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Brazilian AIDS and HIV-1-seropositive patients have had free access to highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) since November 1996. Although secondary data based on official mortality statistics indicate a sharp decrease in AIDS mortality, few if any studies tried to estimate the prognosis for patients with HIV who have been followed from the beginning of the HAART era. An observational study, with retrospective and prospective components, was done in 233 adult HIV-1-infected subjects who were recruited in the last 10 years at the outpatient sector of the Secondary Immunodeficiencies Clinic of the Department of Dermatology, Hospital das Clinicas da FMUSP, Sao Paulo, Brazil. The definition of AIDS followed the guidelines issued by the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) in 1987. One hundred sixty patients were asymptomatic, 46 had AIDS, 24 had AIDS-related complex, and 3 presented with acute infection at study entry. Twenty-nine (18%) of the asymptomatic subjects developed AIDS during follow-up, with 5 (3%) deaths. Among the 46 AIDS cases at entry, 7 (17%) died during follow-up. Thus, a total of 12 people (5.2%) died of AIDS in this cohort over a mean follow-up of 5.2 years and 24 people were lost to follow-up (10.3%). Ninety percent of the survivors were on combined therapy (82% with 3 or more drugs, and 8% with 2 drugs), while 10% were not taking antiretrovirals. People with AIDS at entry were 5 times more likely to die during this period compared to patients who were asymptomatic at entry (p = 0.006). Women showed better outcomes than men, reflecting differences in CD4+ T-cell counts at study entry. All but 1 patient progressed to AIDS during the pre-HAART era (before 1996). In spite of its recent decline, mortality from AIDS-related conditions remains an important public health issue.

The objective of this study was to assess if a simple evaluation, adherence to antiretroviral therapy, would correlate to clinical and laboratory outcomes. We followed an open cohort of patients from a public teaching hospital AIDS outpatient clinic. Patients were categorized according to adherence as: regular (Reg), optimal, all doses all days, tolerating only irregular timing (+/- 2 hours) of intake; quasi-regular (qReg), those missing up to four doses or 1 full day during a month; irregular (Irreg), all other irregular regimens, and ignored (Ign), those without information. The results from a simple questionnaire were compared to CD4+ cell counts and human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) RNA plasma viremia. One hundred eighty-two HIV-1-infected patients (126 males, 69%; 56 females, 31%) were analyzed. Information on adherence was available for 168 (90%). Reg adherence was reported by 75 (41%) patients, qReg adherence by 35 (19%), and Irreg by 53 (29%) of patients. The main reasons for nonadherence were forgetfulness, intolerance, use of alcohol, and misunderstanding of prescription. A significant increase of CD4+ T-cell counts and absolute gain were only observed among Reg and qReg users (p < 0.001). The median viral RNA load log10 decreases were -1.68, -1.45, -0.9 log, respectively, for Reg, qReg, and Irreg patients (p = 0.043, Kruskal-Wallis). Development of and death from AIDS occurred almost exclusively among those with Ign or Irreg adherence. Previous use of antiretroviral therapy may have had an impact in treatment response. Individuals who were treatment-naive were more likely to be Reg users (41%). Although more refined methods to assess adherence should be implemented when available, the inability to do so should not prevent simple, albeit subjective measurements that also correlate with favorable outcome. Mechanisms to improve adherence should be considered an integral part of antiretroviral therapy.