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Abstract Paclitaxel/platinum chemotherapy, the backbone of standard first‐line treatment of advanced non‐small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), exhibits high interpatient variability in treatment response and high toxicity burden. Baseline blood biomarker concentrations and tumor size (sum of diameters) at week 8 relative to baseline (RS8) are widely investigated prognostic factors. However, joint analysis of data on demographic/clinical characteristics, blood biomarker levels, and chemotherapy exposure‐driven early tumor response for improved prediction of overall survival (OS) is clinically not established. We developed a Weibull time‐to‐event model to predict OS, leveraging data from 365 patients receiving paclitaxel/platinum combination chemotherapy once every three weeks for ≤six cycles. A developed tumor growth inhibition model, combining linear tumor growth and first‐order paclitaxel area under the concentration‐time curve‐induced tumor decay, was used to derive individual RS8. The median model‐derived RS8 in all patients was a 20.0% tumor size reduction (range from −78% to +15%). Whereas baseline carcinoembryonic antigen, cytokeratin fragments, and thyroid stimulating hormone levels were not significantly associated with OS in a subset of 221 patients, and lactate dehydrogenase, interleukin‐6 and neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio levels were significant only in univariate analyses (p value

Background: The P2Y12 receptor antagonist selatogrel is being developed for subcutaneous self-administration with a ready-to-use autoinjector at the onset of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) symptoms. The unique pharmacological profile of selatogrel (fast, potent, and short-acting) can bridge the time gap between the onset of AMI and first medical care. A clinical Phase 1 study showed a time-dependent pharmacodynamic interaction between selatogrel and loading doses of clopidogrel and prasugrel. As treatment switching is a common clinical practice, the assessment of subsequent switching from a clopidogrel loading dose to the first maintenance dose of oral P2Y12 receptor antagonists is highly relevant. Objectives: Model-based predictions of inhibition of platelet aggregation (IPA) for the drugs triggering pharmacodynamic interactions were to be derived to support clinical guidance on the transition from selatogrel to oral P2Y12 receptor antagonists. Methods: Scenarios with selatogrel 16 mg administration or placebo followed by a clopidogrel loading dose and, in turn, prasugrel or ticagrelor maintenance doses at different times of administration were studied. Population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic modeling and simulations of different treatment scenarios were used to derive quantitative estimates for IPA over time. Results: Following selatogrel/placebo and a clopidogrel loading dose, maintenance treatment with ticagrelor or a prasugrel loading dose followed by maintenance treatment quickly achieved sustained IPA levels above 80%. Prior to maintenance treatment, a short time span from 18 to 24 h was identified where IPA levels were predicted to be lower with selatogrel than with placebo if clopidogrel was administered 12 h after selatogrel or placebo. Predicted IPA levels reached with placebo alone and a clopidogrel loading dose at 4 h were consistently lower than with selatogrel administration, followed by a clopidogrel loading dose at 12 h. If a clopidogrel loading dose is administered at 12 h, selatogrel maintains higher IPA levels up to 16 h. IPA levels are subsequently lower than on the placebo until the administration of the first maintenance dose. Conclusions: Model-based predictions informed the transition from selatogrel subcutaneous administration to oral P2Y12 therapy. The application of modeling techniques illustrates the value of employing pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic modeling for the simulation of various clinical scenarios of switching therapies.

Abstract Selatogrel is a potent and reversible P2Y12 receptor antagonist developed for subcutaneous self‐administration by patients with suspected acute myocardial infarction. After single‐dose emergency treatment with selatogrel, patients are switched to long‐term treatment with oral P2Y12 receptor antagonists. Selatogrel shows rapid onset and offset of inhibition of platelet aggregation (IPA) to overcome the critical initial time after acute myocardial infarction. Long‐term benefit is provided by oral P2Y12 receptor antagonists such as clopidogrel, prasugrel, and ticagrelor. A population pharmacokinetic (PK)/pharmacodynamic (PD) model based on data from 545 subjects in 4 phase I and 2 phase II studies well described the effect of selatogrel on IPA alone and in combination with clopidogrel, prasugrel, and ticagrelor. The PK of selatogrel were described by a three‐compartment model. The PD model included a receptor‐pool compartment to which all drugs can bind concurrently, reversibly or irreversibly, depending on their mode of action. Furthermore, ticagrelor and its active metabolite can bind to the selatogrel‐receptor complex allosterically, releasing selatogrel from the binding site. The model provided a framework for predicting the effect on IPA of selatogrel followed by reversibly and irreversibly binding oral P2Y12 receptor antagonists for sustained effects. Determining the timepoint for switching from emergency to maintenance treatment is critical to achieve sufficient IPA at all times. Simulations based on the interaction model showed that loading doses of clopidogrel and prasugrel administered 15 h and 4.5 h after selatogrel, respectively, provide sustained IPA with clinically negligible drug interaction. Study Highlights WHAT IS THE CURRENT KNOWLEDGE ON THE TOPIC? Selatogrel is a potent reversible P2Y12 receptor antagonist developed for subcutaneous self‐administration by patients in case of suspected acute myocardial infarction. Transition to oral P2Y12 receptor antagonists without drug interaction and sufficient inhibition of platelet aggregation must be assured at all times. WHAT QUESTION DID THIS STUDY ADDRESS? The pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic model semimechanistically describes the effect of selatogrel on platelet inhibition alone and in combination with the oral P2Y12 receptor antagonists clopidogrel, prasugrel, and ticagrelor. WHAT DOES THIS STUDY ADD TO OUR KNOWLEDGE? Model‐based simulations showed that loading doses of clopidogrel and prasugrel can be administered from 15 h and 4.5 h after selatogrel, respectively. HOW MIGHT THIS CHANGE CLINICAL PHARMACOLOGY OR TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE? These results support guiding the clinical transition from selatogrel emergency treatment to oral maintenance therapy in a safe and efficacious way.