1. Predictors of complete miscarriage after expectant management or misoprostol treatment of non-viable early pregnancy in women with vaginal bleeding.
- Author
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Fernlund, Anna, Jokubkiene, Ligita, Sladkevicius, Povilas, and Valentin, Lil
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UTERINE hemorrhage , *MISCARRIAGE , *PREGNANCY , *BLOOD flow , *RANDOMIZED controlled trials , *EVALUATION of medical care , *FIRST trimester of pregnancy , *FETAL development , *GESTATIONAL age , *ABORTIFACIENTS , *TREATMENT effectiveness , *MISOPROSTOL , *PLACENTA , *VAGINAL medication , *INCOMPLETE miscarriage , *HUMAN embryology , *OXYTOCICS , *CHORIONIC gonadotropins , *LONGITUDINAL method - Abstract
Purpose: To identify predictors of complete miscarriage after expectant management or misoprostol treatment of non-viable early pregnancy in women with vaginal bleeding.Methods: This was a planned secondary analysis of data from a published randomized controlled trial comparing expectant management with vaginal single dose of 800 µg misoprostol treatment of women with embryonic or anembryonic miscarriage. Predefined variables-serum-progesterone, serum-β-human chorionic gonadotropin, parity, previous vaginal deliveries, gestational age, clinical symptoms (bleeding and pain), mean diameter and shape of the gestational sac, crown-rump-length, type of miscarriage, and presence of blood flow in the intervillous space-were tested as predictors of treatment success (no gestational sac in the uterine cavity and maximum anterior-posterior intracavitary diameter was ≤ 15 mm as measured with transvaginal ultrasound on a sagittal view) in univariable and multivariable logistic regression.Results: Variables from 174 women (83 expectant management versus 91 misoprostol) were analyzed for prediction of complete miscarriage at ≤ 17 days. In patients managed expectantly, the rate of complete miscarriage was 62.7% (32/51) in embryonic miscarriages versus 37.5% (12/32) in anembryonic miscarriages (P = 0.02). In multivariable logistic regression, the likelihood of success increased with increasing gestational age, increasing crown-rump-length and decreasing gestational sac diameter. Misoprostol treatment was successful in 80.0% (73/91). No variable predicted success of misoprostol treatment.Conclusions: Complete miscarriage after expectant management is significantly more likely in embryonic miscarriage than in anembryonic miscarriage. Gestational age, crown-rump-length, and gestational sac diameter are independent predictors of success of expectant management. Predictors of treatment success may help counselling women with early miscarriage. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2020
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