1. Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment
- Author
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Aerts, J., Botzen, W., Clarke, K., Cutter, S., Hall, J., Merz, B., Michel-Kerjan, E., Mysiak, J., Surminski, S., and Kunreuther, H.
- Abstract
The behaviour of individuals, businesses, and government entities before, during, and immediately after a disaster can dramatically affect the impact and recovery time. However, existing risk-assessment methods rarely include this critical factor. In this Perspective, we show why this is a concern, and demonstrate that although initial efforts have inevitably represented human behaviour in limited terms, innovations in flood-risk assessment that integrate societal behaviour and behavioural adaptation dynamics into such quantifications may lead to more accurate characterization of risks and improved assessment of the effectiveness of risk-management strategies and investments. Such multidisciplinary approaches can inform flood-risk management policy development. Flood impact and recovery is influenced by behavioural responses. This Perspective describes how integrating human behaviour and risk perception into flood-risk assessment models may improve identification of effective risk-management strategies.
- Published
- 2018
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