1. Comparison of Classically and Machine Learning Generated Survival Prediction Models for Patients With Spinal Metastasis - A meta-Analysis of Two Recently Developed Algorithms
- Author
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Yen, Hung-Kuan, Lin, Wei-Hsin, Groot, Olivier Quinten, Chen, Chih-Wei, Yang, Jiun-Jen, Bongers, Michiel Erik Reinier, Karhade, Aditya, Shah, Akash, Yang, Tse-Chuan, Bindels, Bas JJ, Dai, Shih-Hsiang, Verlaan, Jorrit-Jan, Schwab, Joseph, Yang, Shu-Hua, Hornicek, Francis J., and Hu, Ming-Hsiao
- Abstract
Study Design A systemic review and a meta-analysis. We also provided a retrospective cohort for validation in this study.Objective (1) Using a meta-analysis to determine the pooled discriminatory ability of The Skeletal Oncology Research Group (SORG) classical algorithm (CA) and machine learning algorithms (MLA); and (2) test the hypothesis that SORG-CA has less variability in performance than SORG-MLA in non-American validation cohorts as SORG-CA does not incorporates regional-specific variables such as body mass index as input.Methods After data extraction from the included studies, logit-transformation was applied for extracted AUCs for further analysis. The discriminatory abilities of both algorithms were directly compared by their logit (AUC)s. Further subgroup analysis by region (America vs non-America) was also conducted by comparing the corresponding logit (AUC).Results The pooled logit (AUC)s of 90-day SORG-CA was .82 (95% confidence interval [CI], .53-.11), 1-year SORG-CA was 1.11 (95% CI, .74-1.48), 90-day SORG-MLA was 1.36 (95% CI, 1.09-1.63), and 1-year SORG-MLA was 1.57 (95% CI, 1.17-1.98). All the algorithms performed better in United States than in Taiwan (P< .001). The performance of SORG-CA was less influenced by a non-American cohort than SORG-MLA.Conclusion These observations might highlight the importance of incorporating region-specific variables into existing models to make them generalizable to racially or geographically distinct regions.
- Published
- 2024
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