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IntroductionA consolidated sleep-wake pattern is essential for maintaining healthy cognition in older individuals, but many suffer from sleep fragmentation that exacerbates age-related cognitive decline and worsens overall mental and physical health. Timed light exposure (light therapy) has been explored as a countermeasure, but mixed results have been obtained. To determine whether the timing of light exposure is important for sleep-wake consolidation, we analyzed the natural light diets of a cohort of community-dwelling older men.MethodsThe degree of sleep-wake fragmentation and light exposure patterns were obtained over a week using wrist actigraphy. Correlations between fragmentation, light patterns, and various physical and mental health measures were examined (n = 877).ResultsOur findings revealed that higher sleep-wake fragmentation correlated with poorer physical and mental health and reduced cognition. Moreover, reduced daytime light exposure was associated with increased sleep-wake fragmentation. Interestingly, morning and evening light exposure (>1,000 lux) were not useful in distinguishing between low and high sleep-wake fragmentation scores, while increased afternoon light exposure showed much better discrimination. Specifically, optimal discrimination between low and high fragmentation occurred 6.7 h after habitual sleep offset. This suggests that afternoon light therapy might be more efficient in consolidating sleep and wake in older adults, particularly in those with low-amplitude circadian rhythms.DiscussionThis study highlights the significance of properly-timed light exposure in promoting consolidated sleep and cognitive health among older individuals. Tailored light-based strategies may have the potential to enhance physical, mental, and cognitive well-being in the aging population.

University accidents in China are frequent, and to find out the relationship pattern of factors influencing accidents, 248 university accidents occurring within 2017–2021 were studied using difference analysis (Independent-samples T-test, Mann-Whitney U test), logistic regression analysis, and diagnostic analysis of receiver operating characteristic curves. The results show: The variability in time, space, and qualifications was statistically significant (p

ObjectiveTo identify the correlation between finger-to-floor distance(FFD) and the spinal function indices and disease activity scores of ankylosing spondylitis (AS) via a multicentre case–control study, and to calculate the optimal cutoff value of FFD using statistical methods.MethodsPatients with AS and healthy individuals were recruited, and the FFD and other spinal mobility values were measured. The correlation between the FFD and the Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Metric Index (BASMI), Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index (BASDAI), Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Functional Index (BASFI) was analyzed using Spearman rank correlation analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of FFD stratified by gender and age were drawn and their optimal cutoff values were determined.ResultsA total of 246 patients with AS and 246 healthy subjects were recruited. The FFD was strongly correlated with BASMI (r = 0.72, p

IntroductionSince December 2012, the prophylactic use of caffeine to treat AOP in preterm infants has been approved in China. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between early caffeine treatment initiation and the incidence of oxygen radical diseases in neonatology (ORDIN) in Chinese preterm infants.MethodsA retrospective study was conducted at two hospitals in South China, involving 452 preterm infants with gestational ages less than 37 weeks. The infants were divided into early (227 cases, initiating within 48 h after birth) and late (225 cases, initiating over 48 h after birth) caffeine treatment group. Logistic regression analysis and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the association between early caffeine treatment and the incidence of ORDIN.ResultsThe results showed that extremely preterm infants in early treatment group had a lower incidence of PIVH and ROP compared to those in the late treatment group (PIVH, 20.1% versus 47.8%, P = 0.02; ROP, 70.8% versus 89.9%, P = 0.025). Very preterm infants in the early treatment group had a lower incidence of BPD and PIVH compared to those in the late treatment group (BPD, 43.8% versus 63.1%, P = 0.002; PIVH, 9.0% versus 22.3%, P = 0.001). Moreover, VLBW infants who received early caffeine treatment exhibited a decreased incidence of BPD (55.9% versus 80.9%, P = 0.000), PIVH (11.8% versus 33.1%, P = 0.000), and ROP (69.9% versus 79.8%, P = 0.043) compared to those in the late treatment group. Infants in the early caffeine treatment showed a reduced likelihood of PIVH (adjusted odds ratio, 0.407; 95%CI, 0.188–0.846) but did not exhibit a significant association with other terms of ORDIN. ROC analysis revealed that early initiation of caffeine treatment was associated with lower risk of BPD, PIVH, and ROP in preterm infants.DiscussionIn conclusion, this study demonstrates that early initiation of caffeine treatment is associated with a decreased incidence of PIVH in Chinese preterm infants. Further prospective investigations are necessary to verify and elucidate the precise effects of early caffeine treatment on complications in preterm Chinese infants.

The assessment of lameness in horses can be aided by objective gait analysis tools. Despite their key role of evaluating a horse at trot on a circle, asymmetry thresholds have not been determined for differentiating between sound and lame gait during this exercise. These thresholds are essential to distinguish physiological asymmetry linked to the circle from pathological asymmetry linked to lameness. This study aims to determine the Asymmetry Indices (AIs) with the highest power to discriminate between a group of sound horses and a group of horses with consistent unilateral lameness across both circle directions, as categorized by visual lameness assessment conducted by specialist veterinarians. Then, thresholds were defined for the best performing AIs, based on the optimal sensitivity and specificity. AIs were calculated as the relative comparison between left and right minima, maxima, time between maxima and upward amplitudes of the vertical displacement of the head and the withers. Except the AI of maxima difference, the head AI showed the highest sensitivity (≥69%) and the highest specificity (≥81%) for inside forelimb lameness detection and the withers AI showed the highest sensitivity (≥72%) and the highest specificity (≥77%) for outside forelimb lameness detection on circles.

Background: Clinical studies on the effectiveness of omalizumab in patients with difficult-to-treat chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps (CRSwNP) and asthma are scarce in China. Moreover, identifying potential biomarkers predicting its efficacy remains a great challenge. Methods: In this prospective trial, all enrolled patients underwent endoscopic examination, computed tomography, blood tests, etc, and they completed a 22-item sino-nasal outcome test (SNOT-22), visual analogue scale (VAS), and asthma control test (ACT) evaluation, at baseline and after 24-week omalizumab therapy. Results: Twenty-two patients were finally recruited. Their VAS scores were significantly better including nasal congestion, anterior rhinorrhea, postnasal drip, and loss of smell (P 20. The median change in the Lund-MacKay score (LMS) was 6. Both the Lund-Kennedy score (LKS) and nasal polyp score showed significant improvement (P

Background/PurposeCurrently, there are no effective tools to accurately assess acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) risk in patients with gallstones. This study aimed to develop an ABP risk nomogram in patients with symptomatic gallstones.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective nested case-control study and data on 816 conservatively treated patients with symptomatic gallstones admitted to The First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University between January 6, 2007 and January 22, 2016 were retrospectively collected. We conducted a propensity-score matched (PSM) analysis based on follow-up time in a ratio of 1:4 between ABP group (n=65) and non-ABP group (n=260). These matched patients were randomly divided into study cohort (n=229) and validation cohort (n=96) according to a ratio of 7:3. In the study cohort, independent risk factors for ABP occurrence identified using Cox regression were included in nomogram. Nomogram performance and discrimination were assessed using the concordance index (C-index), area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC). The model was also validated in the validation cohort.ResultsNomogram was based on 7 independent risk factors: age, diabetes history, gallbladder wall thickness, gallstone diameter, coexisting common bile duct (CBD) stones, direct bilirubin (DBIL), and white blood cell count (WBC). The C-index of nomogram was 0.888, and the 10-year AUCs of nomogram was 0.955. In the validation cohort, nomogram still had good discrimination (C-index, 0.857; 10-year AUC, 0.814). The calibration curve showed good homogeneity between the prediction by nomogram and the actual observation. DCA and CIC demonstrated that nomogram was clinically useful.ConclusionsThe ABP risk nomogram incorporating 7 features is useful to predict ABP risk in symptomatic gallstone patients.

BackgroundVogt-Koyanagi-Harada (VKH) disease is an autoimmune inflammatory disorder characterized by bilateral granulomatous uveitis. The objective of this study was to identify immune hub genes involved in the pathogenesis and progression of VKH disease.MethodsHigh throughput sequencing data were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) and an immune dataset was downloaded from ImmPort. Immune differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were obtained from their intersection in the GEO and ImmPort datasets. Immune hub genes for VKH disease were selected through differential expression analyses, including Gene Ontology (GO), Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG), Disease Ontology (DO), protein-protein interaction (PPI) network, and clustering analyses. Confidence in the immune hub genes was subsequently validated using box plots and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.ResultsA total of 254 DEGs were screened and after the intersection with ImmPort, 20 genes were obtained as immune DEGs. Functional enrichment analysis indicated that the key genes were mainly involved in several types of immune pathways (such as the lymphocyte mediated and leukocyte mediated immune responses, natural killer cell mediated cytotoxicity, and antigen binding) and immunodeficiency diseases. Following PPI network analysis, the top seven genes in cluster 1 were selected as potential immune hub genes in VKH. After evaluating the accuracy of the hub genes, one gene (GNLY) was excluded because its expression level was statistically similar in VKH patients and healthy controls. Finally, six immune hub genes, namely KLRC2, KLRC3 SH2D1B, GZMB, KIR2DL3, and KIR3DL2 were identified as playing important roles in the occurrence and development of VKH disease.ConclusionSix immune hub genes (KLRC2, KLRC3 SH2D1B, GZMB, KIR2DL3, and KIR3DL2) identified by our bioinformatics analyses may provide new diagnostic and therapeutic targets for VKH disease.

Background : Hypertension (HTN) is a major health problem affecting different populations including adolescents worldwide, and it is strongly associated with obesity. Objectives : This study examined the predictive capacity of anthropometric proxies of body fat and determined the threshold values that would identify HTN among Nigerian adolescents. Setting and Design : A cross-sectional study with a total of 2228 in-school adolescents aged 12–16 years. Materials and Methods : Participants were evaluated for physical characteristics including five anthropometric indices of body fat and blood pressure. Receiver operating characteristics curves were used for the analysis of sensitivity, specificity, area under curve (AUC) of the fat indices in detecting HTN. Results : All body fat indicators with the exception of waist-to-height ratio in boys, had significant (P < 0.0005) AUC with total fat mass (TFM) in girls and waist circumference (WC) in boys as the best fat indicators for predicting systolic HTN in adolescents. The TFM cut-point for girls was 8.0 kg and the WC cut-point for boys was 66.3 cm. Both TFM and WC demonstrated a stronger association with systolic HTN than other fat indicators in both genders. The likelihood of a girl developing HTN is 1.1 (95% confidence interval [CI] =1.05–1.20) times with a unit increase in TFM, while boys with unhealthy WC had 3.2 (95% CI = 1.83–5.67) times odd of developing HTN compared to their healthy peers. Conclusions : This study showed that TFM and WC are useful tools for detecting HTN in Nigerian adolescent girls and boys, respectively. The fat indicators used in this study generally showed low predictive capacity.

Abstract In many real-world settings, individuals rarely present another person’s ID, which increases the likelihood that a screener will fail to detect it. Three experiments examined how within-person variability (i.e., differences between two images of the same person) and feedback may have influenced criterion shifting, thought to be one of the sources of the low-prevalence effect (LPE). Participants made identity judgments of a target face and an ID under either high, medium, or low mismatch prevalence. Feedback appeared after every trial, only error trials, or no trials. Experiment 1 used two controlled images taken on the same day. Experiment 2 used two controlled images taken at least 6 months apart. Experiment 3 used one controlled and one ambient image taken at least 1 year apart. Importantly, receiver operating characteristic curves revealed that feedback and greater within-person variability exacerbated the LPE by affecting both criterion and discriminability. These results carry implications for many real-world settings, such as border crossings and airports, where identity screening plays a major role in securing public safety.

Endothelial dysfunction (ED) starts early in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and is the hallmark of atherosclerosis in these patients. During recent years, numerous markers have emerged, aiming to predict the onset of ED in CKD patients. Therefore, there is a need to evaluate and assess the discriminatory ability (or diagnostic accuracy) of such a marker (i.e., the ability to correctly classify individuals as having a given disease or not) and identify the optimal cut-off value. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis has been used in the majority of the research papers evaluating the predictive ability of a marker of ED. It is a graphical plot combining pairs of sensitivity (true positive rate) on the y axis and the complement of specificity (1—specificity, false positive rate) in the x axis, corresponding to several of the cut-off values covering the complete range of possible values that this test/marker might take. Herein, using a series of practical examples derived from clinical studies on ED in the special population of CKD, we address the principles, fundamentals, advantages and limitations regarding the interpretation of the ROC analysis.

Background: Vitamin D deficiency/Vitamin D Insufficiency (VDI) is now recognized as a pandemic. Cutaneous exposure to ultraviolet-B causes photolysis of epidermal 7-dehydrocholesterol, converting it to pre-Vitamin D3 (precholecalciferol), which then undergoes isomerization to form the stable hormone Vitamin D3. Objectives: The objectives of the study is to determine the status of Vitamin D level among the adults residing in a rural area of West Bengal and to find out the optimal cutoff of the sun exposure for Vitamin D sufficiency. Methods: This study was a rural community based cross-sectional study. It was done from May 2016 to April 2017 among 197 adults residing in a rural block of West Bengal. Data were collected by interviewing the respondents with the help of a structured pre-tested pre-designed schedule. After interviewing, every individual was examined for height and weight and blood was collected for serum Vitamin 25-(OH) D. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were utilized to find out optimum cut-off for sun exposure using Youden's index. Binary logistic regression was performed to find out the associates of high sun exposure. All analysis was done using R. Results: Overall VDI was found in 133 (67.5%). Among them, 102 (51.8%) were female. On ROC curve for veritable sun exposure for Vitamin D sufficiency, area under curve was 0.7841 which signifies veritable sun exposure as a good screening tool. Conclusion: Proper information, education, and communication material regarding various aspects of sun exposure and Vitamin D should be prepared with due consultation of field experts and disseminated to increase awareness among the community.

Introduction: Posterior Urethral Valves (PUVs) are a major cause of short and long term morbidity in male children. They cause recurrent urinary tract infections and lead to chronic renal failure in a significant proportion of boys. The diagnosis of posterior urethral valves has historically been based off voiding cystourethrograms (VCUGs) and confirmed and treated by cystoscopy, which is the gold standard. To the best of our knowledge the literature is sparse on the role of definitive diagnosis of PUV based on VCUG and no data on the urethral ratios in the normal population. Aim: To determine the ratio of posterior to anterior urethral diameter as an objective means to predict presence of Posterior Urethral Valves (PUV) using cystoscopy as the gold standard and to determine normal urethral ratios in paediatric age groups. Materials and Methods: The study was conducted prospectively in 493 male children over 18 months. Urethral diameters were measured on VCUG and Posterior Urethra/Anterior Urethra (PU/ AU) ratios derived. Cystoscopy was the reference standard. Diagnostic accuracy of ratios was calculated using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves, best threshold values determined with corresponding estimates of sensitivity and specificity to decide optimal significant ratios. Age stratified normative ratios were calculated. Results: MCU has 97.96% sensitivity, 86.27% specificity, 87.27% positive predictive value (PPV) and 97.78% negative predictive value (NPV) value when compared with cystoscopy which is the current gold standard in the diagnosis of PUV. The Posterior Urethra/Anterior Urethra (PU/AU) ratio was found to be a valid indicator of the presence of PUV. The diagnostic ability of PU/average AU is the best of the three ratios (AUC 0.9055) in predicting the presence of a PUV on cystoscopy. PU/average AU value ≥2.11 suggests that the patient most likely has a PUV with an 83% sensitivity and 91% specificity, within 95% Confidence Interval of 0.8458-0.96527. With regard to calculation of the normal PU/AU ratio for each age group, we found a general trend of decreasing ratios with increasing patient age. Conclusion: VCUG is useful in predicting presence of PUV. Age group specific standard reference ratios can be used for identifying PUVs.

Athletes may suffer from low back pain (LBP). Some studies have considered restricted range of motion (ROM) as a risk factor for LBP in athletes; however, ROM has not been evaluated in equestrian athletes (EAs) with LBP. The aims of this research in EAs were (I) to analyze the relationship between lower limb ROM (tightness and asymmetry) and LBP and (II) to determine the reference values for lower limb ROM indicating high risk of LBP. Forty-three young (9–18 years old) EAs were voluntarily recruited in technical training camps. The EAs were assessed for 11 passive lower limb ROMs using the ROM-SPORT I Battery. LBP data were taken at the end of a 1-year period through a questionnaire. Binary logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic curves were calculated. Sixty-seven percent of EA had suffered LBP. Hip adduction (OR = 1.347, medium; p = 0.015) and knee flexion (OR = 1.109, small; p = 0.023) were predictors of LBP in EAs. A hip adduction of 26° and knee flexion of 128° were found to be the optimal cutoff values for predictive screening of EAs at high risk of LBP.

Abstract Introduction Acute appendicitis (AA) is common surgical problem associated with acute-phase reaction. Blood tests role in decision-making process is unclear. This retrospective study aimed to determine diagnostic value of preoperative evaluation of white blood cells (WBCs) and neutrophils and its value in predicting AA severity. Methods Medical records of 456 patients who underwent appendectomy during 4-years period were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were subdivided according to histological finding into: normal appendix (n = 29), uncomplicated inflamed appendix (n = 350), complicated appendicitis (n = 77). Diagnostic performances of WBCs and neutrophils were analyzed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results WBCs and neutrophils counts were higher in patients with inflamed and complicated appendix than normal appendix and in complicated than inflamed appendix. In patients, WBCs count 9.400 × 103/mL had sensitivity of 76.81%, specificity of 65.52%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 97.0%, negative predictive value (NPV) of 16.1%, positive likelihood ratio [LR(+)] of 2.23, negative LR(−) of 0.35. Neutrophil count 7.540 × 103/mL had sensitivity of 70.96%, specificity of 65.52%, PPV of 96.8%, NPV of 13.3%, LR(+) of 2.06, LR(−) of 0.44. Areas under ROC curve were 0.701, 0.680 for elevated WBCs and neutrophils count. Conclusions Clinicians should not rely on either elevated WBCs or neutrophils count as appendicitis indicator as clinical data are superior in decision-making appendectomy.