1. Generating power-law tails in probability distributions.
- Author
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Ivanov, Plamen Ch., Podobnik, Boris, Lee, Youngki, Chessa, Alessandro, and Eugene Stanley, H.
- Subjects
- *
NUCLEAR physics , *PROBABILITY theory - Abstract
We study how the presence of correlations in physical variables contributes to the form of probability distributions. We investigate a process with correlations in the variance generated by (i) a Gaussian or (ii) a truncated Lévy distribution. For both (i) and (ii), we find that due to the correlations in the variance, the process “dynamically” generates power-law tails in the distributions, whose exponents can be controlled through the way the correlations in the variance are introduced. For (ii), we find that the process can extend a truncated distribution beyond the truncation cutoff, which leads to a crossover between a Lévy stable power law and the present “dynamically-generated” power law. We show that the process can explain the crossover behavior recently observed in the S&P500 stock index. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2001