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BackgroundClassification of endometrial carcinomas (ECs) by morphologic features is inconsistent, and yields limited prognostic and predictive information. A new system for classification based on the molecular categories identified in The Cancer Genome Atlas is proposed.MethodsGenomic data from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) support classification of endometrial carcinomas into four prognostically significant subgroups; we used the TCGA data set to develop surrogate assays that could replicate the TCGA classification, but without the need for the labor-intensive and cost-prohibitive genomic methodology. Combinations of the most relevant assays were carried forward and tested on a new independent cohort of 152 endometrial carcinoma cases, and molecular vs clinical risk group stratification was compared.ResultsReplication of TCGA survival curves was achieved with statistical significance using multiple different molecular classification models (16 total tested). Internal validation supported carrying forward a classifier based on the following components: mismatch repair protein immunohistochemistry, POLE mutational analysis and p53 immunohistochemistry as a surrogate for 'copy-number' status. The proposed molecular classifier was associated with clinical outcomes, as was stage, grade, lymph-vascular space invasion, nodal involvement and adjuvant treatment. In multivariable analysis both molecular classification and clinical risk groups were associated with outcomes, but differed greatly in composition of cases within each category, with half of POLE and mismatch repair loss subgroups residing within the clinically defined 'high-risk' group. Combining the molecular classifier with clinicopathologic features or risk groups provided the highest C-index for discrimination of outcome survival curves.ConclusionsMolecular classification of ECs can be achieved using clinically applicable methods on formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded samples, and provides independent prognostic information beyond established risk factors. This pragmatic molecular classification tool has potential to be used routinely in guiding treatment for individuals with endometrial carcinoma and in stratifying cases in future clinical trials.

The most convincing evidence that a factor such as dietary fat is causally related to breast cancer would be obtained from a randomised controlled trial in which exposure to dietary fat intake was systematically varied. A limitation of randomised controlled trials of breast cancer prevention, however, is the large sample size required to detect plausible reductions in risk resulting from the intervention. We describe here experience over a period of 9 years with the use of one risk factor for breast cancer as a criterion for entry to a clinical trial of breast cancer prevention. The risk factor used was the presence of extensive densities in the breast tissue on mammography, which has been found by several investigators to be strongly associated with risk of breast cancer. Using this criterion for selection, 1800 subjects of mean age 46 years were enrolled between 1982 and 1986, and again between 1988 and the present. Throughout this period, the point estimate of annual invasive cancer incidence was approximately 6 per 1000 per year. The observed cancer incidence has been consistently 4-5 times the incidence expected from age-specific breast cancer incidence data for women living in Ontario. These data show that the selection of subjects for a clinical trial of breast cancer prevention using the criterion of extensive breast parenchymal densities does identify a group at substantially increased risk of breast cancer. Use of this criterion for the selection of subjects can substantially reduce the sample size required for a clinical trial of a preventive strategy.

Previous work has shown that extensive mammographic dysplasia in women aged less than 50 was strongly associated with breast cancer but that the radiological appearance of ductal prominence was not associated with risk. In the present paper we examine the association between these mammographic signs in the breast and histological patterns in the terminal ductal lobular unit (TDLU), the region of the breast where breast cancer is believed to originate. Surgical biopsies from a consecutive series of women aged less than 50 were reviewed and classified according to the histopathology of the epithelium in the TDLU. Mammograms from the same subjects were independently classified according to the extent of the radiological signs of dysplasia and ductal prominence. Degree of histopathology and the extent of mammographic dysplasia were associated and atypia of the ductal type was found more frequently in patients with extensive dysplasia. However, the strength and statistical significance of the association varied according to the radiologist who classified the mammograms. No association was found between degree of histopathology and ductal prominence. These results add to the evidence that extensive mammographic dysplasia in women aged less than 50 is a risk factor for breast cancer. They do not indicate that the radiological signs of dysplasia are caused by histological changes in the TDLU.