1. Dynamics in Liver Stiffness Measurements Predict Outcomes in Advanced Chronic Liver Disease.
- Author
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Semmler, Georg, Yang, Zhenwei, Fritz, Laurenz, Köck, Fiona, Hofer, Benedikt Silvester, Balcar, Lorenz, Hartl, Lukas, Jachs, Mathias, Stopfer, Katharina, Schedlbauer, Anna, Neumayer, Daniela, Maurer, Jurij, Müllner-Bucsics, Theresa, Simbrunner, Benedikt, Scheiner, Bernhard, Trauner, Michael, Mandorfer, Mattias, Reiberger, Thomas, and Bauer, David Josef Maria
- Abstract
Liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) provide an opportunity to monitor liver disease progression and regression noninvasively. We aimed to determine the prognostic relevance of LSM dynamics over time for liver-related events and death in patients with chronic liver disease. Patients with chronic liver disease undergoing 2 or more reliable LSMs at least 180 days apart were included in this retrospective cohort study and stratified at baseline (BL) as nonadvanced chronic liver disease (non-ACLD, BL-LSM < 10 kPa), compensated ACLD (cACLD; BL-LSM ≥ 10 kPa), and decompensated ACLD. Data on all consecutive LSMs and clinical outcomes were collected. There were 2508 patients with 8561 reliable LSMs (3 per patient; interquartile range, 2–4) included: 1647 (65.7%) with non-ACLD, 757 (30.2%) with cACLD, and 104 (4.1%) with decompensated ACLD. Seven non-ACLD patients (0.4%) and 83 patients with cACLD (10.9%) developed hepatic decompensation (median follow-up, 71 months). A 20% increase in LSM at any time was associated with an approximately 50% increased risk of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.41–1.79; P <.001) and liver-related death (hazard ratio, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.28–1.68; P <.001) in patients with cACLD. LSM dynamics yielded a high accuracy to predict hepatic decompensation in the following 12 months (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve = 0.933). The performance of LSM dynamics was numerically better than dynamics in Fibrosis-4 score (0.873), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (0.835), and single time-point LSM (BL-LSM: 0.846; second LSM: 0.880). Any LSM decrease to <20 kPa identified patients with cACLD with a substantially lower risk of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.07–0.24). If reliable, LSM also confers prognostic information in decompensated ACLD. Repeating LSM enables an individual and updated risk assessment for decompensation and liver-related mortality in ACLD. [Display omitted] Dynamics in liver stiffness measurement provide updated prognostic information in patients with compensated and decompensated advanced chronic liver disease, and are superior to single time-point assessment and other measures of liver disease severity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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