1. An Artificial Intelligence Derived Blood Test to Diagnose Kawasaki Disease
- Author
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Michael A. Portman, Craig A. Magaret, Grady Barnes, Celine Peters, Aparna Rao, and Rhonda Rhyne
- Subjects
Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health ,General Medicine ,Pediatrics - Abstract
OBJECTIVETo develop a highly sensitive and specific blood biomarker panel that identifies febrile children with Kawasaki disease (KD).METHODSWe tested blood samples from a single-center cohort of KD (n = 50) and control febrile children (n = 100) to develop a biomarker panel from 11 candidates selected by their assay clinical availability. We used machine learning with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression to identify 11 blood markers with values incorporated into a model, which provided a binary predictive risk score for KD determined with Youden’s index. We further reduced the model using least angle regression.RESULTSUsing 10-fold cross-validation with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression on these 11 readouts plus patient age resulted in an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.94 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.90–0.98; P CONCLUSIONSMachine learning identified a highly accurate diagnostic model for KD. The reduced model employs 3 biomarkers currently approved by regulatory bodies and performed on platforms commonly used by certified diagnostic laboratories.
- Published
- 2023