1. Public health impact of covid-19 vaccines in the US: observational study.
- Author
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Suthar AB, Wang J, Seffren V, Wiegand RE, Griffing S, and Zell E
- Subjects
- Adult, COVID-19 Vaccines, Humans, Public Health, SARS-CoV-2, United States epidemiology, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control, Vaccines
- Abstract
Objective: To evaluate the impact of vaccine scale-up on population level covid-19 mortality and incidence in the United States., Design: Observational study., Setting: US county level case surveillance and vaccine administration data reported from 14 December 2020 to 18 December 2021., Participants: Residents of 2558 counties from 48 US states., Main Outcome Measures: The primary outcome was county covid-19 mortality rates (deaths/100 000 population/county week). The secondary outcome was incidence of covid-19 (cases/100 000 population/county week). Incidence rate ratios were used to compare rates across vaccination coverage levels. The impact of a 10% improvement in county vaccination coverage (defined as at least one dose of a covid-19 vaccine among adults ≥18 years of age) was estimated During the eras of alpha and delta variant predominance, the impact of very low (0-9%), low (10-39%), medium (40-69%), and high (≥70%) vaccination coverage levels was compared., Results: In total, 30 643 878 cases of covid-19 and 439 682 deaths associated with covid-19 occurred over 132 791 county weeks. A 10% improvement in vaccination coverage was associated with an 8% (95% confidence interval 8% to 9%) reduction in mortality rates and a 7% (6% to 8%) reduction in incidence. Higher vaccination coverage levels were associated with reduced mortality and incidence rates during the eras of alpha and delta variant predominance., Conclusions: Higher vaccination coverage was associated with lower rates of population level covid-19 mortality and incidence in the US., Competing Interests: Competing interests: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form at www.icmje.org/disclosure-of-interest/ and declare: no support from any organization for the submitted work; no financial relationships with any organizations that might have an interest in the submitted work in the previous three years; no other relationships or activities that could appear to have influenced the submitted work., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2019. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
- Published
- 2022
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