1. Quantitative risk assessment of the effects of climate change on selected causes of death, 2030s and 2050s
- Author
-
Hales, Simon and Hales, Simon
- Subjects
- Climatic changes Health aspects Forecasting., Climatic changes Forecasting., Mortality Forecasting., Heat stroke Mortality Forecasting., Heat exhaustion Mortality Forecasting., Drowning Forecasting., Diarrhea Mortality Forecasting., Malaria Mortality Forecasting., Dengue Mortality Forecasting., Starvation Mortality Forecasting., Environmental health., Climate Change mortality, Climate Change statistics & numerical data, Environmental Health, Heat Stress Disorders mortality, Drowning mortality, Diarrhea mortality, Malaria mortality, Dengue mortality, Malnutrition mortality, Forecasting methods, Climat Changements Prévision., Mortalité Prévision., Noyade Prévision., Diarrhée Mortalité Prévision., Paludisme Mortalité Prévision., Dengue Mortalité Prévision., Inanition Mortalité Prévision., Hygiène du milieu., Mortality Forecasting., Climatic changes Forecasting., Climatic changes., Climatic changes Health aspects., Dengue., Diarrhea., Drowning., Forecasting., Malaria., Malnutrition., Mortality.
- Abstract
Overview: This assessment is an update and a further development of the assessment first published by WHO for the year 2000, now with a wider range of health impacts, and projections for future years. It takes into account a subset of the possible health impacts, and assumes continued economic growth and health progress. The assessment takes into account a subset of the possible health impacts, and assumes continued economic growth and health progress. Even under these conditions, it concludes that climate change is expected to cause approximately 250 000 additional deaths per year between 2030 and 2050; 38 000 due to heat exposure in elderly people, 48 000 due to diarrhoea, 60 000 due to malaria, and 95 000 due to childhood undernutrition. Results indicate that the burden of disease from climate change in the future will continue to fall mainly on children in developing countries, but that other population groups will be increasingly affected., "Climate change is expected to affect many aspects of health. This report presents an assessment of the expected results on a subset of these health outcomes, for which quantitative evidence is available at the global level: heat-related mortality, coastal flood mortality, diarrhoea, malaria, dengue and undernutrition. Although the assessment does not include all potential health risks, it makes clear that climate change is likely to have significant impacts in coming decades, and indicates the scale and nature of the challenges that need to be addressed through strengthening health resilience to climate risks, and mitigating climate change."--Page 4 of cover.
- Published
- 2024