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Agonists for the 5-hydroxytryptamine (HT)(1A) receptor induce a hypothermic response that is believed to occur by lowering of the body's set-point temperature. We have developed a physiological model that can be used to predict the complex time course of the hypothermic response after administration of 5-HT(1A) agonists to rats. In the model, 5-HT(1A) agonists exert their effect by changing heat loss through a control mechanism with a thermostat signal that is proportional to the difference between measured and set-point temperature. Agonists exert their effect in a direct concentration-dependent manner, with saturation occurring at higher concentrations. On the basis of simulations, it is shown that, depending on the concentration and the intrinsic efficacy of a 5-HT(1A) agonist, the model shows oscillatory behavior. The model was successfully applied to characterize the complex hypothermic response profiles after administration of the reference 5-HT(1A) agonists R-8-hydroxy-2-(di-n-propylamino)tetralin (R-8-OH-DPAT) and S-8-OH-DPAT. This analysis revealed that the observed difference in effect vs. time profile for these two reference agonists could be explained by a difference in in vivo intrinsic efficacy.