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Objectives. This longitudinal study investigated survival, risk factors and causes of death in the multicentre ItinérAIR-Sclérodermie cohort of patients with SSc without severe pulmonary fibrosis or severe left heart disease at baseline. Methods. At 3-year follow-up, vital status was obtained from investigators or French national death records. Causes of death were classified as SSc-related or otherwise. Data were censored at 37 months, time of death or loss to follow-up, whichever was earlier. Survival was estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method. Multivariate survival analyses were conducted using the Cox model. Results. In total, 546 patients were followed for a median duration of 37 months, representing 1547 patient-years. At baseline, the majority of patients were female, with lcSSc, mean age 54.9 ± 13.0 years and mean duration of SSc of 8.8 ± 8.1 years. In total, 47 patients died, giving a 3-year survival of 91.1% and cumulative mortality of 3.04 deaths per 100 patient-years; 17 deaths (32.2%) resulted from pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and eight (17.1%) from cancer. Of the 47 patients with PAH at baseline, 20 died during follow-up, giving a 3-year survival of 56.3%. In a multivariate analysis, PAH [hazard ratio (HR) 7.246], age at first symptom (HR 1.052), duration of SSc (HR 1.047 per year) and Rodnan skin score (per one point) (HR 1.045) were associated with increased mortality. Conclusion. This 3-year study observed survival and mortality estimates that were comparable with previous reports. PAH increased the HR for mortality in patients with SSc, justifying yearly echocardiographic screening. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Screening allows for early management of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), a severe complication of systemic sclerosis (SSc). Since no consensus has been reached on the method and criteria for optimal screening, we sought to develop an algorithm based on symptoms, Doppler echocardiography, and right heart catheterization (RHC) for application to a nationwide multicenter SSc population in France.This prospective study was conducted from September 2002 to July 2003 by experts at 21 SSc centers. At each center, SSc patients without severe pulmonary function abnormalities underwent Doppler echocardiography by an experienced cardiologist. Patients with a peak velocity of tricuspid regurgitation (VTR) of >3 meters/second or 2.5–3 meters/second with unexplained dyspnea were asked to undergo RHC to confirm PAH according to international guidelines.Of the 599 patients analyzed, 29 had known PAH and 33 had suspected PAH, based on Doppler echocardiography, and underwent RHC. Of these 33, 18 were found to have PAH, 3 had left ventricular dysfunction, and 12 had no PAH. Newly diagnosed cases of PAH were of mild severity (mean ± SD pulmonary artery pressure [mPAP] 30 ± 9 mm Hg, mean ± SD total pulmonary resistance [TPR] 524 ± 382 dynes × second/cm5). Hemodynamic findings in patients with known PAH were mPAP 49 ± 17 mm Hg and TPR 1,007 ± 615 dynes × second/cm5. The estimate of PAH prevalence was 7.85% (95% confidence interval 5.70–10.00).This screening algorithm, based on dyspnea, Doppler echocardiographic evaluation of VTR, and RHC, enabled early detection of PAH at a mild stage. Whether mild PAH will evolve to severe PAH in reported cases and whether this early diagnosis translates into improved prognosis for patients with mild PAH will be evaluated in the ongoing 3‐year followup of this cohort. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]