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Rice paddies supply the staple food for 50% global population, but contribute 48% of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from croplands. Temperature is the key factor of rice yield and GHG emissions, but warming effects (i.e. elevated temperature ≤ 2°C) are still unclear, especially in hotspots. Therefore, we collected the global in-situ observations of warming experiments and corresponding environmental factors to identify the key drivers of warming effects, and developed the statistic models to assess the effects of warming on GHG emissions from China's rice paddies. Our results indicate that the variation in warming effects on rice yield, methane (CH 4) emissions, and nitrous oxide (N 2 O) emissions are primarily explained by ambient temperature of post-anthesis, ambient temperature of flooding stage, and soil pH, respectively. Considering these key factors, we estimate that warming does not significantly affect China's total rice yield, while can increase CH 4 emissions by 13.6% °C−1, N 2 O emissions by 30.5% °C−1, and area-/yield-scaled GHG emissions by 14.9% °C−1 from China's rice paddies. Warming reduces rice yield but increases GHG emissions more strongly in East, South and Central China, compared to North, Northwest, Northeast, and Southwest China. Our findings quantify the warming effects on rice yield and GHG emissions, and provide new perspectives for the hotpots of warming effects on China's rice production. In the warmer future, we still need more efforts on smart adaptation strategies to maintain rice yield and curb GHG emissions from rice agriculture. • Temperature and soil pH can explain variation in warming effect on GHG emissions. • Warming effect on N 2 O emissions shows a negative relationship with soil pH. • Warming does not affect China's total rice yield while increases GHG emissions. • Warming increases yield-scaled GHG emissions by 14.9% °C−1 in China's paddies. • East, South and Central China's rice paddies are the hotspots of warming effects. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: Recently increasing studies suggest that a comprehensive assessment of cropping practices impacts on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions at yield-scale will benefit cropping technique innovation and policy selection for higher-yield with less-emissions. In this paper, we conducted a meta-analysis to quantify the impacts of rice cropping practices on the global warming potential (GWP) of GHG emissions at yield-scale rather than area-scale in China. The results showed that the yield-scaled GWP of Chinese major rice cropping systems during rice growing season was in the order: double rice cropping system (1188.9kg CO2 equiv.Mg−1)>rice-upland crop rotation system (777.0kg CO2 equiv.Mg−1)>single rice cropping system (346.7kg CO2 equiv.Mg−1). Nitrogen fertilization (50–300kgNha−1) significantly increased rice yield with slight increments in the GWP of CH4 and N2O emissions, resulting in significant reductions in the yield-scaled GWP. The greatest reduction occurred at the application rate of 150–200kgNha−1 by 37% as compared to the non-fertilization control. For organic amendments, biogas residue application had no significant effect on the yield-scaled GWP, while manure application and straw recycling significantly increased the yield-scaled GWP by 54% and 154%, respectively. Intermittent irrigation significantly reduced yield-scaled GWP by 59% largely because of a significant reduction in CH4 emission and a significant increment in rice yield. No-tillage showed lower CH4 emission with similar rice yield in comparison with the conventional tillage, resulting in a reduction in yield-scaled GWP by 20%. These results indicate that there is a great potential to meet the new objective of higher-yield with less-GHG emissions through innovating rice cropping technique. More efforts should be paid on the field observations of GHG emissions during non-rice growing season, so as to perform a life-cycling assessment of GHG emissions from rice fields at yield scale under different cropping systems. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]