1. How do fiscal rules shape governments' spending behavior?
- Author
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Vinturis, Cezara, Université Clermont Auvergne (UCA), Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International (CERDI), and Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Clermont Auvergne (UCA)
- Subjects
fiscal rules' features ,Economics and Econometrics ,developed and developing countries JEL Codes: E62 ,JEL: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics/E.E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook/E.E6.E62 - Fiscal Policy ,fiscal rules ,public investment ,JEL: H - Public Economics/H.H6 - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt/H.H6.H62 - Deficit • Surplus ,[SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance ,public spending ,General Business, Management and Accounting ,H62 - Abstract
International audience; At odds with the large literature devoted to the fiscal discipline effects of fiscal rules, only few contributions investigate their impact on public spending. Using a large sample of 185 countries, estimations based on the entropy balancing method reveal the following causal effects: fiscal rules significantly reduce total public spending and public consumption, leave public investment mostly unaffected, and increase the public investment-to-public consumption ratio. Moreover, the type of fiscal rule and countries' level of economic development influence the way fiscal rules affect public spending. Lastly, fiscal rules' features seem to be a major driving force of the way governments change public spending-and, notably, total spending and public investment-in response to the adoption of fiscal rules. Consequently, the public investment decline during recent times should mostly be attributable to other things but fiscal rules (which sometimes even raise public investment); and increased attention should be given to the various fiscal rules' features, which may enforce or, on the contrary, weaken their fiscal discipline performances.
- Published
- 2022