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In recent years, global warming has led to frequent waterlogging disaster (WLD), hindering the normal growth and development of crops, affecting the sustainable development of the peanut industry and food security in China. Henan Province, the main peanut-producing area with frequent WLD, was selected as the study area. Based on the soil-crop-atmosphere continuum system, this study constructed a comprehensive waterlogging index (CWI) to monitor waterlogging events. To determine the applicability of CWI, the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) was calculated. A risk assessment model was constructed to evaluate the hazards of WLD during the different stages of development of spring peanut. The water stress at different growth stages of peanut on crucial physiological indices were studied to determine the natural vulnerability curve of WLD. As a consequence, based on the "Four-Factor" theory of disaster formation, this study established a dynamic WLD assessment model for peanut and evaluated the comprehensive risk of WLD in Henan from 1990 to 2020. The results indicated that the CWI is capable of accurately identifying waterlogging events and peanut responded significantly differently to water stress; the longer the duration of stress in the late growth period (LGP), the higher was the rate of yield reduction. The comprehensive risk of WLD to peanut rose from north to south during the three growth periods. During the LGP, high-risk regions constituted approximately 34.3% of the total population. This study provides a scientific basis and technical support for better exploration of peanut growth under waterlogging stress to manage and reduce the risk of WLD. • The comprehensive waterlogging index (CWI) can be used to identify waterlogging events. • Different water stress days in three periods had different effects on the growth of spring peanut. • Water stress in the late growth period had the greatest influence on the yield of spring peanut. • The risk was evaluated through "Four-Factor" theory, while the south of Henan had high-risk levels. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Due to the national nutrition crisis and the adjustment of planting structure, millet has once again become a widely planted cash crop in Northern China. However, as the climate warms in recent years, drought has occurred frequently and repeatedly in Northern China, which has seriously threatened millet production safety in this area. Therefore, it is urgent to clarify the hazard of millet drought disaster and provide reference for the formulation of millet disaster prevention and reduction measures. In this paper, combined with the water demand of millet in each growth period, Standardized Precipitation Requirement Index (SPRI) was selected to identify and quantify the drought disaster of millet. Considering the impact of different degrees of drought in different growth periods, a hazard assessment model is constructed to evaluate the hazard of millet drought disaster in Northern China under the background of climate change. The results show that: (1) SPRI can well characterize the drought of millet in Northern China. (2) In the context of climate change, millet drought in Northern China shows a trend of increasing intensity and decreasing frequency, and it is possible that millet drought will be even more severe in the future. (3) Combined with the hazard assessment model, millet drought in Northern China will still be dominated by middle hazard in the future, but the areas with high hazard will gradually increase, mainly distributed in northeast China, central and western Inner Mongolia and northern Gansu. The research results can be of great practical significance for the adjustment of agricultural production structure in the future, especially for the sustainable development of agriculture and the formulation of measures to prevent and resist agricultural disasters. [Display omitted] • We apply SPRI to identify millet drought by considering actual water demand. • Future changes of millet drought evaluated by CMIP6-GCM models. • Hazard assessment model was presented combined with disaster loss coefficient. • The areas with high hazard of millet drought will gradually increase in future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]