Search

The HPT complex, consisting of the hypothalamus, pituitary and thyroid, functions as a regulated system controlled by the respective hormones. This system maintains an intrinsic equilibrium, called the set point, which is unique to each individual. In order to optimize the treatment of thyroid patients and understand the dynamics of the system, a validated theoretical representation of this set point is required. Therefore, the research field of mathematical modeling of the HPT complex is significant as it provides insights into the interactions between hormones and the determination of this endogenous equilibrium. In literature, two mathematical approaches are presented for the theoretical determination of the set point in addition to a time-dependent model. The two approaches are based on the maximum curvature of the pituitary response function and the optimal gain factor in the representation of the HPT complex as a closed feedback system. This paper demonstrates that all hormone curves described by the model converge to the derived set point with increasing time. This result establishes a clear correlation between the physiological equilibrium described by the set point and the mathematical equilibrium with respect to autonomous systems of differential equations. It thus substantiates the validity of the theoretical set point approaches., Competing Interests: Declarations. Conflict of interest: The authors have no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose. Ethics approval: The data exchange between the Medical University of Vienna (MUV) and the authors was approved by the Ethics Committee of the MUV., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Background and Objective: In this work, a mathematical model based on differential equations is proposed to describe the propagation of polio in a human population. The motivating system is a compartmental nonlinear model which is based on the use of ordinary differential equations and four compartments, namely, susceptible, exposed, infected and vaccinated individuals., Methods: In this manuscript, the mathematical model is extended in order to account for spatial diffusion in one dimension. Nonnegative initial conditions are used, and we impose homogeneous Neumann conditions at the boundary. We determine analytically the disease-free and the endemic equilibria of the system along with the basic reproductive number., Results: We establish thoroughly the nonnegativity and the boundedness of the solutions of this problem, and the stability analysis of the equilibrium solutions is carried out rigorously. In order to confirm the validity of these results, we propose an implicit and linear finite-difference method to approximate the solutions of the continuous model., Conclusions: The numerical model is stable in the sense of von Neumann, it yields consistent approximations to the exact solutions of the differential problem, and that it is capable of preserving unconditionally the positivity of the approximations. For illustration purposes, we provide some computer simulations that confirm some theoretical results derived in the present manuscript., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Several variants of the SARS-CoV-2 virus have been detected during the COVID-19 pandemic. Some of these new variants have been of health public concern due to their higher infectiousness. We propose a theoretical mathematical model based on differential equations to study the effect of introducing a new, more transmissible SARS-CoV-2 variant in a population. The mathematical model is formulated in such a way that it takes into account the higher transmission rate of the new SARS-CoV-2 strain and the subpopulation of asymptomatic carriers. We find the basic reproduction number 𝓡 0 using the method of the next generation matrix. This threshold parameter is crucial since it indicates what parameters play an important role in the outcome of the COVID-19 pandemic. We study the local stability of the infection-free and endemic equilibrium states, which are potential outcomes of a pandemic. Moreover, by using a suitable Lyapunov functional and the LaSalle invariant principle, it is proved that if the basic reproduction number is less than unity, the infection-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Our study shows that the new more transmissible SARS-CoV-2 variant will prevail and the prevalence of the preexistent variant would decrease and eventually disappear. We perform numerical simulations to support the analytic results and to show some effects of a new more transmissible SARS-CoV-2 variant in a population., Competing Interests: Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) can cause mild to severe acute respiratory illness with a high mortality rate. As of January 2020, more than 2500 cases of MERS-CoV resulting in around 860 deaths were reported globally. In the absence of neither effective treatment nor a ready-to-use vaccine, control measures can be derived from mathematical models of disease epidemiology. In this manuscript, we propose and analyze a compartmental model of zoonotic MERS-CoV transmission with two co-circulating strains. The human population is considered with eight compartments while the zoonotic camel population consist of two compartments. The expression of basic reproduction numbers are obtained for both single strain and two strain version of the proposed model. We show that the disease-free equilibrium of the system with single stain is globally asymptotically stable under some parametric conditions. We also demonstrate that both models undergo backward bifurcation phenomenon, which in turn indicates that only keeping R 0 below unity may not ensure eradication. To the best of the authors knowledge, backward bifurcation was not shown in a MERS-CoV transmission model previously. Further, we perform normalized sensitivity analysis of important model parameters with respect to basic reproduction number of the proposed model. Furthermore, we perform optimal control analysis on different combination interventions with four components namely preventive measures such as use of masks, isolation of strain-1 infected people, strain-2 infected people and infected camels. Optimal control analysis suggests that combination of preventive measures and isolation of infected camels will eventually eradicate the disease from the community., Competing Interests: Conflict of interestThe authors declare that they have no conflict of interest., (© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. part of Springer Nature 2021.)

The essential objective of this research article is to investigate stability issue of neutral-type Cohen-Grossberg neural networks involving multiple time delays in states of neurons and multiple neutral delays in time derivatives of states of neurons in the network. By exploiting a modified and improved version of a previously introduced Lyapunov functional, a new sufficient stability criterion is obtained for global asymptotic stability of Cohen-Grossberg neural networks of neutral-type possessing multiple delays. The proposed new stability condition does not involve the time and neutral delay parameters. The obtained stability criterion is totally dependent on the system elements of Cohen-Grossberg neural network model. Moreover, the validity of this novel global asymptotic stability condition may be tested by only checking simple appropriate algebraic equations established within the parameters of the considered neutral-type neural network. In addition, an instructive numerical example is presented to indicate the advantages of our proposed stability result over the existing literature results obtained for stability of various classes of neutral-type neural networks having multiple delays., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

This paper investigates the global stability analysis of two-strain epidemic model with two general incidence rates. The problem is modelled by a system of six nonlinear ordinary differential equations describing the evolution of susceptible, exposed, infected and removed individuals. The wellposedness of the suggested model is established in terms of existence, positivity and boundedness of solutions. Four equilibrium points are given, namely the disease-free equilibrium, the endemic equilibrium with respect to strain 1, the endemic equilibrium with respect to strain 2, and the last endemic equilibrium with respect to both strains. By constructing suitable Lyapunov functional, the global stability of the disease-free equilibrium is proved depending on the basic reproduction number R 0 . Furthermore, using other appropriate Lyapunov functionals, the global stability results of the endemic equilibria are established depending on the strain 1 reproduction number R 0 1 and the strain 2 reproduction number R 0 2 . Numerical simulations are performed in order to confirm the different theoretical results. It was observed that the model with a generalized incidence functions encompasses a large number of models with classical incidence functions and it gives a significant wide view about the equilibria stability. Numerical comparison between the model results and COVID-19 clinical data was conducted. Good fit of the model to the real clinical data was remarked. The impact of the quarantine strategy on controlling the infection spread is discussed. The generalization of the problem to a more complex compartmental model is illustrated at the end of this paper., Competing Interests: Conflict of interestThe authors declare that they have no conflict of interest., (© Springer Nature B.V. 2020.)