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Springtime stratospheric final warming (SFW) variability has been suggested to be linked to the tropospheric circulation, particularly over the North Atlantic sector. These findings, however, are based on reanalysis data that cover a rather short period of time (1979 to present). The present work aims to improve the understanding of drivers, trends and surface impact of dynamical variability of boreal SFWs using chemistry‐climate models. We use multidecadal integrations of the fully coupled chemistry‐climate models Community Earth System Model version 1 (Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model) and ECHAM/Modular Earth Submodel System Atmospheric Chemistry‐O. Four sensitivity experiments are analyzed to assess the impact of external factors; namely, the quasi‐biennial oscillation, sea surface temperature (SST) variability, and anthropogenic emissions. SFWs are classified into two types with respect to their vertical development; that is, events which occur first in the midstratosphere (10‐hPa first SFWs) or first in the upper stratosphere (1‐hPa first SFWs). Our results confirm previous reanalysis results regarding the differences in the time evolution of stratospheric conditions and near‐surface circulation between 10 and 1‐hPa first SFWs. Additionally, a tripolar SST pattern is, for the first time, identified over the North Atlantic in spring months related to the SFW variability. Our analysis of the influence of remote modulators on SFWs revealed that the occurrence of major warmings in the previous winter favors the occurrence of 10‐hPa first SFWs later on. We further found that quasi‐biennial oscillation and SST variability significantly affect the ratio between 1‐hPa first and 10‐hPa first SFWs. Finally, our results suggest that ozone recovery may impact the timing of the occurrence of 1‐hPa first SFWs. Northern Hemisphere stratospheric final warmings variability and dynamics are studied in multidecadal chemistry‐climate experimentsStratospheric final warmings characteristics in spring are influenced by the polar vortex variability in preceding winterQuasi‐biennial oscillation, sea surface temperature, and ozone depleting substances influence stratospheric final warming variability

Global Ozone Monitoring by Occultation of Stars (GOMOS) satellite data are analyzed to estimate the first observation‐based nighttime (22:00 median local time) ozone response to the 27‐day solar rotational cycle in the tropical mesosphere/lower thermosphere (50–110 km altitude). The ozone response to solar rotational variability is derived from linear correlation and regressions using Lyman‐α line (121.6 nm) as solar index that varies by about 10–15% over solar rotational cycles. In the lower mesosphere (50–70 km), the GOMOS ozone is found to be correlated with the solar fluctuations and exhibits a sensitivity of ~0.1 (expressed in percent change of ozone for 1% change in Lyman‐α). In the upper mesosphere/lower thermosphere (above 80 km), ozone variations become anticorrelated with solar rotational variations. In this region, the vertical profile of ozone sensitivity to the 27‐day solar cycle exhibits a maximum of 1.8 at 81 km, a minimum of 0.3 at 100 km, and a sharp increase above. Such high ozone sensitivities are observed for the first time. The observed ozone response is compared with chemistry‐climate simulations from the Hamburg model of the neutral and ionized atmosphere (HAMMONIA) that is forced with an idealized 27‐day solar spectral irradiance time series. Although observational and model results share some common features, substantial discrepancies are found. Namely, the altitude of transition from positive to negative solar ozone correlation signal in the model simulation is found about 10 km below the altitude of the observations and the amplitude of the ozone sensitivity is generally vastly underestimated by the model. First observational estimate of the nighttime tropical O3response to the 27‐day solar cycle in the mesosphere/lower thermosphereGOMOS observes a maximum absolute sensitivity of 1.8% change of ozone for 1% change in Lyman‐α at 81 kmHAMMONIA reproduces most of the features in the observed O3response to the 27‐day solar cycle but underestimates its magnitude