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The contribution of non-lethal pathogenic attacks to tree death is still unclear. Manion’s theory of the spiral of decline predicts that tree decline and death occurs because of a sequence of predisposing, inciting and contributing events. To understand whether pathogens can act as predisposing or inciting factors, we tested whether a sequence of non-lethal pathogen attacks causing crown defoliation could lead to a chronic decline in tree health and predispose trees to die. Scots pine ( Pinus sylvestris ) trees predisposed or escaping (non-predisposed) a first outbreak by the pathogen Gremmeniella abietina (predisposing event) were compared in terms of survival and susceptibility to secondary pests (contributing event) after a second G. abietina outbreak (inciting event). Four years after the inciting event, mortality among predisposed trees was up to five times higher than among trees escaping the first epidemic. Predisposed trees were twice as susceptible to secondary attacks by the common pine shoot beetle ( Tomicus piniperda ). Ten years after the inciting event, severely predisposed trees had not been able to restore their crowns and still showed stagnated growth. This study showed that pathogen-induced defoliation can act as predisposing and inciting factors for tree death, reducing the capacity of trees to survive short- or long-term stressing events, such as bark beetle attacks. We also showed that tree decline can result from a combination of predisposing and inciting events caused by pathogens. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: We used tree-ring data from a major North American boreal tree species, Jack pine (Pinus banksiana Lamb.), to decipher spatial and temporal tree-growth responses to climate variability within the area of northwestern Quebec and northeastern Ontario. Fifteen sites with clay soils were selected and grouped into North and South sub-regions at approximately 49°N and 50°N, respectively. Tree-ring chronologies were analyzed through a response function for the years 1951–2000 to identify growth-limiting climate factors. Increased precipitation in June in the previous year and a warm month of April this year favored radial growth whereas higher temperature in September and increased precipitation in October, both of the previous year, and current June precipitation were negatively related to growth. There was a clear difference in climatic response between the southern and northern sub-regions: southern sites were more responsive to temperature dynamics while on northern sites Jack pine growth appeared negatively influenced by an excess of precipitation. Soil conditions, with larger areas covered by less water permeable clay deposits in the northern sub-region, explain this result.If recently observed trends towards warmer springs continue, Jack pine may increase its radial growth in the study area. However, increases in fall precipitation, also predicted under the future climate, may offset the positive effect of previous years weather on clay sites. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

• Veps Highland deviates from other Nordic fire history reconstructions with its period of increased fire activity being observed exclusively during the 1700s. • The land-use history of the area did not appear to have an effect on the historical fire dynamics. • The fire regime of the Veps Highland remained largely natural until the onset of the 20th century. Dendrochronological reconstructions inform us about historical climate-fire-human interactions, providing a means to calibrate projections of future fire hazard. Most of these reconstructions, however, have been developed in landscapes with a considerable proportion of xeric sites that could potentially inflate our estimates of the historic levels of fire activity. We provide a 420-year long reconstruction of fires in a mire-dominated landscape of the Veps Nature Park, North-West Russia. The area has mostly escaped large-scale forestry operations in the past and is an example of pristine mid-boreal vegetation with a high (approximately 30% for the area studied) proportion of waterlogged areas with ombrotropic mires. The historical fire cycle was 91.4 years (90% confidence intervals, CI 66.2–137.6 years) over the 1580–1720 period, decreasing to 35.9 (CI 28.1–47.6 years) between 1730 and 1770, and then increasing again to 122.7 years (CI 91.0–178.0 years) over the 1780–2000 period. Early season fires dominated over late season fires during the reconstruction period. We documented a higher fire activity period between 1730 and 1780, resulting from the increase in early season fires. This period coincided with one of the largest multi-decadal declines in the reconstructed spring precipitation since 1600 CE, although we found no significant relationship between fire and precipitation over the whole reconstructed period. The nine largest fire years were associated with negative summer precipitation and positive summer temperature anomalies over the study region. Land-use history of the area did not appear to have an effect on historical fire dynamics. Modern (1996–2016) fire records indicate a regional fire cycle of ∼ 1300 years, featuring a pronounced pattern with early (April–May) and late (July–September) season fires. The uniform fire cycle in the area since 1780, occurrence of nine largest fire years during years with spring-summer droughts, and low ignition frequencies over the last 420 years (0.005 to 0.037 ignitions per year and km2) suggest that the fire regime of the Veps Highland remained largely natural until the onset of the 20th century. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• We have developed a 600 year long fire regime reconstruction in a Karelian boreal landscape. • The period since 1400 CE revealed a pronounced century-long variability in forest fire cycles. • Fire cycle changes appeared to be associated with both human land use and climate variability. • The current fire cycle of study area is close to the one during pre-colonization period in Scandinavia. Spatially explicit reconstructions of fire activity in European boreal forest are rare, which limits our understanding of factors driving vegetation dynamics in this part of the boreal domain. We have developed a spatially explicit dendrochronological reconstruction of a fire regime in a 25 × 50 km2 area within boreal biome located within the Kalevalsky National Park (Kalevalsky NP), over the 1400–2010 CE period. We dated 184 fire years using 212 fire-scarred living and dead Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) trees collected on 38 sites. The studied period revealed a pronounced century-long variability in forest fire cycles (FC). The early period (1400–1620 CE) had low fire activity (FC = 178 years), which increased during the 1630–1920 period (FC = 46 years) and then decreased over the 1930–2000 period (FC = 283 years). Dendrochronological results did not provide a conclusive answer on the origins of FC dynamics, although several lines of evidence suggest that climate drove the increase in fire activity in the early 1600s, while human-related factors were largely responsible for its decline in the early 1900s. The current FC in the Kalevalsky NP is close to the estimates reported for the pre-industrial colonisation period in Scandinavia, which suggests that the forests of the area currently maintain their close-to-natural fire regime. Fire has been the pivotal factor of forest dynamics in this biome and forest management should acknowledge that fact in developing conservation strategies in Karelia and other areas of European boreal forest. Introduction of prescribed burns of varying severity could be an important element of such strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Gap-associated spruce (Picea abies (L.) Karst.) regeneration in Sphagnum-Myrtillus stands of south taiga forests (Central Forest Biosphere reserve, Tver region, Russia) was studied to evaluate the role of different disturbances in spruce dynamics. Sampled gaps (n = 70) ranged from 40 m2 to 1.7 ha in size, and from 1 to 70 years since disturbance moment. Formation of gaps lead to increase in the number of stems per ha in all gap size classes (small: 40-200 m2 , medium: 200--3000 m2 , and large: >3000 m2gaps). Spruce was the most important species in gap refilling, although its role was not the same in different gap classes. The highest values of relative abundance (compared to other species) were recordedin small gaps, and much lower values -- in middle and large gaps. However, as refilling of gaps proceeded, spruce showed rather active regeneration in middle and large gaps and partly regained its abundancein middle-age disturbances. In general, all types of gaps studied supported spruce regeneration into the forest canopy. Almost perfect correlation between predicted outcome of spruce dynamics in gaps and its current role in the canopy of Sphagnum-Myrtillus stands suggests a good adaptation of this species to the current disturbance regime anda steady state of the these forests. (C) 1999 Elsevier Science B.V. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]