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The aim of this study is to predict and map winter wheat yield in the Parvomay municipality, situated in the Upper Thracian Lowland of Bulgaria, utilizing satellite data from Sentinel-2. The main crops grown in the research area are winter wheat, rapeseed, sunflower, and maize. To distinguish winter wheat fields accurately, we evaluated classification methods such as Support Vector Machines (SVM) and Random Forest (RF). These methods were applied to satellite multispectral data acquired by the Sentinel-2 satellites during the growing season of 2020–2021. In accordance with their development cycles, temporal image composites were developed to identify suitable moments when each crop is most accurately distinguished from others. Ground truth data obtained from the integrated administration and control system (IACS) were used for training the classifiers and assessing the accuracy of the final maps. Winter wheat fields were masked using the crop mask created from the best-performing classification algorithm. Yields were predicted with regression models calibrated with in situ data collected in the Parvomay study area. Both SVM and RF algorithms performed well in classifying winter wheat fields, with SVM slightly outperforming RF. The produced crop maps enable the application of crop-specific yield models on a regional scale. The best predictor of yield was the green NDVI index (GNDVI) from the April monthly composite image. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Building a more resilient food system for sustainable development and reducing uncertainty in global food markets both require concurrent and near-real-time and reliable crop information for decision making. Satellite-driven crop monitoring has become a main method to derive crop information at local, regional, and global scales by revealing the spatial and temporal dimensions of crop growth status and production. However, there is a lack of quantitative, objective, and robust methods to ensure the reliability of crop information, which reduces the applicability of crop monitoring and leads to uncertain and undesirable consequences. In this paper, we review recent progress in crop monitoring and identify the challenges and opportunities in future efforts. We find that satellite-derived metrics do not fully capture determinants of crop production and do not quantitatively interpret crop growth status; the latter can be advanced by integrating effective satellite-derived metrics and new onboard sensors. We have identified that ground data accessibility and the negative effects of knowledge-based analyses are two essential issues in crop monitoring that reduce the applicability of crop monitoring for decisions on food security. Crowdsourcing is one solution to overcome the restrictions of ground-truth data accessibility. We argue that user participation in the complete process of crop monitoring could improve the reliability of crop information. Encouraging users to obtain crop information from multiple sources could prevent unconscious biases. Finally, there is a need to avoid conflicts of interest in publishing publicly available crop information. The paper identifies the challenges and opportunities of crop monitoring with remote sensing. In-situ data accessibility and the negative effects of knowledge-based analysis are essential to reduce the applicability of crop monitoring. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Crop type identification is the basis of crop acreage estimation and plays a key role in crop production prediction and food security analysis. However, the accuracy of crop type identification using remote-sensing data needs to be improved to support operational agriculture-monitoring tasks. In this paper, a new method integrating high-spatial resolution multispectral data with features extracted from coarse-resolution time-series vegetation index data is proposed to improve crop type identification accuracy in Hungary. Four crop growth features, including peak value, date of peak occurrence, average rate of green-up, and average rate for the senescence period were extracted from time-series Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) profiles and spatially enhanced to 30 m resolution using resolution merge tools based on a multiplicative method to match the spatial resolution of Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM) data. A maximum likelihood classifier (MLC) was used to classify the TM and merged images. Independent validation results indicated that the average overall classification accuracy was improved from 92.38% using TM to 94.67% using the merged images. Based on the classification results using the proposed method, acreages of two major summer crops were estimated and compared to statistical data provided by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). The proposed method was able to achieve highly satisfactory crop type identification results. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

This report shows the results of the first multi-year spatially distributed sensitivity analysis carried out on two complex agroecological models. Wheat is the staple food of 1.5 billion people worldwide. Projected trends in wheat global demand reveal risks of food security over the next decades. Systems for large-area crop monitoring and yield forecasting are needed to support agricultural policies, especially in developing countries. Among those crop systems, the most sophisticated ones are based on crop simulation models. Published reports of sensitivity analyses performed on different crop models show that parameters related to leaf area expansion are often considered as the most important. Here we show that, on the contrary, photosynthesis parameters are more relevant under the conditions explored. We carried out the sensitivity analysis on the models WOFOST and CropSyst for wheat simulation in Morocco. Due to the high number of model runs to be performed, a two-step procedure was adopted: The Morris method was used to identify parameters with a negligible effect, and then the Sobol method was applied on remaining parameters. Environmental and management information were obtained from the European Commission MARS database. Our results show that photosynthesis parameters explained more than 75 % of the total output variance for CropSyst and more than 70 % for WOFOST. On the contrary, parameters related to leaf area expansion were less relevant. Geographical patterns shown by sensitivity analysis results under heterogeneous conditions can help breeders to select specific plant traits, in order to develop phenotypes suitable for specific conditions, e.g., varieties with a higher level of thermal adaptation in the Southern regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In the arid to semi-arid regions of north-western China, soil moisture is the main hydrological driver for vegetation growth. With the launch of the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), the local MODIS reception capacity and the strong pressure on water resources in the province, the detection and mapping of soil moisture content (SMC) has become a major issue for the regional water management authorities of the province. In this article, we apply the apparent thermal inertia approach to quantify SMC in the soils of the province of Xinjiang using locally received MODIS data. We report on SMC mapping for the entire province for the year 2005. For the estimation, diurnal land surface temperature (LST (T σ)), LST difference (ΔT σ) and broadband albedo (α0) were applied to determine the space–time variability of SMC. The retrieval of SMC was based on the rationale that high apparent thermal inertia (I τ) values correspond to high SMCs and low I τ values correspond to the minimal ones. To enable the application of the technique, a new classification of soil texture was established based on an existing Chinese soil type classification. Typically only topsoil surface moisture content is retrieved with thermal remote sensing (RS). However, SMC retrieval for a 1 m soil profile was performed by applying a semi-empirical modelling approach. The model uses a two-layer water balance equation, and its SMC (θg) input is based on its linear relationship with the soil moisture saturation index (θsi) at time t. For validation purposes, the automatic weather station and time domain reflectometry (TDR) monitoring network included eight sites in the province, including the Mosuowan and Tianshan snow sites and the Turpan, Bayangburk, Kuerle, Yinsu, Alagan and Yiganbujima TDR sites for which data for the year of 2005 were acquired by the Xinjiang Meteorological Bureau (XMB), the Tarim Management Bureau (TMB) and the Xinjiang Institute for Ecology and Geography (XIEG). When time series of SMC determined by using I τ are compared with the measurements at the different validation sites, regression curve slopes of the validation relationships vary between 0.499 and 0.922. The R 2 values vary between 0.25 and 0.83. The minimum and maximum root mean square errors (RMSEs) are 0.001 and 0.028, respectively. Results suggest that apparent thermal inertia application is quite suitable for θg retrieval of a 1 m soil moisture profile in an arid to semi-arid region. The Aqua MODIS 10-day mean soil moisture product is proven to deliver quantitatively correct SMC imagery representing seasonal changes quite realistically. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Agricultural landscapes are characterized by diversity and complexity, which makes crop mapping at a regional scale a top priority for different purposes such as administrative decisions and farming management. Project 32194 of the Dragon 4 Program was implemented to meet the requirements of crop mapping, with the specific objective to develop suitable approaches for precise crop mapping with combined uses of European and Chinese high- and medium-resolution satellite images. Two sub-projects were involved in the project. The first was to focus on the use of time series high-resolution satellite data, including Sentinel-2 (S2, European satellite data) and Gaofen-1 (GF-1, Chinese satellite data), due to their similar spectral bands for Earth observation, while the second was to focus on medium-resolution data sources, i.e., the European Project for On-Board Autonomy–Vegetation (PROBA-V) and Chinese Fengyun-3 Medium Resolution Spectral Imager (FY-3 MERSI) satellite data, also due to their similar spectral channels. The approach of the European Space Agency (ESA) Sent2Agri project for crop mapping was adapted in the first sub-project and applied to the Yellow River irrigated district (YERID) of Ningxia in northwest China in order to assess its ability to accurately identify crop types in China. The goal of the second sub-project was to explore the potential of both European and Chinese medium-resolution satellite data for crop assessment in a large area. Methods to handle the data and retrieve the required information for the precise crop mapping were developed in the study, including the adaptation of the ESA approach to GF-1 data and the application of algorithms for classification. A scheme for the validation of the crop mapping was developed in the study. The results of implementing the scheme to the YERID in Ningxia indicated that the overall accuracies of crop mapping with S2 and GF-1 can be high, up to 94–97%, and the mapping had an accuracy of 88% with the PROBA-V and FY3B-MERSI data. The very high accuracy suggests the possibility of precise crop mapping with the combined use of time series high- and medium-resolution satellite data when suitable approaches are chosen to handle the data for the classification of crop types. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper presents the results of a sub-pixel classification of crop types in Bulgaria from PROBA-V 100 m normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) time series. Two sub-pixel classification methods, artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector regression (SVR) were used where the output was a set of area fraction images (AFIs) at 100 m resolution with pixels containing estimated area fractions of each class. High-resolution maps of two test sites derived from Sentinel-2 classifications were used to obtain training data for the sub-pixel classifications. The estimated area fractions have a good correspondence with the true area fractions when aggregated to regions of 10 × 10 km2, especially when the SVR method was used. For the five dominant classes in the test sites the R2 obtained after the aggregation was 86% (winter cereals), 81% (sunflower), 92% (broad-leaved forest), 89% (maize), and 67% (grasslands) when the SVR method was used. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Vegetation indices, such as the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) or enhanced vegetation index (EVI) derived from remote sensing images, are widely used for crop classification. However, vegetation index profiles for different crops with a similar phenology lead to difficulties in discerning these crops both spectrally and temporally. This paper proposes a feature filtering and enhancement (FFE) method to map soybean and maize, two major crops widely cultivated during the summer season in Northeastern China. Different vegetation indices are first calculated and the probability density functions (PDFs) of these indices for the target classes are established based on the hypothesis of normal distribution; the vegetation index images are then filtered using the PDFs to obtain enhanced index images where the pixel values of the target classes are "enhanced". Subsequently, the minimum Gini index of each enhanced index image is computed, generating at the same time the weight for every index. A composite enhanced feature image is produced by summing all indices with their weights. Finally, a classification is made from the composite enhanced feature image by thresholding, which is derived automatically based on the samples. The efficiency of the proposed FFE method is compared with the maximum likelihood classification (MLC), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF) in a mapping operation to determine the soybean and maize distribution in a county in Northeastern China. The classification accuracies resulting from this comparison show that the FFE method outperforms MLC, and its accuracies are similar to those of SVM and RF, with an overall accuracy of 0.902 and a kappa coefficient of 0.846. This indicates that the FFE method is an appropriate method for crop classification to distinguish crops with a similar phenology. Our research also shows that when the sample size reaches a certain level (e.g., 2000), the mean and standard deviation of the sample are very close to the actual values, which leads to high classification accuracy. In a case where the condition of normal distribution is not fulfilled, the PDF of the vegetation index can be created by a lookup table. Furthermore, as the method is rather simple and explicit, and convenient in terms of computing, it can be used as the backbone for automatic crop mapping operations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]