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Background: High EREG and AREG expression, and left-sided primary tumours are associated with superior efficacy of anti-epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) therapy in metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC), but a unifying explanation of these findings is lacking. Methods: RNA-seq, gene expression arrays, and DNA methylation profiling were completed on 179 CRC tumours. Results were validated using independent The Cancer Genome Atlas data sets. An independent cohort of 198 KRAS wild-type metastatic CRC tumours was tested for CpG island methylator phenotype (CIMP) status, and progression-free survival (PFS) with the first anti-EGFR regimen was retrospectively determined. Results: EREG and AREG expression was highly inversely correlated with methylation and was inversely associated with right-sided primary tumour, BRAF mutation, and CIMP-high status. Treatment of CRC cell lines with hypomethylating agents decreased methylation and increased expression of EREG. Inferior PFS with anti-EGFR therapy was associated with CIMP-high status, BRAF mutation, NRAS mutation, and right-sided primary tumour on univariate analysis. Among known BRAF/NRAS wild-type tumours, inferior PFS remained associated with CIMP-high status (median PFS 5.6 vs 9.0 mo, P=0.023). Conclusions: EREG and AREG are strongly regulated by methylation, and their expression is associated with CIMP status and primary tumour site, which may explain the association of primary tumour site and EREG/AREG expression with anti-EGFR therapy efficacy.

Background: High circulating neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) appears to be prognostic in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). We investigated the relationship of NLR with circulating cytokines and molecular alterations. Methods: We performed retrospective analyses on multiple cohorts of CRC patients (metastatic untreated (n=166), refractory metastatic (n=161), hepatectomy (n=198), stage 2/3 (n=274), and molecularly screened (n=342)). High NLR (ratio of absolute neutrophil-to-lymphocyte counts in peripheral blood) was defined as NLR>5. Plasma cytokines were evaluated using multiplex-bead assays. Kaplan–Meier estimates, non-parametric correlation analysis, and hierarchical cluster analyses were used. Results: High NLR was associated with poor prognosis in mCRC (hazard ratio (HR) 1.73; 95% confidence interval (CI):1.03–2.89; P=0.039) independent of known prognostic factors and molecular alterations (KRAS/NRAS/BRAF/PIK3CA/CIMP). High NLR correlated with increased expression of interleukin 6 (IL-6), IL-8, IL-2Rα, hepatocyte growth factor, macrophage-colony stimulating factor, and vascular epidermal growth factor in exploratory (n=39) and validation (n=166) cohorts. Fourteen additional cytokines correlated with high NLR in the validation cohort. All 20 cytokines fell into three major clusters: inflammatory cytokines, angiogenic cytokines, and epidermal growth factor ligands. In mCRC, composite stratification based on NLR-cytokine score provided enhanced prognostic information (HR 2.09; 95% CI: 1.59–2.76; P

Background: KRAS mutations have been associated with lung metastases at diagnosis of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), but the impact of this mutation on subsequent development of lung metastasis is unknown. We investigated KRAS mutation as a predictor of lung metastasis development. Methods: We retrospectively evaluated data from patients with mCRC whose tumour was tested for KRAS mutation from 2008 to 2010. The relationships of KRAS mutational status with time-to-lung metastasis (TTLM) and overall survival (OS) were analysed. Results: Of the 494 patients identified, 202 (41%) had tumours with KRAS mutation. KRAS mutations were associated with a shorter TTLM (median 15.2 vs 22.4 months; hazard ratio=1.40; P=0.002) and a two-fold greater odds of developing lung metastases during the disease course in patients with liver-limited mCRC at diagnosis (72 vs 56%, P=0.007). Overall survival did not differ by KRAS status. Conclusions: Lung metastasis was more likely to develop during the disease course in patients whose tumour had a KRAS mutation than in those whose tumour did not have a KRAS mutation. This finding may have an impact on decision making for surgical resection of metastatic disease.