1. Radiomics analysis enables fatal outcome prediction for hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
- Author
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Ke, Zan, Li, Liang, Wang, Li, Liu, Huan, Lu, Xuefang, Zeng, Feifei, and Zha, Yunfei
- Subjects
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COVID-19 , *RADIOMICS , *HOSPITAL patients , *COVID-19 pandemic , *DISEASE nomenclature , *DIGITAL image processing , *CONFIDENCE intervals , *CALIBRATION , *REGRESSION analysis , *RISK assessment , *DATABASE management , *HOSPITAL care , *PREDICTION models , *PROPORTIONAL hazards models , *LONGITUDINAL method , *ALGORITHMS , *EVALUATION - Abstract
Background: In December 2019, a rare respiratory disease named coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) broke out, leading to great concern around the world. Purpose: To develop and validate a radiomics nomogram for predicting the fatal outcome of COVID-19 pneumonia. Material and Methods: The present study consisted of a training dataset (n = 66) and a validation dataset (n = 30) with COVID-19 from January 2020 to March 2020. A radiomics signature was generated using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression model. A radiomics score (Rad-score) was developed from the training cohort. The radiomics model, clinical model, and integrated model were built to assess the association between radiomics signature/clinical characteristics and the mortality of COVID-19 cases. The radiomics signature combined with the Rad-score and the independent clinical factors and radiomics nomogram were constructed. Results: Seven stable radiomics features associated with the mortality of COVID-19 were finally selected. A radiomics nomogram was based on a combined model consisting of the radiomics signature and the clinical risk factors indicating optimal predictive performance for the fatal outcome of patients with COVID-19 with a C-index of 0.912 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.867–0.957) in the training dataset and 0.907 (95% CI 0.849–0.966) in the validation dataset. The calibration curves indicated optimal consistency between the prediction and the observation in both training and validation cohorts. Conclusion: The CT-based radiomics nomogram indicated favorable predictive efficacy for the overall survival risk of patients with COVID-19, which could help clinicians intensively follow up high-risk patients and make timely diagnoses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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