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Liouville theory describes the dynamics of surfaces with constant negative curvature and can be used to study the Weil-Petersson geometry of the moduli space of Riemann surfaces. This leads to an efficient algorithm to compute the Weil--Petersson metric to arbitrary accuracy using Zamolodchikov's recursion relation for conformal blocks. For example, we compute the metric on $\mathcal M_{0,4}$ numerically to high accuracy by considering Liouville theory on a sphere with four punctures. We numerically compute the eigenvalues of the Weil-Petersson Laplacian, and find evidence that the obey the statistics of a random matrix in the Gaussian Orthogonal Ensemble., Comment: 29+6 pages

Large language models with a huge number of parameters, when trained on near internet-sized number of tokens, have been empirically shown to obey neural scaling laws: specifically, their performance behaves predictably as a power law in either parameters or dataset size until bottlenecked by the other resource. To understand this better, we first identify the necessary properties allowing such scaling laws to arise and then propose a statistical model -- a joint generative data model and random feature model -- that captures this neural scaling phenomenology. By solving this model in the dual limit of large training set size and large number of parameters, we gain insight into (i) the statistical structure of datasets and tasks that lead to scaling laws, (ii) the way nonlinear feature maps, such as those provided by neural networks, enable scaling laws when trained on these datasets, (iii) the optimality of the equiparameterization scaling of training sets and parameters, and (iv) whether such scaling laws can break down and how they behave when they do. Key findings are the manner in which the power laws that occur in the statistics of natural datasets are extended by nonlinear random feature maps and then translated into power-law scalings of the test loss and how the finite extent of the data's spectral power law causes the model's performance to plateau., Comment: 73 + 23 pages, 14 + 5 figures

We study symmetric products of the chiral 'Monster' conformal field theory with c=24 in the grand canonical ensemble by introducing a complex parameter \rho, whose imaginary part represents the chemical potential \mu conjugate to the number of copies of the CFT. The grand canonical partition function is given by the DMVV product formula in terms of the multiplicities of the seed CFT. It possesses an O(2,2;\ZZ) symmetry that enhances the familiar SL(2,\ZZ) modular invariance of the canonical ensemble and mixes the modular parameter \tau with the parameter \rho. By exploiting this enhanced modular symmetry and the pole structure of the DMVV product formula we are able to extend the region of validity of Cardy's formula, and explain why it matches the semi-classical Bekenstein-Hawking formula for black holes all the way down to the AdS-scale. We prove that for large c the spectrum contains a universal perturbative sector whose degeneracies obey Hagedorn growth. The transition from Cardy to Hagedorn growth is found to be due to the formation of a Bose-Einstein condensate of ground state CFTs at low temperatures. The grand canonical partition function has an interesting phase structure, which in addition to the standard Hawking-Page transition between low and high temperature, exhibits a wall-crossing transition that exchanges the roles of \tau and \rho., Comment: 28 pages, 3 figures

We study microstates of the three dimensional black hole obtained by quantizing topologically non-trivial geometries behind the event horizon. In chiral gravity these states are found by quantizing the moduli space of bordered Riemann surfaces. In the semi-classical limit these microstates can be counted using intersection theory on the moduli space of punctured Riemann surfaces. We make a conjecture (supported by numerics) for the asymptotic behaviour of the relevant intersection numbers. The result is that the geometric microstates with fixed topology have an entropy which grows too slowly to account for the semiclassical Bekenstein-Hawking entropy. The sum over topologies, however, leads to a divergence. We conclude with some speculations about how this might be resolved to give an entropy proportional to horizon area., 21 pages, 5 figures

We consider quantum field theory in de Sitter space, focusing on the cases of scalars, spin 1/2 fields, and symmetric and anti-symmetric tensor fields of arbitrary spin. The free field equations in global coordinates can be reduced to a one dimensional Schrodinger problem which possesses a remarkable structure; the potential is of an algebraically special type which appears as a multi-soliton solution of the KdV equation. In an odd number of spacetime dimensions these potentials are "transparent" in the sense that their reflection coefficients vanish identically. This has a remarkable consequence for physics in de Sitter space. It means that odd dimensional de Sitter space is transparent in the sense that a quantum state with no particles at past infinity will evolve into a state with no particles in the far future. This feature has been previously noted for scalar excitations, but the corresponding higher spin behaviour (and the proof using algebraic techniques) is new., 18 pages

Supercritical string theories in D>10 dimensions with no moduli are described, generalizing the asymmetric orientifold construction of one of the authors. By taking the number of dimensions to be large and turning on fluxes, dilaton potentials are generated with nontrivial minima at arbitrarily small cosmological constant and D-dimensional string coupling, separated by a barrier from a flat-space linear dilaton region, but possibly suffering from strong coupling problems. The general issue of the decay of a de Sitter vacuum to flat space is discussed. For relatively small barriers, such decays are described by gravitational instantons. It is shown that for a sufficiently large potential barrier, the bubble wall crosses the horizon. At the same time the instanton decay time exceeds the Poincare recurrence time. It is argued that the inclusion of such instantons is neither physically meaningful nor consistent with basic principles such as causality. This raises the possibility that such de Sitter vacua are effectively stable. In the case of the supercritical flux models, decays to the linear dilaton region can be forbidden by such large barriers, but decays to lower flux vacua including AdS minima nevertheless proceed consistently with this criterion. These models provide concrete examples in which cosmological constant reduction by flux relaxation can be explored., 23 pages, 2 figures. To appear in the Hawking Festschrift. References added and typos corrected