1. The resort lifecycle theory
- Author
-
Svend Lundtorp and Stephen Wanhill
- Subjects
Estimation ,Time path ,Operations research ,Process (engineering) ,Computer science ,Tourism, Leisure and Hospitality Management ,Operations management ,Context (language use) ,Limit (mathematics) ,Development ,Lifecycle model ,Tourism - Abstract
One of the most discussed paradigms in the literature on destination development is the lifecycle model. Although varieties of lifecycle paths have been described, they have been drawn up without consideration of the underlying generation processes. This article examines the time path of tourist growth patterns that could give rise to such a cycle and in doing so, permits the exact demarcation of the five stages of the lifecycle. The model is tested using long run time series and the overall conclusion is that the restrictions imposed by the aggregation process limit the resort cycle paradigm, in a quantitative context, to being no more than a statistical caricature of the real world.
- Published
- 2001
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