1. Sources of uncertainty in simulating crop N2O emissions under contrasting environmental conditions.
- Author
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Dueri, Sibylle, Léonard, Joël, Chlebowski, Florent, Rosso, Pablo, Berg-Mohnicke, Michael, Nendel, Claas, Ehrhardt, Fiona, and Martre, Pierre
- Subjects
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NITROUS oxide , *CROP residues , *SOIL temperature , *NITRIFICATION , *DENITRIFICATION , *NITROGEN fertilizers - Abstract
• N 2 O emission module was coupled to three agroecosystem models. • Uncertainty in the key variables of the N 2 O module was characterized. • NO 3 − and NH 4 + peaks show great variabiliy between models. • These peaks depend on the representation of soil processes in the models. • Wet acidic soils are more challenging for agroecosystem models to simulate. Nitrogen fertilization is a key agronomic lever for high crop productivity, but also an important source of N 2 O emission, a potent greenhouse gas. Process-based agroecosystem simulation models are popular tools for managing the timing and amount of fertilization, and help reduce N 2 O emissions. However, accurate simulation of N 2 O emissions at field scale is still a challenge due to the spatial and temporal variability of the soil conditions. In this study, we investigated the sources of structural uncertainty in predicting N 2 O emissions under a wide range of pedo-climatic conditions using a representative field data set. We implemented the same nitrification/denitrification/N 2 O emission formalism in three different agroecosystem models and analyzed how the inter-model variability of variables involved in nitrification and denitrification processes, affected the simulated N 2 O emissions. We characterized the dispersion of the key variables (water-filled pore space, NO 3 − and NH 4 + concentration, and soil temperature) between models and we evaluated the effect of variable uncertainty on N 2 O emissions uncertainty using a sensitivity analysis. We also analyzed model errors over a wide range of soil-climate conditions to identify the most challenging conditions for simulation, which require further model improvement. Our results highlighted that the simulation of the timing and amplitude of the NO 3 − and NH 4 + peaks was highly variable between agroecosystem models, with an important impact on N 2 O emission. These peaks occurred mainly after fertilization or incorporation of crop residues, and the different representations of fertilization and mineralization between the models had a major effect on the simulation of N 2 O emissions. Our analysis also emphasized that wet acidic soils with high denitrification potential are more challenging for models to simulate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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