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Objective: To determine the impact of oil-based versus water-based contrast on pregnancy and live birth rates ≤5 years after hysterosalpingography (HSG) in infertile women., Design: A 5-year follow-up study of a multicenter randomized trial., Setting: Hospitals., Patient(s): Infertile women with an ovulatory cycle, 18-39 years of age, and having a low risk of tubal pathology., Intervention(s): Use of oil-based versus water-based contrast during HSG., Main Outcome Measure(s): Ongoing pregnancy, live births, time to ongoing pregnancy, second ongoing pregnancy., Result(s): A total of 1,119 women were randomly assigned to HSG with oil-based contrast (n = 557) or water-based contrast (n = 562). After 5 years, 444 of 555 women in the oil group (80.0%) and 419 of 559 women in the water group (75.0%) had an ongoing pregnancy (relative risk [RR] 1.07; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00-1.14), and 415 of 555 women in the oil group (74.8%) and 376 of 559 women in the water group (67.3%) had live births (RR 1.11; 95% CI 1.03-1.20). In the oil group, 228 pregnancies (41.1%) were conceived naturally versus 194 (34.7%) pregnancies in the water group (RR 1.18; 95% CI 1.02-1.38). The time to ongoing pregnancy was significantly shorter in the oil group versus the water group (10.0 vs. 13.7 months; hazard ratio, 1.25; 95% CI 1.09-1.43). No difference was found in the occurrence of a second ongoing pregnancy., Conclusion(s): During a 5-year time frame, ongoing pregnancy and live birth rates are higher after tubal flushing with oil-based contrast during HSG compared with water-based contrast. More pregnancies are naturally conceived and time to ongoing pregnancy is shorter after HSG with oil-based contrast., Clinical Trial Registration Number: Netherlands Trial Register (NTR) 3270 and NTR6577(www.trialregister.nl)., (Copyright © 2020 American Society for Reproductive Medicine. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Pregnancy rates among infertile women have been reported to increase after hysterosalpingography, but it is unclear whether the type of contrast medium used (oil-based or water-soluble contrast) influences this potential therapeutic effect., Methods: We performed a multicenter, randomized trial in 27 hospitals in the Netherlands in which infertile women who were undergoing hysterosalpingography were randomly assigned to undergo this procedure with the use of oil-based or water-based contrast. Subsequently, couples received expectant management or the women underwent intrauterine insemination. The primary outcome was ongoing pregnancy within 6 months after randomization. Outcomes were analyzed according to the intention-to-treat principle., Results: A total of 1119 women were randomly assigned to hysterosalpingography with oil contrast (557 women) or water contrast (562 women). A total of 220 of 554 women in the oil group (39.7%) and 161 of 554 women in the water group (29.1%) had an ongoing pregnancy (rate ratio, 1.37; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.16 to 1.61; P<0.001), and 214 of 552 women in the oil group (38.8%) and 155 of 552 women in the water group (28.1%) had live births (rate ratio, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.17 to 1.64; P<0.001). Rates of adverse events were low and similar in the two groups., Conclusions: Rates of ongoing pregnancy and live births were higher among women who underwent hysterosalpingography with oil contrast than among women who underwent this procedure with water contrast. (Netherlands Trial Register number, NTR3270 .).

Background: Clomiphene citrate (CC) is first line treatment in women with World Health Organization (WHO) type II anovulation and polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS). Whereas 60% to 85% of these women will ovulate on CC, only about one half will have conceived after six cycles. If women do not conceive, treatment can be continued with gonadotropins or intra-uterine insemination (IUI). At present, it is unclear for how many cycles ovulation induction with CC should be repeated, and when to switch to ovulation induction with gonadotropins and/or IUI., Methods/design: We started a multicenter randomised controlled trial in the Netherlands comparing six cycles of CC plus intercourse or six cycles of gonadotrophins plus intercourse or six cycles of CC plus IUI or six cycles of gonadotrophins plus IUI.Women with WHO type II anovulation who ovulate but did not conceive after six ovulatory cycles of CC with a maximum of 150 mg daily for five days will be included.Our primary outcome is birth of a healthy child resulting from a pregnancy that was established in the first eight months after randomisation. Secondary outcomes are clinical pregnancy, miscarriage, multiple pregnancy and treatment costs. The analysis will be performed according to the intention to treat principle. Two comparisons will be made, one in which CC is compared to gonadotrophins and one in which the addition of IUI is compared to ovulation induction only. Assuming a live birth rate of 40% after CC, 55% after addition of IUI and 55% after ovulation induction with gonadotrophins, with an alpha of 5% and a power of 80%, we need to recruit 200 women per arm (800 women in total).An independent Data and Safety Monitoring Committee has criticized the data of the first 150 women and concluded that a sample size re-estimation should be performed after including 320 patients (i.e. 80 per arm)., Discussion: The trial will provide evidence on the most effective, safest and most cost effective treatment in women with WHO type II anovulation who do not conceive after six ovulatory cycles with CC with a maximum of 150 mg daily for five days. This evidence could imply the need for changing our guidelines, which may cause a shift in large practice variation to evidence based primary treatment for these women., Trial Registration Number: Netherlands Trial register NTR1449.

The chance of infertile patients conceiving is related to factors like female age and duration of infertility. This prospective observational study evaluated whether the results of ovarian reserve tests, including the novel marker serum anti-Mullerian hormone (AMH), were of additional value in predicting ongoing pregnancy. Two hundred and twenty-two patients diagnosed with unexplained infertility or mild male factor (total motile count>10x10(6)) on the basis of the infertility work-up were prospectively included. Antral follicle count, AMH, inhibin B, FSH and oestradiol concentrations were determined during the early follicular phase. Outcome measures were treatment-dependent and treatment-independent ongoing pregnancy and time to ongoing pregnancy. There were 159 ongoing pregnancies, 52 of which occurred spontaneously. Pregnant patients were significantly younger than those who did not become pregnant (median age 32.4 versus 34.9 years, P<0.001) and FSH concentrations were higher in non-pregnant patients (median 6.8 versus 7.6 IU/l, P=0.04). Only age (hazard ratio 0.93, 95% CI 0.90-0.97) and whether or not the patient was undergoing treatment (hazard ratio 8.10, 95% CI 5.66-11.61) were significantly associated with time to ongoing pregnancy. Ovarian reserve tests, other than chronological age, seem of limited value in predicting (time to) ongoing pregnancy in patients with unexplained and mild male infertility.

Background: Models predicting clinical outcome need external validation before they can be applied safely in daily practice. This study aimed to validate two models for the prediction of the chance of treatment-independent pregnancy leading to live birth among subfertile couples., Methods: The first model uses the woman's age, duration and type of subfertility, percentage of progressive sperm motility and referral status. The second model in addition uses the result of the post-coital test (PCT). For validation, these characteristics were collected prospectively in two University hospitals for 302 couples consulting for subfertility. The models' ability to distinguish between women who became pregnant and women who did not (discrimination) and the agreement between predicted and observed probabilities of treatment-independent pregnancy (calibration) were assessed., Results: The discrimination of both models was slightly lower in the validation sample than in the original sample which provided the model. Calibration was good: the observed and predicted probabilities of treatment-independent pregnancy leading to live birth did not differ for both models., Conclusions: The chance of pregnancy leading to live birth was reliably estimated in the validation sample by both models. The use of PCT improved the discrimination of the models. These models can be useful in counselling subfertile couples.

Objective: The aim of this study was to assess which of the basal ovarian reserve markers provides the best reflection of the changes occurring in ovarian function over time (i.e., reproductive aging)., Design: Prospective longitudinal study., Setting: Healthy volunteers in an academic research center., Patient(s): Eighty-one women with normal reproductive performance during the course of their lives were longitudinally assessed. In this select group of women, becoming chronologically older was considered as a proxy variable for becoming older from a reproductive point of view., Intervention(s): The women were assessed twice, with on average a 4-year interval (T(1) and T(2)). The number of antral follicles on ultrasound (AFC) and blood levels of antimullerian hormone (AMH), FSH, inhibin B, and E(2) were assessed., Main Outcome Measure(s): Longitudinal changes of the markers mentioned and the consistency of these parameters over time., Result(s): The mean ages at T(1) and T(2) were 39.6 and 43.6 years, respectively. Although AFC was strongly associated with age in a cross-sectional fashion, it did not change over time. The AMH, FSH, and inhibin B levels showed a significant change over time, in contrast to E(2) levels. The AMH and AFC were highly correlated with age both at T(1) and T(2), whereas FSH and inhibin B predominantly changed in women more than 40 years of age. To assess the consistency of these parameters over time, we investigated whether a woman's individual level above or below the mean of her age group at T(1) remained above or below the mean of her age group at T(2). Serum AMH concentrations showed the best consistency, with AFC as second best. The FSH and inhibin B showed only modest consistency, whereas E(2) showed no consistency at all., Conclusion(s): These results indicate that serum AMH represents the best endocrine marker to assess the age-related decline of reproductive capacity.

Objective: Age at menopause and age at the start of the preceding period of cycle irregularity (menopausal transition) show considerable individual variation. In this study we explored several markers for their ability to predict the occurrence of the transition to menopause., Design: A group of 81 normal women between 25 and 46 years of age visited the clinic two times (at T1 and T2) with an average interval of 4 years. All had a regular menstrual cycle pattern at T1. At T1, anti-mullerian hormone (AMH), follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH), inhibin B and estradiol (E2) were measured, and an antral follicle count (AFC) was made during the early follicular phase. At T2, information regarding cycle length and variability was obtained. Menopause transition was defined as a mean cycle length of less than 21 days or more than 35 days or as a mean cycle length of 21 to 35 days, but with the next cycle not predictable within 7 days during the last half year. A logistic regression analysis was performed, with the outcome measure as menopause transition. The area under the receiver operating curve (ROCAUC) was calculated as a measure of predictive accuracy., Results: In 14 volunteers, the cycle had become irregular at T2. Compared with women with a regular cycle at T2, these women were significantly older (median 44.7 vs 39.8 y, P < 0.001) and differed significantly in AFC, AMH, FSH, and inhibin B levels assessed at T1. All parameters with the exception of E2 were significantly associated with the occurrence of cycle irregularity; AMH, AFC, and age had the highest predictive accuracy (ROCAUC 0.87, 0.80, and 0.82, respectively). After adjusting for age, only AMH and inhibin B were significantly associated with cycle irregularity. Inclusion of inhibin B and age to AMH in a multivariable model improved the predictive accuracy (ROCAUC 0.92)., Conclusions: The novel marker AMH is a promising predictor for the occurrence of menopausal transition within 4 years. Adding inhibin B improved the prediction. Therefore, AMH alone or in combination with inhibin B may well prove a useful indicator for the reproductive status of an individual woman.

Objective: To determine ongoing pregnancy rates in subfertile patients with elevated FSH levels and regular cycles and to assess whether or not it is justified to exclude such patients from treatment on the basis of elevated FSH levels alone., Design: Retrospective follow-up study., Setting: Tertiary fertility center., Patient(s): One hundred twenty-two patients with normal FSH levels <10.0 IU/L, 126 with FSH between 10.0 and 15.0 IU/L, and 53 with FSH levels >15.0 IU/L, all having regular cycles and belonging to a general subfertility population., Intervention(s): Follow-up., Main Outcome Measure(s): Overall and treatment-independent and treatment-dependent ongoing pregnancy rates and time to ongoing pregnancy., Result(s): Overall ongoing pregnancy rates declined from 65% in the normal FSH group to 47%, and 28% in the respective elevated FSH groups. However, when adjusting for differences in age and whether or not treatment was applied, this declining trend became inconsistent for both treatment-independent and treatment-dependent ongoing pregnancy rates. Only when FSH levels exceeded 20 IU/L was a clear fall in ongoing pregnancy rate observed, independent of age. In a Cox regression analysis, FSH seemed significantly associated with the outcome time to overall ongoing pregnancy (odds ratio = 0.94, 95% confidence interval, 0.88-0.99), but after adjusting for age and being on treatment or not this significance disappeared (odds ratio = 0.97, 95% confidence interval, 0.91-1.01)., Conclusion(s): The contribution of FSH in the initial evaluation of subfertile couples is restricted to counseling patients on the probability of having lower chances of conceiving. It does not seem justified to exclude patients with normal regular cycles from treatment on the basis of the FSH value alone.

Objective: To investigate whether IVF outcome of patients older than 40 years of age with basal FSH levels less than 15 IU/L differs from that in patients 40 years of age or younger with basal FSH levels of 15 IU/L or greater., Design: Prospective observational study., Setting: Tertiary academic fertility center., Patient(s): Women 41 years of age or older with basal FSH levels less than 15 IU/L (n = 50), and women 40 years of age or younger with elevated basal FSH levels (n = 36) undergoing their first IVF cycle., Intervention(s): IVF treatment using a long suppression protocol with recombinant FSH at a fixed starting dose of 150 IU/L., Main Outcome Measure(s): Ovarian response, ongoing pregnancy rates, and implantation rates., Result(s): The high FSH group experienced more cycle cancellations due to absent follicular growth than did the high age group (31% vs. 8%). However, the high FSH group had better implantation rates per embryo (34% vs. 11%), higher ongoing rates per ET (40% vs.13%), and higher ongoing pregnancy rates per cycle (25% vs. 10%). In both groups, poor responders had lower pregnancy rates., Conclusion(s): The outcome of IVF differs between patients older than 40 years of age with normal FSH levels and relatively young patients with elevated FSH levels. This finding may have implications for the management of these patients.