1. Narrowing uncertainties in the effects of elevated CO2 on crops
- Author
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Kenneth J. Boote, Franz Badeck, Thomas A. M. Pugh, Andrej Ceglar, Gerard W. Wall, Remi Lecerf, Raúl López-Lozano, Matteo Zampieri, Andrea Toreti, Håkan Pleijel, Jean-Louis Durand, Frank Dentener, Remy Manderscheid, Francesco N. Tubiello, Gerald Moser, Christoph Müller, Bruce A. Kimball, Senthold Asseng, Erik Mencos Contreras, Garry O'Leary, Xuhui Wang, Eline Vanuytrecht, Cynthia Rosenzweig, Delphine Deryng, Stefano Galmarini, Heidi Webber, Maurits van den Berg, Petra Hoegy, European Commission - Joint Research Centre [Ispra] (JRC), NewClimate Institute, IRI THESys, Humboldt State University (HSU), Leibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlandschaftsforschung = Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations [Rome, Italie] (FAO), Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), USDA Agricultural Research Service [Maricopa, AZ] (USDA), United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen (JLU), University of Florida [Gainesville] (UF), University of Birmingham [Birmingham], Lund University [Lund], Flemish Institute for Technological Research (VITO), Catholic University of Leuven - Katholieke Universiteit Leuven (KU Leuven), University of Gothenburg (GU), Unité de Recherche Pluridisciplinaire Prairies et Plantes Fourragères (P3F), Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE), Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] (LSCE), Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ), Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University [Beijing], Consiglio per la Ricerca in Agricoltura e l’analisi dell’economia agraria (CREA), University of Hohenheim, Environnement Méditerranéen et Modélisation des Agro-Hydrosystèmes (EMMAH), Avignon Université (AU)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE), Agriculture Victoria (AgriBio), Thünen Institute of Biodiversity, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC), Center for Climate Systems Research [New York] (CCSR), Columbia University [New York], Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen = Justus Liebig University (JLU), Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), and Consiglio per la Ricerca in Agricoltura e l’analisi dell’economia agraria = Council for Agricultural Research and Economics (CREA)
- Subjects
0106 biological sciences ,CARBON-DIOXIDE ENRICHMENT ,PROTEIN-CONCENTRATION ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Natural resource economics ,Climate change ,Nutritional quality ,01 natural sciences ,Crop ,WHEAT-GRAIN QUALITY ,FUTURE CO2 ,USE EFFICIENCY ,Sustainable agriculture ,Precipitation ,ATMOSPHERIC CO2 ,Agricultural productivity ,[SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,[SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere ,2. Zero hunger ,Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere ,Science & Technology ,FACE EXPERIMENT ,business.industry ,FOOD SECURITY ,fungi ,food and beverages ,15. Life on land ,CLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACT ,MODEL ,13. Climate action ,Agriculture ,Food Science & Technology ,Environmental science ,Animal Science and Zoology ,business ,Life Sciences & Biomedicine ,Agronomy and Crop Science ,010606 plant biology & botany ,Food Science - Abstract
International audience; Plant responses to rising atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations, together with projected variations in temperature and precipitation will determine future agricultural production. Estimates of the impacts of climate change on agriculture provide essential information to design effective adaptation strategies, and develop sustainable food systems. Here, we review the current experimental evidence and crop models on the effects of elevated CO2 concentrations. Recent concerted efforts have narrowed the uncertainties in CO2-induced crop responses so that climate change impact simulations omitting CO2 can now be eliminated. To address remaining knowledge gaps and uncertainties in estimating the effects of elevated CO2 and climate change on crops, future research should expand experiments on more crop species under a wider range of growing conditions, improve the representation of responses to climate extremes in crop models, and simulate additional crop physiological processes related to nutritional quality.Understanding of the effects of elevated CO2 on crops has improved sufficiently that modelling future climatic effects on agriculture should eliminate 'no CO2' simulations. Further advancement in the estimation of the effects can be realized by studying a wider variety of crop species under a wider range of growing conditions, improving the representation of responses to climate extremes in crop models and simulating additional crop physiological processes related to nutritional quality.
- Published
- 2020