1. Trade-offs and synergies between provisioning and regulating ecosystem services in a papyrus wetland in the Lake Victoria basin in Kenya.
- Author
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Ondiek, Risper Ajwang', Kipkemboi, Julius, Hes, Edwin, Kitaka, Nzula, Migeni, Ajode Z., and Hein, Thomas
- Subjects
INCOME ,LAND economics ,WATERSHEDS ,BAYESIAN analysis ,WATER purification ,WETLANDS - Abstract
Understanding the relationships between provisioning and regulating ecosystem services (ESS) in papyrus wetlands of the Lake Victoria basin is crucial for livelihoods. However, the relationships between the ESS remain unexplored despite the steady conversion of wetlands to agriculture. This study identified the relationships between provisioning (crop, fibre, and mat production) and regulating (total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP) retention) ESS and analysed the effects of shared indirect drivers of change (rainfall, non-wetland-based household income, and fertility of upland farms) on the relationships. Also, the effects of wetland conversion to agriculture on the ESS were examined. The Bayesian Network model was used to assess the relationships and the Papyrus Simulator to analyse the effects of reducing wetland area on the ESS. The results showed that there were trade-offs between crop production (low, 91%) and nutrient retention (TP, 81%) and positive synergies between fibre (high, 80%) and mat (high, 59%) production and nutrient retention. Wet conditions, high non-wetland-based household income, and high fertility of upland farms increased the trade-offs but reduced the positive synergies. Converting the entire wetland to agriculture increased crop production, diminished fibre and mat production and reduced nutrient retention. Therefore, policy interventions improving non-wetland-based household income and fertility of upland farms would decrease the dependence on wetlands for crop production and artisanal papyrus products and enhance nutrient retention. Without any policy interventions, conversion of the entire wetland to agriculture would enhance crop production at the expense of other ESS. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2025
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