1. Anticipating species distributions:handling sampling effort bias under a Bayesian framework
- Author
-
Rocchini, Duccio, Garzon-Lopez, Carol X., Marcantonio, Matteo, Amici, Valerio, Bacaro, Giovanni, Bastin, Lucy, Brummitt, Neil, Chiarucci, Alessandro, Foody, Giles M., Hauffe, Heidi C., He, Kate S., Ricotta, Carlo, Rizzoli, Annapaola, and Rosà, Roberto
- Abstract
Anticipating species distributions in space and time is necessary for effective biodiversity conservation and for prioritising management interventions. This is especially true when considering invasive species. In such a case, anticipating their spread is important to effectively plan management actions. However, considering uncertainty in the output of species distribution models is critical for correctly interpreting results and avoiding inappropriate decision-making. In particular, when dealing with species inventories, the bias resulting from sampling effort may lead to an over- or under-estimation of the local density of occurrences of a species. In this paper we propose an innovative method to i) map sampling effort bias using cartogram models and ii) explicitly consider such uncertainty in the modeling procedure under a Bayesian framework, which allows the integration of multilevel input data with prior information to improve the anticipation species distributions.
- Published
- 2017