non-diabetic participants from a prospective cohort in China, 14,278 T2D occurred over a median follow-up of 11 years. In the multivariable-adjusted model, elevated inflammation [1.12 (1.08‒1.16)] and adiposity [1.76 (1.69‒1.83) for overweight/obesity, 1.49 (1.44‒1.55) for central obesity, and 2.02 (1.95‒2.09) for fatty liver] were significantly associated with incident diabetes. Higher adiposity-associated risks and incidence rates of diabetes were observed with elevated inflammation. When studying the joint effect, the adjusted HRs were 1.77 (1.69‒1.85) for overweight/obesity, 1.14 (1.06‒1.23) for elevated inflammation, and 2.08 (1.97‒2.19) for their joint effect, with a relative excess risk due to interaction of 0.17 (0.05‒0.28). The attributable proportions were 71.30% for overweight/obesity, 12.96% for elevated inflammation, and 15.74% for their interaction. Similar results were observed when adiposity was assessed as waist circumference or fatty liver. Conclusions: Adiposity and elevated inflammation synergically lead to greater risks of incident diabetes than addition of each individual exposure. Strategies simultaneously targeting both risks should produce more benefits for diabetes prevention than through initiatives directed at each separate risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: High cardiovascular health (CVH) was associated with lower risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and longer life expectancy. However, whether life years lived without CVD could increase faster than or at least at the same pace as total lifespan remains unknown. We aimed to explore the associations of CVH status with total life expectancy and life years lived with and without CVD among middle-aged and elderly men and women. Methods: We included 65,587 participants aged ≥ 45 years from Kailuan study, who were recruited during June 2006 to October 2007. CVH was scored and classified (low [0–49 points], moderate [50–79 points] and high [80–100 points]) with Life's Essential 8, incorporating evaluations of health behaviors and factors. All-cause mortality and incident non-fatal CVD were recorded from baseline to December 31, 2020. The multi-state life table was adopted to explore the associations of CVH status with total life expectancy and life years lived with and without CVD. Results: Six thousand fifty eight cases of incident non-fatal CVD and 10,580 cases of deaths were identified. Men aged 45 years with low, moderate, and high CVH had a life expectancy of 33.0, 36.5 and 38.5 years, of which 7.8 (23.6%), 6.0 (16.3%) and 3.7 years (9.6%) were spent with CVD. For women, the corresponding life expectancy was 36.6, 43.6 and 48.6 years, and the remaining life years lived with CVD were 7.8 (21.3%), 6.0 (13.7%) and 4.5 years (9.3%), respectively. The benefits of high CVH were persistent across lifespan from age 45 to 85 years and consistent when CVH was evaluated with health behaviors and factors alone. Conclusions: High CVH compared with low CVH was associated with longer total life expectancy and fewer years spent with CVD, indicating that promoting CVH is of great importance for CVD prevention and healthy ageing in China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Previous studies using trajectory models focused on examining the longitudinal changes in triglyceride-glucose (TyG) levels and lifestyle scores separately, without exploring the joint evolution of these two factors. This study aimed to identify the multi-trajectories of TyG levels and lifestyle scores and assess their association with the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Methods: The study enrolled 47,384 participants from three health surveys of the Kailuan Study. The TyG index was computed as Ln [fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting blood glucose (mg/dL)/2], and the lifestyle scores were derived from five factors, including smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, sedentary behaviors, and salt intake. A group-based multi-trajectory model was adopted to identify multi-trajectories of TyG levels and lifestyle scores. The association of identified multi-trajectories with incident CVD was examined using Cox proportional hazard model. Results: Five distinct multi-trajectories of TyG levels and lifestyle scores were identified. During a median follow-up period of 10.98 years, 3042 participants developed CVD events (2481 strokes, 616 myocardial infarctions, and 55 co-current stroke and myocardial infarctions). In comparison to group 3 with the lowest TyG levels and the best lifestyle scores, the highest CVD risk was observed in group 5 characterized by the highest TyG levels and moderate lifestyle scores (HR = 1.76, 95% CI: 1.50–2.05). Group 2 with higher TyG levels and the poorest lifestyle scores had a 1.45-fold (95% CI 1.26–1.66) risk of CVD, and group 1 with lower TyG levels and poorer lifestyle scores had a 1.33-fold (95% CI 1.17–1.50) risk of CVD. Group 4, with moderate TyG levels and better lifestyle scores, exhibited the lowest CVD risk (HR = 1.32, 95% CI: 1.18–1.47). Conclusions: Distinct multi-trajectories of TyG levels and lifestyle scores corresponded to differing CVD risks. The CVD risk caused by a high level TyG trajectory remained increased despite adopting healthier lifestyles. These findings underscored the significance of evaluating the combined TyG and lifestyle patterns longitudinally, and implementing early interventions to reduce CVD risk by lowering TyG levels. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective To investigate the correlations of triglyceride glucose index(TyG) levels at different baselines with the risk of new-onset acute pancreatitis (AP) among the workers at Kailuan Group. Methods A total of 124 516 subjects were enrolled from 2006 to 2009 and followed up by health examinations of the workers in the group. The subjects with a history of AP or incomplete information on TG and FPG data were excluded. The cumulative incidence rate was determined by Log-Rank method. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) for AP related to baseline TyG level after adjusting for the effects of multiple confunding factors. Results The subjects were divided into four groups (TyG ≤ 6.59, 6.59 < TyG ≤ 6.98, 6.98 < TyG4 ≤ 7.46, TyG > 7.46) according to the TyG levels, and the incidence of new-onset AP was observed in all the groups. For a follow-up of (12.59 ± 0.98 )years, 399 cases of AP were observed. The corresponding incidence of AP in each tertile was 1.67, 2.32, 2.53, and 3.65 events per 10,000 person-years, respectively. After Cox analysis and correction of multiple confounding factors, the risk of AP incidence was increased in the TyG > 7.46 group, with an HR of 1.94 [(95%CI(1.42, 2.65), P < 0.01]. Conclusion TyG at its baseline of above 7.46 can increase the risk of AP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]