1. Evaluating model outputs using integrated global speleothem records of climate change since the last glacial
- Author
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Comas-Bru, Laia, Harrison, Sandy P., Werner, Martin, Rehfeld, Kira, Scroxton, Nick, Veiga-Pires, Cristina, Ahmad, Syed Masood, Brahim, Yassine Ait, Mozhdehi, Sahar Amirnezhad, Arienzo, Monica, Atsawawaranunt, Kamolphat, Baker, Andy, Braun, Kerstin, Breitenbach, Sebastian, Burstyn, Yuval, Chawchai, Sakonvan, Columbu, Andrea, Deininger, Michael, Demeny, Attila, Dixon, Bronwyn, Hatvani, Istvan Gabor, Hu, Jun, Kaushal, Nikita, Kern, Zoltan, Labuhn, Inga, Lachniet, Matthew S., Lechleitner, Franziska A., Lorrey, Andrew, Markowska, Monika, Nehme, Carole, Novello, Valdir F., Oster, Jessica, Perez-Mejias, Carlos, Pickering, Robyn, Sekhon, Natasha, Wang, Xianfeng, Warken, Sophie, Atkinson, Tim, Ayalon, Avner, Baldini, James, Bar-Matthews, Miryam, Bernal, Juan Pablo, Boch, Ronny, Borsato, Andrea, Boyd, Meighan, Brierley, Chris, Cai, Yanjun, Carolin, Stacy, Cheng, Hai, Constantin, Silviu, Couchoud, Isabelle, Cruz, Francisco, Denniston, Rhawn, Dragusin, Virgil, Duan, Wuhui, Ersek, Vasile, Finné, Martin, Fleitmann, Dominik, Fohlmeister, Jens, Frappier, Amy, Genty, Dominique, Holzkamper, Steffen, Hopley, Philip, Johnston, Vanessa, Kathayat, Gayatri, Keenan-Jones, Duncan, Koltai, Gabriella, Li, Ting-Yong, Lone, Mahjoor Ahmad, Luetscher, Marc, Mattey, Dave, Moreno, Ana, Moseley, Gina, Psomiadis, David, Ruan, Jiaoyang, Scholz, Denis, Sha, Lijuan, Smith, Andrew Christopher, Strikis, Nicolas, Treble, Pauline, Unal-Imer, Ezgi, Vaks, Anton, Vansteenberge, Stef, Voarintsoa, Ny Riavo G., Wong, Corinne, Wortham, Barbara, Wurtzel, Jennifer, Zhang, Haiwei, Voarintsoa, Ny Riavo, Earth Observatory of Singapore, Comas-Bru L., Harrison S.P., Werner M., Rehfeld K., Scroxton N., Veiga-Pires C., Ahmad S.M., Brahim Y.A., Mozhdehi S.A., Arienzo M., Atsawawaranunt K., Baker A., Braun K., Breitenbach S., Burstyn Y., Chawchai S., Columbu A., Deininger M., Demeny A., Dixon B., Hatvani I.G., Hu J., Kaushal N., Kern Z., Labuhn I., Lachniet M.S., Lechleitner F.A., Lorrey A., Markowska M., Nehme C., Novello V.F., Oster J., Perez-Mejias C., Pickering R., Sekhon N., Wang X., Warken S., Atkinson T., Ayalon A., Baldini J., Bar-Matthews M., Bernal J.P., Boch R., Borsato A., Boyd M., Brierley C., Cai Y., Carolin S., Cheng H., Constantin S., Couchoud I., Cruz F., Denniston R., Dragusin V., Duan W., Ersek V., Finne M., Fleitmann D., Fohlmeister J., Frappier A., Genty D., Holzkamper S., Hopley P., Johnston V., Kathayat G., Keenan-Jones D., Koltai G., Li T.-Y., Lone M.A., Luetscher M., Mattey D., Moreno A., Moseley G., Psomiadis D., Ruan J., Scholz D., Sha L., Smith A.C., Strikis N., Treble P., Unal-Imer E., Vaks A., Vansteenberge S., Voarintsoa N.R.G., Wong C., Wortham B., Wurtzel J., and Zhang H.
- Subjects
010506 paleontology ,Climate Research ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,δ18O ,lcsh:Environmental protection ,Climate Change ,Stratigraphy ,Speleothem ,Climate change ,F800 ,PMIP4 CONTRIBUTION ,Geology [Science] ,01 natural sciences ,Klimatforskning ,STABLE-ISOTOPE VARIATIONS ,lcsh:Environmental pollution ,Time windows ,ddc:550 ,Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ,lcsh:TD169-171.8 ,Speleothem Records ,GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODEL ,ASIAN MONSOON ,Glacial period ,Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ,DELTA-O-18 WATER ISOTOPE ,Baseline (configuration management) ,lcsh:Environmental sciences ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,lcsh:GE1-350 ,Global and Planetary Change ,geography ,Coupled model intercomparison project ,Science & Technology ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Paleontology ,Geology ,GROWTH FREQUENCY VARIATIONS ,NORTH-ATLANTIC ,OXYGEN-ISOTOPE ,13. Climate action ,Climatology ,lcsh:TD172-193.5 ,Physical Sciences ,Spatial ecology ,Environmental science ,Institut für Geowissenschaften ,ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION ,HIGH-RESOLUTION - Abstract
Although quantitative isotope data from speleothems has been used to evaluate isotope-enabled model simulations, currently no consensus exists regarding the most appropriate methodology through which to achieve this. A number of modelling groups will be running isotope-enabled palaeoclimate simulations in the framework of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6, so it is timely to evaluate different approaches to using the speleothem data for data-model comparisons. Here, we illustrate this using 456 globally distributed speleothem delta O-18 records from an updated version of the Speleothem Isotopes Synthesis and Analysis (SISAL) database and palaeoclimate simulations generated using the ECHAM5-wiso isotope-enabled atmospheric circulation model. We show that the SISAL records reproduce the first-order spatial patterns of isotopic variability in the modern day, strongly supporting the application of this dataset for evaluating model-derived isotope variability into the past. However, the discontinuous nature of many speleothem records complicates the process of procuring large numbers of records if data-model comparisons are made using the traditional approach of comparing anomalies between a control period and a given palaeoclimate experiment. To circumvent this issue, we illustrate techniques through which the absolute isotope values during any time period could be used for model evaluation. Specifically, we show that speleothem isotope records allow an assessment of a model's ability to simulate spatial isotopic trends. Our analyses provide a protocol for using speleothem isotope data for model evaluation, including screening the observations to take into account the impact of speleothem mineralogy on delta O-18 values, the optimum period for the modern observational baseline and the selection of an appropriate time window for creating means of the isotope data for palaeo-time-slices. European Geosciences Union - W2017/413; Irish Centre for Research in Applied Geosciences (iCRAG); European Association of Geochemistry (Early Career Ambassadors program 2017); Quaternary Research Association UK; Navarino Environmental Observatory, Stockholm University; University College Dublin, Savillex (UK) - SF1428; Ibn Zohr University, Morocco; University of Reading; European Research Council - 694481; Natural Environment Research Council (JPI-Belmont project "PAleao-Constraints on Monsoon Evolution and Dynamics (PACMEDY)"); Geological Survey Ireland - 2017-SC-056; Royal Irish Academy; Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft - RE3994/2-1; Past Global Changes (PAGES) programme; info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
- Published
- 2019
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