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Background There is increasing evidence of small airway abnormalities in smokers despite normal spirometry. The concavity in the descending limb of the maximum expiratory flow curve (MEFV) is a recognised feature of obstruction and can provide information beyond FEV1, and potentially early smoking-related damage. We aimed to evaluate concavity measures compared to known small airway measurements. Methods Eighty smokers with normal spirometry had small airway function assessed: multiple breath nitrogen washout (MBNW) from which ventilation heterogeneity in the diffusion-dependent acinar (Sacin) and convection-dependent conductive (Scond) airways were assessed, and impulse oscillometry system (IOS) from which respiratory resistance and reactance at 5 Hz (R5 and X5) were measured. Concavity measures were calculated from the MEFV, partitioned into global and peripheral concavity. Results We found abnormal peripheral and global concavity as well as acinar ventilation heterogeneity are common in “normal” smokers. Concavity measures were not related to either MBNW or IOS measurements. Conclusion Abnormalities in concavity indices and MBNW or oscillometry parameters are common in smokers despite normal spirometry. However, these measures likely reflect different mechanisms of peripheral airway dysfunction.

Hyperinflation, gas trapping and their responses to long-acting bronchodilator are clinically important in COPD. The forced oscillation technique (FOT) measures of respiratory system resistance and reactance are sensitive markers of bronchodilator response in COPD. The relationships between changes in resistance and reactance, and changes in hyperinflation and gas trapping, following long-acting bronchodilator (LA-BD) have not been studied. 15 subjects with mild-moderate COPD underwent FOT, spirometry then body plethysmography, before and 2 hours after a single 150 microg dose of the LA-BD indacaterol. Hyperinflation was quantified as the inspiratory capacity to total lung capacity ratio (IC/TLC), and gas trapping as residual volume to TLC ratio (RV/TLC). At baseline, FOT parameters were moderately correlated with IC/TLC (|r| 0.53-0.73, p < 0.05). At 2 hours post-LA-BD, there were moderate correlations between change in FOT and change in RV/TLC (|r| 0.60-0.82, p < 0.05). Baseline FOT parameters also correlated with the subsequent post-LA-BD change in both IC/TLC (|r| 0.54-0.62, p < 0.05) and RV/TLC (|r| 0.57-0.76, p < 0.05). FOT impedance reflects hyperinflation and gas trapping in COPD, and the potential for long-acting bronchodilator responsiveness. These results provide us with further insight into the physiological mechanisms of action of long-acting bronchodilator treatment, and may be clinically useful for predicting treatment responses.

This paper develops a large-scale Bayesian spatio-temporal binomial regression model for the purpose of investigating regional trends in antibody prevalence to Borrelia burgdorferi, the causative agent of Lyme disease. The proposed model uses Gaussian predictive processes to estimate the spatially varying trends and a conditional autoregressive model to account for spatio-temporal dependence. Careful consideration is made to develop a novel framework that is scalable to large spatio-temporal data. The proposed model is used to analyze approximately 16 million Borrelia burgdorferi test results collected on dogs located throughout the conterminous United States over a sixty month period. This analysis identifies several regions of increasing canine risk. Specifically, this analysis reveals evidence that Lyme disease is getting worse in some endemic regions and that it could potentially be spreading to other non-endemic areas. Further, given the zoonotic nature of this vector-borne disease, this analysis could potentially reveal areas of increasing human risk., 19 pages without figures. All figures are available as ancillary files